Feel like a Piece of Livestock yet?

 

homeowner Cattle, Sheep. Goats, go ahead and pick your favorite.  You are a now a piece of livestock in the eyes of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

And you thought you were just another number?

As the pressure mounts for more and more homeowners, it's no surprise that  Foreclosure Rates have risen.

Yesterday, Bloomberg News reported that,

"U.S. foreclosure filings jumped 57 percent and bank repossessions more than doubled in March from a year earlier as adjustable mortgages increased and more owners gave up their homes to lenders."

From the mouths of Lenders (thanks to Calculated Risk),

Don Truslow, Wachovia Corporation - SEVP, Chief Risk Officer

"Ken, that's exactly right. And Kevin, it's just this pattern almost that somewhere -- I don't know where the tipping point is, but somewhere when a borrower crosses the 100% loan to value, somewhere north of that and they presumably run into some sort of cash flow bump, whether it's reduced income or kind of normal things in life that have created past dues before,  their propensity to just default and stop paying their mortgage rises dramatically and I mean really accelerates up and it's almost regardless of how they scored, say, on FICO or other kinds of character, credit characteristics."

Dowd Ritter, Regions Financial Corp. - CEO & President:

"I would tell you that in a few of those that you saw us basically write off, we did not write them down, and because some of those -- they did have firsts, but there are cases where people as early as 18 to 24 months ago had one value on that property, and as they started to sell it or refinance it, they realize that valuation was 40% below what it was 18 to 24 months ago, and they're walking away from those homes in those markets."

What we're talking about is a

Realized Fear of Herd Mentality

herdingdog Make no mistake, the lenders are worried.  This has moved up the food chain to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac who came out with new guidelines for those wishing to finance in the future with a Foreclosure on their record.

As more and more people "walk away" from their homes, it becomes easier for the next person to make the same decision.

Herd Mentality

Cutting to the chase (a herding term) Fannie is saying to homeowners,

If you Walk Away today we're going to punish you tomorrow.  We will now prohibit foreclosed borrowers from getting another mortgage for Five Years!

And even after that five year period is up, we're going to require you come in with at least 10% down

Oh and we want you to have a really good credit score too.  Better have better than a 680 FICO."

Five years isn't so long is it?  Doesn't a foreclosure drop off your credit after a few years?

Foreclosure is Forever. 

Remember, on the loan application is a cute little box for you to check Yes or No.

1003question 

Check the YES Box and your loan application jumps out of the Automated Underwriting line (easier approval process) and is pulled into the black hole that sometimes is Manual Underwriting.

This Fannie makes it all that much more important for homeowners in trouble to fully examine all their options.  For instance, by going through the "hassle" of a Short Sale, you'll avoid the Foreclosure Label.

I see that as a big positive in an otherwise negative situation.  "I'm never going to own a home again!"

Who knows what the future holds?  What if Grandma passes away and gives you her home?  What if she had a reverse mortgage on that bungalow?  Now what are you going to do?

By the way:  Not checking the Yes box (with a foreclosure in your distant past) is grounds for Fraud. 

"Mommy, why are they taking Daddy away?"

"Daddy was a very bad man, he checked the wrong box!"

 

Active Mike

 


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5 Comments on BAAAAAAA!

APR
16
2008
213,301 Points 51 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Hi Michael - All rules are meant to be broken.  The free market system says that if people aren't buying homes (let's say in 4 years) and we have all these formerly foreclosed buyers who can't buy - the bankers will complain, the GSE will listen, and the rules will change to welcome the FF's * in.

That's assuming we need new buyers at that time.  If there's a glut of buyers - why change the rules?

BK has a 7 year window on the application so it's different from foreclosure in that way.

Always good thoughts from you!

Active Mike


 

  (* Formerly Foreclosed)

10:53am • #2
169,339 Points 17 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Mike,

So if a homeowner accepts a short sale offer, submits it to the bank with the intent of negotiating total forgiveness on the deficiency but the bank says no, are the homeowners then locked into the contract if the bank accepts the offer?

9:02pm • #3
1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor

Just a take off from the comment above me...why would the bank not accept an offer in a short sale?  Would foreclosure be better?  Why does it take months for banks to even just refuse an offer?  Why is it so like a secret handshake kind of thing when it comes to who's in charge of the process?

11:34pm • #4
APR
17
2008
169,339 Points 17 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
If the offer came in really low the bank may feel they would get more at foreclosure sale, although I think that would very rarely be the case.  I believe the tide is going to turn where banks are going to give short sales and the agents handling them better customer service because they are going to find that it's far, far cheaper for them than a foreclosure and what bank isn't having money issues at this point?  You know the banks with the huge inventory of shorts sales and foreclosures are running scared at this point and if they aren't yet, they will be. 
12:30am • #5
213,301 Points 51 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Hi Fran and Yolanda!

How about we throw in part three of this series? Conspiracy Theory #17

     Just thinking...

 

 

Active Mike


 

 

 

9:31am • #6

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