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Ajax House Prices, January 2015 - Attached Row Townhouses

By
Real Estate Sales Representative

image showing scale with house balanced by moneyHouse Prices in Ajax, Ontario, for January 2015 - Attached Row Townhouses

Real estate market data for Ajax, Ontario, for January, 2015 provided by Brian Wiseman LL.B., CIPS of Keller Williams Energy Real Estate Brokerage

 

Ajax House Prices – Attached Row Townhouses

(See explanation of 5 different house types)

 

Author’s Note:

In reviewing the market statistics for the month of January, it is relevant to note that, due to preparations for the holiday season, the holiday period itself (and the weather!), real estate activity is usually significantly lower than at other times of the year.

 

This should be kept in mind when considering the information in this Market Report.

 

Some points of Interest for January 2015:

image of cash under a magnifying glass 

ü The average price, for Attached Row Townhouses in Ajax in January 2015, increased from $349,056 in January 2014 to $388,812 in January 2015 – a huge increase of $39,756 = 11.39%

 

ü The lowest average price for a month during the year was $342,043 in February 2014; the highest average price was $388,812 in January 2015

 

ü The median price, for Attached Row Townhouses in Ajax in January 2015, increased from $347,000 in January 2014 to $387,500 in January 2015 – a huge increase of $40,500 = 11.67%

 

ü 8 Attached Row Townhouses were sold in Ajax in January 2015; this is 8 less than the 16 sold in January 2014

 

ü There were 16 new listings for the month; 4 less than January 2014

 

ü There were 9 active listings at the end of the month; 6 less than January 2014

 

ü Average sold price was 99.69% of listed price; in January 2014 it was 99.19%

 

ü Average days on market was 8.3; in January 2014 it was 20.4 days

 

Buyers’ Market, Sellers’ Market or Balanced Market?

Explanation of these Markets

 

FOR ATTACHED ROW TOWNHOUSES IN AJAX IN JANUARY 2015:

image of rising house prices 

·      Ratio of Sales to New Listings:

Sales = 8; New Listings = 16

Ratio is 8/16 = 0.50 = 50%

As this is under 60%, it indicates a Balanced Market

 

·      Absorption Rate – Ratio of Sales to Active Listings:

Sales = 8; Active Listings = 9

Ratio is 8/9 = 0.89 = 89%

As this is over 20%, it indicates a strong Seller’ Market

 

·      Number of Months of Inventory:

Sales = 8; Active Listings = 9

9/8 = 1.13 months

As this is less than 4 months, it indicates a strong Seller’ Market

 

·      Days on Market:

The average number of days that Attached Row Townhouses were on the market in Ajax in January 2015 was a very short 8.3 days

As this is less than 120 days, it indicates a strong Seller’ Market

 

·      Ratio of Sold Price to Listed Price:

The average ratio of Sale Price to Listed Price was  a very high 99.69%

This is consistent with a strong Sellers’ Market

 

image of a house surrounded by peopleThe above are clear indications that, except for the Ratio of Sales to New Listings, the existing Sellers’ Market, for Attached Row Townhouses in Ajax, was continuing strongly.

 

It is clear that, in January 2015, there was still strong competition among Buyers and only limited opportunity for Buyers to negotiate on price.

 

However, the Ratio of Sales to New Listings shows indications of a trend towards a Balanced Market which could result in an increase in listings of homes for sale compared to sales made.

 

If this trend continues, it will be good news for Buyers because that would indicate less competition among Buyers during the Spring and Summer months.

 

In commenting on real estate statistics for Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB), the Board’s President Paul Etherington said:

The January results represented good news on multiple fronts. First, strong sales growth suggests home buyers continue to see housing as a quality long-term investment, despite the recent period of economic uncertainty. Second, the fact that new listings grew at a faster pace than sales suggests that it has become easier for some people to find a home that meets their needs.”

 

Jason Mercer, Director of Market Analysis for TREB said:

 " Home price growth is forecast to continue in 2015. Lower borrowing costs will largely mitigate price growth this year, which means affordability will remain in check. The strongest rates of price growth will be experienced for low-rise home types, including singles, semis and town houses. However, robust end-user demand for condo apartments will result in above-inflation price growth in the high-rise segment as well.”

 

See 5 Essentials for a Buyer in a Sellers’ Market

 

image of a question mark inside a headDo you know that, as a potential buyer, in almost every case, you can have an agent working for you, without you having to pay for their service & advice?

This is because the buyer’s agent is usually paid by the seller’s agent.

 

It is advisable for buyers to use an agent who is totally independent from the seller’s (listing) agent.

This avoids any conflict of interest during negotiations for a purchase.

