Six billion dollar "bail out" for builders. I was listening to Kramer today on CNBC and he was commenting on the "assistance" that is being given to builders because they are coming on hard times with the housing surplus. The irony is that they are the ones that created the surplus.
I have been a mortgage lender for seven years and a real estate agent (now owner / broker) for five years. My lending specialty was in the sub-prime market and I primarily worked with first time home buyers. They all have a plan. Buy 100% financed 2 or 3 year Arm, when the Arm is about to adjust, refinance into a fixed produce. It is a great plan; we all win (the market, the lenders, the homeowner, the real estate agents, and everyone else that gets work out of the transaction).
What happens if new home builders see the trends and then flood the market with homes? My Economics professor said never explain an economic event with Supply / Demand there is a deeper cause. But, for this article, the new home builders built too many homes too quickly, thus a huge supply of homes.
With the huge supply of housing, homes stop appreciating. With no appreciation there is no equity for the 100% person to refinance. The arm adjusts and the homeowner can't make the payment. Is it the homeowners fault? How about the lenders fault? Is the real estate agent at fault? Or is it the people who did condo conversions, zero lot line condos, and sub-divisions?
The next step is the buyer goes into foreclosure and then there is a terrible comp for the appraiser. So, the entire neighborhood is affected. The banks then tighten because of more foreclosure. The high LVT loans disappear. There are more foreclosures and everyone is putting their home up for sale.
So, the solution is to give money to the ones who got us into this mess? Do you think the builders are going to take the money and retire? Do you think they will stop? Or will they use the money to create more unwanted / unneeded supply? How about we let some builders go out of business and save some families from losing their home?
