Special offer

It's Not The Baklava But The Wonton That's The Problem

By
Real Estate Agent with Karen Parsons-Fiddler, Broker 949-510-2395 BRE# 01494165

Greece has been in the news quite a bit lately, but during the same time frame, China is also collapsing. In the past 3 weeks, The Chinese Stock Market has lost 1/3 of their value. 

Think about that? That's a third of the wealth...gone. 

While I'm not an economist, I know that this is a serious concern for the rest of the world. As this is still a fresh situation, the consequences have not shown themselves in my neighborhood, but unless this turns around, it will.

Economists have been warning that the Chinese Stock Market was showing signs of a "bubble." The increase in stock values have become unrelated to the Chinese economy with fortunes being made in day trading with no real relationship to earnings and profit. 

As I'm reading this news, I can't help but wonder how this could affect the Orange County, California real estate market. In California, Chinese account for a third of the foreign home buyers. Chinese investors in the US real estate market has grown from $50 million in 2000 to $14 billion in 2013....that's a huge jump and growing. 

Our local real estate prices have benefited from this investment. Home prices in Southern California have been steadily rising and it's rare to have a listing which does not see at least one offer by a Chinese National. These are great buyers also, typically paying cash and closing quickly.

Some cities, such as Irvine, are very desirable by these Chinese buyers and have seen their properties increase in value significantly higher and faster than their neighbors just 10 miles away. If this foreign money slows down or dries up, the Orange County real estate market would naturally feel the results and I would expect property values to drop. 

While I feel for the Greek people and their European friends trying to solve their debt problem, I think the real attention should be placed on China and the looming problem of an inflated stock market and it's affect on the world economies...and our real estate market. 

 

Comments(5)

Kathy Streib
Cypress, TX
Home Stager/Redesign

Karen- I agree with you.  The Greeks will, hopefully, agree to some kind of bailout. And yes, we always have to have an eye towards them.  However China is an even bigger concern.  just think how their economy would affect Apple. 

Jul 10, 2015 07:22 AM
Tammy Lankford,
Lane Realty Eatonton, GA Lake Sinclair, Milledgeville, 706-485-9668 - Eatonton, GA
Broker GA Lake Sinclair/Eatonton/Milledgeville

Hey, if the whole world goes dark and I have to live off the land and defend what is mine, I'll be okay.  So while I am concerned, there really isn't much I can do to change it.

Jul 10, 2015 07:55 AM
Chris Ann Cleland
Long and Foster Real Estate - Gainesville, VA
Associate Broker, Bristow, VA

I guess this means we need to get our own economy under control.  Being reliant on other economies for credit is definitely frightening.

Jul 10, 2015 09:55 AM
Patricia Kennedy
RLAH@properties - Washington, DC
Home in the Capital

Karen, I think you're right.  While Greece is important, it's economy is only a tiny fraction of that of China.  Of course, the Chinese buyers who manage to hang onto their wealth might consider real estate in the United States to be a far safer investment than anything in their own country.

Jul 10, 2015 11:51 AM
Myrl Jeffcoat
Sacramento, CA
Greater Sacramento Realtor - Retired

I read via the BBC today, that 89.5% of Greeks failed to pay their taxes.  That's in comparison of 2.3% failure for Germans.  It has also been revealed that Greece cooked their books to get into the Euro Zone.  There's a real problem there, and if the Euro Zone gives Greece another bailout based on "promises" they will raise taxes, and cut back on pensions, then I have a bridge I'd like to sell the Euro Zone!

Jul 11, 2015 02:36 PM