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2015 - Moore is More. 50 years of computing.

Reblogger Bob Crane
Real Estate Agent with Woodland Management Service / Woodland Real Estate, KW Diversified #1 in Forest Land Mgmt

I tend to replace my main computers every two years too, until now I did not know that there was likely a plan behind making them all grow outdated and fall apart in two year intervals.

Original content by Donald Hester

2015- Moore is More.  50 years of computing.

 

Oh how the times have changed



 

Its 2015 and we have reached the 50th anniversary of Moore’s Law. Moore’s law is  based on Moore’s paper published in 1965 about the processing power of computers. Moore’s Law describes that the number of transistors in an integrated circuit will approximately double every two years. Moore was a co-founder of Intel and his law is used as a business model for the Semiconductor industry.

 



So far Moore’s law has held true and the power of computing has doubled about every two years. I tend to buy computers in two year cycles to take advantage of this processing power and keep cost in check by buying just behind the newest technology.



 

So for a little timeline to transistors and size. Back in the early 1970’s we had what was referred to as the 10 µm process transistor (or 0.000393701 inch) which was the level of semiconductor processing technology reached around 1971/72 timeframe. Today we are looking at a 14 nm process (14 nm = 5.51181102362E-7 inch).

 

Here is the size of the semiconductors by decade-

The 1970’s-  10 µm - 1971, to 6 µm- 1974, to 3 µm – 1977

The 1980’s-  1.5 µm – 1982, to 1 µm – 1985, to 800 nm – 1989

The 1990’s- 600 nm – 1994, to 350 nm – 1995, to 250 nm – 1997, to 180 nm – 1999

The 2000’s- 130 nm – 2001, to 90 nm – 2004, to 65 nm – 2006, to 45 nm – 2008

The 2010’s-  32 nm – 2010, to 22 nm – 2012, to 14 nm – 2014

 

Intel in their 22-nm process started stacking transistors on top of each other in what they refer to as 3-D design. This was enhanced even further with their 14-nm technology.

 

Here is an interesting video from Intel on their 22-nm process.

 

 

And to the future here is what they predict-  2016- 10 nm,  7 nm in 2018 and 5 nm by 2020





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Comments(8)

Barbara Todaro
RE/MAX Executive Realty - Happily Retired - Franklin, MA
Previously Affiliated with The Todaro Team

Hi Bob Crane this is well beyond my pay grade, but it reinforced with me how much I really do not know!!!! sad....

May 17, 2015 02:34 AM
Gayle Rich-Boxman Fishhawk Lake Real Estate
John L Scott Market Center - Birkenfeld, OR
"Your Local Expert!" 503-739-3843

Bob, Donald has an amazing mind and I really feel he brings us such a different perspective on the world! I have to go tell HIM that now! 

May 17, 2015 03:18 AM
George Souto
George Souto NMLS #65149 FHA, CHFA, VA Mortgages - Middletown, CT
Your Connecticut Mortgage Expert

Bob I manage to get mine to last about 5 years before I replace it.  Two years would be a little to quick for me.

May 17, 2015 09:04 AM
William Feela
WHISPERING PINES REALTY - North Branch, MN
Realtor, Whispering Pines Realty 651-674-5999 No.

I was told many years ago that when you buy your computer it is outdated...2 years is what I heard the life is.

May 17, 2015 09:24 AM
Jerry Lucas
ABC Legal Docs LLC - Colorado Springs, CO
Notary Training, Consulting. Colorado Springs, CO

Thanks for the re-blog.  I am a retired computer design engineer so I know this techie stuff.  But I buy used or refurbished computers for $200 on eBay from reputable sellers.  I don't need the fast speed of the latest computers for small business. 

I replace the hard disk with a solid state drive (SSD), which gives a bigger performance boost than using a fast computer.  The computer spends most of its time idle, waiting for the human to type a key on the keyboard.  A fast computer is useful if you do a lot of high resolution photo or video editing.

May 17, 2015 10:03 AM
Sam Shueh
(408) 425-1601 - San Jose, CA
mba, cdpe, reopro, pe

A fast computer works better if there are i/o intensive. The one made a difference on our kind of i/o is access time.  W/O rotational dealy, the SSD really makes a difference. I have to admit it can not perpetually do read and write.  I have a 32mb thumb drive which no longer can write or format but can be used in read mode. That thumb drive was from the 1990s.

May 17, 2015 11:44 AM
Troy Erickson AZ Realtor (602) 295-6807
HomeSmart - Chandler, AZ
Your Chandler, Ahwatukee, and East Valley Realtor

Bob - Thanks for sharing this re-blog. With many things that are technology driven, there will always be the new and improved model for people to purchase.

May 18, 2015 05:23 AM
Claude Labbe
RLAH / @properties - Washington, DC
Realty for Your Busy Life

Moore's Law is 50 years old.  Okay, if I think of that in the same arena as Newton's Laws of Physics, and I feel so young.  If I consider this law and computers truly came to be after I was born, then I'm not so keen.

I usually get 3+ years from my computers, but my phones rarely get to 2 years. They surely qualify as computers.

May 27, 2015 03:10 PM