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The Perils of the Statistic Junkie Homebuyer

By
Real Estate Agent with SAMSON PROPERTIES 0225018862

The Internet is a wonderful place for those who love information and data.

Today's blog is about homes-buyers who feel the need to run spreadsheets.

Google Drive allows you to set up Spread Sheets to your hearts content for FREE.

You are admittedly a "Statistic Junkie."

  • Your mind works on overdrive compared to most consumers.
  • You can not make a purchase without information in great detail
  • You must check, chart and theorize every aspect of  your upcoming purchase.
  • You adjust for Age, Condition, Location, and Features 
  • You pride yourself on all the information you are gathering
  • You are used to comparing and preparing to negotiate and get the best deal.
  • You are uncomfortable if you cannot go through this exercise.

With all that said. You are, who you are. This is how you process. We get it!

Fair warning: You may face several heart breaking setbacks during your house hunting search.

WHY?

  • Because buying a home is not like buying a car. ( unless of course you are buying a brand new tract home where everything is the same)
  • Prices, inventory and interest rates can change in the blink of an eye.
  • Each home is different, personalized and each sellers has a different need, motivation.
  • You can spend every night burning the midnight oil looking at homes you find online that look good to you. Run all your calculations, and then get ready to pull the trigger on one only to learn the buyer who saw the home the same day as you bought it three days ago.
  • You must do drive by's on homes you choose before you can really crunch the numbers.You could have the best priced home per square footage that looks great online. Only to learn when you drive by, the house has five barking dogs next door .(The house may be perfect but your lifestyle could suffer)
  • Over the years, I have seen Spread Sheet Junkie buyers go through the pain of loss so many times. Becoming so frustrated that they go through many agents blaming them because they felt the REALTOR didn't tell them the market was fast, or that they needed to act quicker or that they were upset because they felt pressured to make a decision.How do I find the right home at the right price

 

It's not your fault. It's how you think.

 

Unfortunately the message you receive will always be the same. "The real estate market doesn't care."

Chances are by the time you get from behind the computer and take a drive you will be seeing SOLD Signs in the rear view mirror.

 

The real estate market is very much like the  Stock Market. Say you want to buy shares of stock. After a great deal of research you are comfortable with a price. You hesitate and the price goes up. You are now mad and cannot afford or are unwilling to pay the price.

That's how the real estate market is. He who hesitates, crunches the numbers,vacillates, ponders, sleeps on it, looses to the buyer who is laser focused on their need, the lifestyle they want and the location. The Purchased the home you wanted and needed. OUCH!

My advice for anyone who is a "Statistical Junkie" and you are hoping to buy a home in 2015 before the interest rates increase. Align yourself with a local real estate specialist who has a proven track record of helping people successfully buy homes. Try to wrap your brain around the fact that a good REALTOR can be your best advocate. Help you negotiate the terms you need for the home that best fits the way you live, your budget and your needs. Isn't that what really matters?

If you need help, please reach out to us. Remember our goal is your goal. My number is 703-851-3085. Don't hesitate to pick and let's talk about your options. 

 

 

Ed Silva, 203-206-0754
Mapleridge Realty, CT 203-206-0754 - Waterbury, CT
Central CT Real Estate Broker Serving all equally

I currently have a buyer couple and both are very much statistical driven with a very limited scope for value and location.  They have missed a couple of opportunities and at this point will hope that the spring market gives them an opportunity

Jan 12, 2015 12:40 AM
Dorte Engel
RE/MAX Leading Edge - Bowie, MD
ABC - Annapolis, Bowie, Crofton & rest of Maryland

Dear Peggy,

A home is not a commodity, that lends itself to this kind of analysis. You can probably find out which of, let's say three, homes is the best for you very quickly by deciding how well it fits your particular habits and needs. That is why Baskin Robbins has 31 flavors or more. Everyone likes something different. 

Jan 12, 2015 12:51 AM
John DL Arendsen
CREST "BACKYARD' HOMES, ON THE LEVEL General & Manufactured Home Contractor, TAG Real Estate Sales & Investments - Leucadia, CA
Crest Backyard Homes "ADU" dealer & RE Developer

Very well said and oh so true!

Jan 12, 2015 12:58 AM
Gary L. Waters Broker Associate, Bucci Realty
Bucci Realty, Inc. - Melbourne, FL
Eighteen Years Experience in Brevard County

I have been working with a buyer like that. Two trips to Florida have not brought results but we have not given up.

Jan 12, 2015 01:10 AM
Mel Ahrens, MBA, Kelly Right Real Estate
Kelly Right Real Estate - Hood River, OR
Customized Choices for your Real Estate Needs

Hello Peggy,

Relying on only one tool is generally not a good idea.  Running a spreadsheet can be an important tool though.  We bought a house, in a rising market, for $8k less than the sellers paid a year earlier.  Using a spreadhseet with key info as part of the negotiating process validated our offer. They realized they had overpaid a year earlier by a significant amount, due to the perceived urgency and their emotional buy-in. The spreadsheet was not the only reason but it helped close the deal. 
Mel

Jan 12, 2015 01:51 AM
Gene Riemenschneider
Home Point Real Estate - Brentwood, CA
Turning Houses into Homes

 Great point.  I tend to do spreadsheets for my investor clients.  They want to know bottom line.  When they think too much they loose.  Wants they get to know the market and trust us they started going on their gut more.

