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2008 Hurricane Forecast

I don't really want to think about it, but it's next to impossible to avoid -- hurricane season is less than two months away.

hurricane And with it being so close, the forecasts for this season have begun to come out.

This year, Dr. William Gray and his noted team of forecasters at Colorado State University think that we are going to have a pretty active hurricane season. Their numbers have been off the past couple of years, but they are using a new statistical model to come up with their predictions.

This year they are calling for a total of 15 named storms, eight hurricanes, and four major or intense Category 3, 4 or 5 hurricanes.

The team looked at conditions this year like warm seas and the potential for lower wind shear allowing more storm development.

I'm sure that as we get further into the season that the numbers will change. But I'm hoping that we can steer clear of any major storms altogether!

Posted by Jim & Maria Hart ~ Charleston, SC Real Estate on 04/10/2008 12:28 PM

Comments (8)

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8 Comments on 2008 Hurricane Forecast

Maria and Jim, I certainly hope that you all remain safe and that the season for these horrid wind storms are mild. I think there has been enough devastation to last us all for awhile.

04/11/2008 05:59 PM

by Sacramento Real Estate and Luxury Homes, Assoc. Real Estate Broker,Gena Riede (Remax Gold, Assoc Broker)

I agree with Gena - stay safe!

These numbers are interesting - I've never paid attention to know what has been typical for the area - 15 named storms and eight hurricanes sound high. How does that compare to the last few years?

04/11/2008 08:47 PM

by Debbie DiFonzo, Broker, United Country VIP Realty

Maria and Jim, Thanks for the update, I think! My daughter and her family moved to the Gulf Coast, MS. They don't live too close to the water, but her husband is in the Navy and deployed, so a big storm would be tough on her.

04/12/2008 01:36 PM

by Virginia Hepp - Mesquite NV Real Estate (Mesquite GMAC Real Estate)

Thanks Gena! I completely agree that we have all seen our fair share (and then some) of devastation in the most recent past, so I'm keeping my fingers crossed for a very uneventful hurricane season!

04/14/2008 11:01 AM

by Jim & Maria Hart ~ Charleston, SC Real Estate (Agent Owned Realty)

Debbie: These numbers are right about where they usually are around this time of year. As we get into the season is when they amend their prediction (sometimes multiple times) depending on whether or not we have seen much activity up to that point.

04/14/2008 11:04 AM

by Jim & Maria Hart ~ Charleston, SC Real Estate (Agent Owned Realty)

Virginia: A big storm would be really tough on your daughter, I'm sure. I really hope that after the really bad season the Gulf saw a few years ago that they have lots of inactive seasons in their future.

04/14/2008 11:07 AM

by Jim & Maria Hart ~ Charleston, SC Real Estate (Agent Owned Realty)

We dont get hurricanes in Arizona (just dry HEAT) But I wanted to just tell you I will pray for everyones saftey during hurricane season. Good Luck

04/17/2008 12:03 PM

by Dione Sage (American Mortgage Specialists)

Dione: We do thank you for your prayers. And we'll say one in return for you to make it through the excessive heat you have to put up with every summer!

04/17/2008 12:12 PM

by Jim & Maria Hart ~ Charleston, SC Real Estate (Agent Owned Realty)

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