 

See 5 Reasons Why a Buyer SHOULD NOT Talk to a Listing Agent

 

Monthly Average Price and Number of Homes Sold

Ajax Attached Row Townhouses

 January 2014 to January 2015

graph showing average sold price and units sold

You will see, from the above graph, that:

·         the monthly average sold price for Attached Row Townhouses in Ajax has ranged from a low of $342,043 (February 2014) to a high of $388,812 (January 2015)

 

·         the monthly average sold price increased steadily throughout the period

 

·         the number of Attached Row Townhouses sold in Ajax in one month has ranged from 41 (May 2014) to 8 in January 2015

 

Average prices can be misleading, especially when the number of sales is relatively low.

 

High quality homes, selling for above average prices can skew the average sold price up for the particular month.

Similarly, lower quality homes, selling for below average prices can skew the average sold price down for a particular month.

 

When there is a significant increase, or decrease, in average sold price, it is worth comparing the average sold price with the median price for the same period.

 

The average sold price in January 2015 was $388,812 which is quite congruent with the median price in that month of $387,500.

 

Average Ratio of Sold Price to Listed Price

Ajax Attached Row Townhouses

 January 2014 to January 2015

graph showing ratio of sold price to listed price

The average ratio of sold price to price asked (listed price) is an indication of demand for houses related to the listed price.

 

If a home is listed for $370,000 and it sells for $366,300, the sold price to ask price ratio is 99%.

 

You will see, from the above graph, that over the period, the ratio of monthly average sold price to listed price for Attached Row Townhouses in Ajax ranged from a high of 101.19% (November 2014) to a low of 98.79% in the usually quiet month of December 2014, finishing at 99.69% in January 2015.

 

You will note that, because of the scale of the graph, the range appears to be much wider than this. In fact, in most months, the ratio was above, or just fractionally below, 100%.

 

This is a clear indication that there was still strong competition among Buyers during the month and only limited opportunity for Buyers to negotiate on price.

 

This information is helpful when you are intending to make an offer on a home as it gives a general guideline on the price you may have to end up paying compared to the listing price.

 

However, it is a guideline only as the figures can vary significantly for individual properties.

 

Homes that are well priced for the current market tend to sell quickly and close to, or above, asking price.

 

Average Days on Market

Ajax Attached Row Townhouses

January 2014 to January 2015

graph showing average days on market

The average number of days that homes are on the market is an indication of:

·      the period from when a home is listed for sale until it is Sold Firm (unconditional);

·      the level of competition between potential buyers

 

You will notice, from the above graph that, in January 2014, the average days on market was 20.4 days. For all of the year, except for a spike up to 22.9 days in April 2014, it was less than a very short 16 days before finishing at 8.3 days in January 2015.

 

This is clear indication that, throughout the year, there has been considerable competition among Buyers for Attached Row Townhouses in Ajax, continuing the indication of a strong Sellers’ Market.

 

Homes that are well priced for the current market tend to sell quickly and close to, or above, asking price.

 

Ajax Home Prices – Attached Row Townhouses

image of house and SOLD signJanuary 2015

Summary:

Although the sales of Attached Row Townhouses in Ajax in January 2015 were less than a quarter of the average number of sales for the summer months, there are clear indications that the strong Sellers’ Market conditions were continuing.

 

However, the Ratio of Sales to New Listings could point to a possible easing of the market more towards a Balanced Market during the Spring and Summer months.

 

If this trend continues, it will be good news for Buyers.

 

See 5 Essentials for a Buyer in a Sellers’ Market

 

Find Homes for Sale in Ajax, Ontario

YOU ARE INVITED to visit my website, at any time and as often as you like, to find pictures & details of homes for sale in Ajax

 

For photos and details of attached houses, including Attached Row Townhouses, currently for sale in Ajax:

 

Under $300,000

 

Over $300,000

 

You can also arrange to be notified when homes, that meet your criteria, come onto the market.

These services are available to you without obligation.

 

image of a figure and the words "What is my home worth?"If you are thinking of selling, you can also:

ü Search on my website for homes, similar to yours, that would be competition for your home, if you list it for sale

ü Obtain an indication of the market value of your home

 

For answers to your questions, email me; or call 905-723-5944.

 

About the Author:

photo of Brian WisemanBrian Wiseman LL.B., CIPS, is a Sales Representative with Keller Williams Energy Real Estate Brokerage in Ajax & Ajax, Ontario, Canada.

 

In his past lives, Brian was a Partner in Legal Practices, specializing in Real Estate and Business Law in Australia and a Principal of a successful Financial Planning Practice in Australia.

 

 

After the sale of his business interests in Australia, Brian started a new adventure by relocating to Canada with his Canadian wife.