I don't know where the bottom is, and neither do the Big Boys!  We are all exposed to the same information, whether you read "Your Own Small Town Newspaper" or The Wall Street Journal. 

Clients ask me all the time to speculate, to render an opinion.  I don't.  I won't!  I have no crystal ball.  I will, however, give them the current statistics, which I diligently cull on an ongoing basis.  I can recite the percentages of solds vs. active, the pendings, leaving them to read whatever they want to read from the numbers I quote.

It is common sense that buying on the dip is a good idea.  We are currently at a confluence of palatable, although unstable interest rates, (oops, I forgot to check the rates today!), ample inventory to choose from, motivated sellers (some more than others).   For an investment to be successful, you don't have to be at the very bottom of the pricing curve.   You know what comes after the bottom of the pricing curve, right?  Yes, that's right: an upswing in pricing.  Couple that with increased hope and fortitude on the Sellers' side, decreased inventory and more buyers vying for the same properties, and you have a recipe for paying more...

What are your thoughts on this?

Your Myrtle Beach Real Estate Connection, Mirela Monte                          Join The Optimist Group!


 
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10 Comments on SPECULATE NO MORE: I'VE GOT THE CRYSTAL BALL! BUY NOW!!!

APR
08
2008
1 Featured Post
You are correct.  No one has a crystal ball.  But trying to time any market is a fools game.  Here are the facts of my region.  The Seattle area has not seen a downswing in anyones memory.  Population continues to rise.  People need places to live.  Rents are going up faster then in recent history and vacancy rates are at near historic lows.  Interest rates are still low.  I mean really low.  So if you can verify your income, and have a half way decent credit score, I would say now is a great time to buy.   I would estimate the window may stay open for about the next year or so.  Once the winter blues of 08'-09' wear off, look out.  
11:32pm • #1
373,583 Points 23 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

mirela girl you're on a blogroll tonight......I found a crystal ball for you - you

 

11:36pm • #2
1 Featured Post
Mirela - I agree that providing good, solid stats and numbers will give buyers and sellers a foundation for making better decisions.  Isn't it funny how many buyers want to "wait for the market to come back?"  Which, in reality, they're saying they want to compete with other buyers and pay more for a home than they can today.  The window is open now - time to buy.
11:44pm • #3
131,642 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Mirela:

You are right on. I think you do have a crystel ball. Ha. Great post.

11:45pm • #4
363,466 Points 30 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Liz, you are GREAT!  I love that!  Yes, I guess I am.  Before AR I was a frustrated journal keeper.  This is so much better!  IT talks back.  The only time my journal talked back was when I was REALLY drunk!

Rob: Thank you for your valuable input on the Seattle market.  It's good to know!

Lynn:  You are so right!  I love your point of view!

 

 

11:50pm • #5
APR
09
2008
226,134 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog
I couldn't agree more!  Very well put.  Those of us who have been around through one or more of these "dips" in the market know that eventually, sooner than later, and seemingly overnight, the market turns upward once more!
6:52am • #6
175,560 Points 44 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Mirela - Having been in real estate since 1980 and licensed in two states, Idaho and Oregon I get asked a lot for my opinion on real estate and what prices are going to do, and when is a good time to buy.  I simply ask "Do you have a set of dice so we can roll them?"  I explain that there are too many variables and things can change on a dime as we have all seen.  If one has the ablity to buy and needs to buy then "Buy" and the same with selling.  Buyers that wait for the bottom to hit rock bottom seldom ever buy and Sellers that try to "time the sale of their home" almost always end up on the short end of the stick.  "Some times analizing too much does more harm than good".
9:17am • #7
125,809 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
I'm asked on a regular basis about predicting the market and I tell them if I had a crystal ball, you think I would be standing here talking to you? People normally laugh and agree.
11:45am • #8
373,583 Points 23 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
mirela - ha!  journal talking back for me was after I'd taken my 'sleeping pill'....the most amazing conversations!  lol 
12:54pm • #9
APR
12
2008
So true.  I love your blog.
Sophie Mackie
12:46am • #10

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Myrtle Beach, SC

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Mirela Monte, Your Myrtle Beach Real Estate Connection

Address: BUYERS' CHOICE REALTY, 702-3 Sea Mountain Hwy., North Myrtle Beach, SC, 29582

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