Jan 12, 2015 03:48 AM
Beth and Richard Witt
New York, NY
The best Retired Brokers !!!!

Great advice for anyone looking to buy a home...

Jan 12, 2015 04:16 AM
Thomas McCombs
Century 21 HomeStar - Akron, OH

"The paralysis of analysis" slows many buyers down.

Sometimes we just have to learn to trust our gut.

Jan 12, 2015 04:26 AM
Maya Garg * ASP/ASA/ABR/CNE/
Royal Lepage Signature Realty,Mississauga, Ontario - Mississauga, ON
Moving you Forward.... Buyers, Sellers, Investors

Great article for first time buyers to read...Thanks for putting your thoughts together

Jan 12, 2015 04:39 AM
James (Jim) Lawson, DBA
DomainRealty.com LLC - Bonita Springs, FL
Broker Associate, RSPS, BPOR, HI & PE

Engineer types by training and experience live in the world of mathematical modeling and looking for the best quantitative solutions, which can be extremely time consuming. They tend to never have enough data and relish talking, often to themselves, about the stengths and weaknesses of their derivations. While they are not uncomfortable with postponing their decisionmaking, qualitative analysis and intuition are often way out of their comfort zone. Consequently, they are apt to miss excellent purchase opportunities as many here  have experienced. 

Great post Peggy. You explain the situation very well and by gosh you did not even have to use statistics!

Jan 12, 2015 05:28 AM
Jeff Dowler, CRS
eXp Realty of California, Inc. - Carlsbad, CA
The Southern California Relocation Dude

Peggy

Paralysis by analysis I call it. In our market lack of a decision means you get beat out by someone who does not need to analyze everything or think it over for a few days.

Jeff

Jan 12, 2015 07:29 AM
Ernest Villafranca
Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate - Oakland, CA
3923 Grand Ave. Oakland CA, 510-418-9443

There's this past investor client who always wants pictures, data, etc. just to say it's not a good deal.  I send him quick, 5 min., spreadsheets. (Actually that's all I do for investors.)

Another investor just wants to know the address, the size, room count, and price, and he tells me yes or no on the spot.

Jan 12, 2015 07:52 AM
Evelyn Johnston
Friends & Neighbors Real Estate - Elkhart, IN
The People You Know, Like and Trust!

I love that you two are twins!  It just makes me smile! I don't think I have met a statistical junkie buyer yet.  It sounds like it would be a nightmare!

Jan 12, 2015 09:29 AM
Adele Langdon
Los Angeles, CA
Exclusive Realty Inc.

Hi Peggy,

Great article and very funny too, oh so true!!! The confused mind does nothing and the statistical junkie may very well lose out while they are looking at all the numbers and facts.  I myself have got caught up at times. LOL

Jan 12, 2015 11:45 AM
Nicole Doty - Gilbert Real Estate Expert
Zion Realty - Gilbert, AZ
Broker/Owner of Zion Realty ZionRealtyAZ.com

I represented a research junkie late last year. He analyzed everything about each house so much he lost out on three homes before he was finally able to get an offer accepted. You snooze, you lose. 

Jan 12, 2015 10:38 PM
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
Real Estate Broker Retired

You know people like this do not like change so interest rate fluctuations, other offers coming in, etc put these people in a tail spin. They are 'static types' just like their numbers on paper.

I think they crave security & not making a mistake which means in the end, you do nothing.

Jan 12, 2015 10:54 PM
Donna Davis
Escondido, CA

There are lies, there are damn lies and then there are statistics.  I always tell buyers and sellers that statistics are certainly helpful.  Statistics don't write the check or sign the loan documents.  People do.  Real estate is not only a statistical analysis.  It is an emotional decision, unless you are selling to an investor who is looking for a specific return on investment.  Statistics also do not allow for differences in conditions, views, locations, etc.  They are pretty much square footage based. 

Jan 13, 2015 03:21 AM
Claude Labbe
RLAH / @properties - Washington, DC
Realty for Your Busy Life

Oh gosh yes.  I've seen them.  They call me so we can review their spreadsheets.  (I'm a numbers fiend too so I can play with them).  One memorable client was reviewing standard deviations on asking prices versus sold prices in the past year or so.

Others will walk through homes with pen/paper and take notes, and it's all about numbers.

And then....then....then they walk into THE home. and that's it.  numbers don't matter.  As someone said to me this month "I REALLY want that one".

And the same is true for some sellers. They'll focus on numbers, but sometimes they find out more about the buyers, and then numbers aren't quite so important.

Jan 17, 2015 10:44 AM
Winston Heverly
Coldwell Banker Access Realty - South Macon, GA
GRI, ABR, SFR, CDPE, CIAS, PA

A super post I came across among the many archieves and frequent bloggers. Thanks for being apart of Active Rain.-

Apr 10, 2015 01:22 PM
Carol Williams
Although I'm retired, I love sharing my knowledge and learning from other real estate industry professionals. - Wenatchee, WA
Retired Agent / Broker / Prop. Mgr, Wenatchee, WA

I had a software engineer looking for investment property.  He ran spreadsheet after spreadsheet... and never did buy.  Paralysis by analysis.  

Aug 27, 2015 02:08 PM