"Come to my web." said the spider to the fly. I know that I am asking for trouble writing about this mortgage crisis and for the first time, I am REALLY looking forward to input from as many people as possible.... Here's how I understand the mortgage crisis and why it directly affects the real estate market....

1. Crazy loans are made and EVERYONE qualifies.

2. Because everyone qualifies, (with practically nothing down) prices SOAR.

3. People begin falling behind in their payments... or figure out they can't afford the mortgage payments.

4. People begin to sell to get out of the debt.

5. Lots of people can't sell and go into foreclosure.

6. The market gets flooded with homes to sell

7. Prices DROP.

8. Lenders tighten their restrictions on obtaining financing.

9. Less people can qualify for mortgages. So, less people can buy (despite falling prices).

10. Even less buyers equates to further price declines.

11. Insurance companies (who insure mortgages) won't insure mortgages in "declining" markets.

12. Without insurance, even LESS mortgages are being approved. Mainly because most of the markets are declining.

13. The only people who qualify for mortgages are those with substancial down payments. (20% or more)

14. The economy as a whole is in a recession which means people have less money and therefore can't come up with the down payment.

15. Prices continue to drop. and drop. and drop.

My take on this is that prices will continue to drop until the banks have gotten rid of the majority of their inventory and until average home buyers can afford to make their down payments to purchase. I know that there are still loan programs out there such as FHA and private lending that are allowing people to purchase, but it just seems like too little too late.....

The lenders need to loosen up their restrictions just a little bit. Write conservative loans but allow a little less downpayment or something.... It seems that you have to be an angel to get a mortgage these days!

Opinions?????

Bryce Fuller is a professional Realtor with RE/MAX North in Northbrook, IL. He can be reached via email at Bryce@TheFullerForce.com or on the web at http://www.thefullerforce.com/. His real estate concentration is in Northbrook, Illinois, Glenview, Illinois, and Deerfield, Illinois. All of these communities are on the West Side of the North Shore of Chicago. He has over 5 years of experience selling single family homes and houses, condos, townhomes, townhouses, condominiums, and investment real estate in this and the surrounding areas. If you or someone you know is looking for a professional realtor to buy or sell residential real estate, please contact Bryce today. He works on a team with his wife Lori Fuller, and his Mother, Connie Fuller. They are affectionately known as "The Fuller Force" at RE/MAX North. Visit "The Fuller Force" on the web today at http://www.thefullerforce.com/. Other communities that "The Fuller Force" serves include Glencoe, Morton Grove, Skokie, Wheeling, Buffalo Grove, Palatine, Arlington Heights, Prospect Heights, Mount Prospect, Highland Park, Lincolnshire, Vernon Hills, Libertyville, Kenilworth, Winnetka, Wilmette and Des Plaines. If you or someone you know is interested in knowing the market value of property in any of these communities, contact Bryce today! You can read his Blog at www.activerain.com/blogs/cbrycefuller.

 
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9 Comments on What the gosh dern heck's goin' on with Mortgages!!!???!?!?!

It will get worse before it get better. The guidelines are there now that make it difficult at best. Look at more FHA and Government loans for now.

04/20/2008 09:03 AM by Chip Jefferson (Carrion Builders)


Hi Bryce.  Your posting screams of the frustration that many of us feel.  I definitely would not classify myself as an expert or trend forecaster, but I think you have the [generalizede] idea.  One thing I want to point out is that from my limited experience, people got too dependant on 100% financing.  So many first time homebuyers never even thought of saving up some money for a down payment on a home expecting 100% financing to be around forever.  Not even those folks in the midwest who, depending on the area, needed just a few thousand dollars.  I've even heard comments like they are "waiting until 100% financing comes back."

 

04/20/2008 09:10 AM by Tiffany Wilson (Shorewood Realtors)


Bryce:

Unfortunately, many of the reasons that you stated are part and parcel of the current real estate environment. The only thing that I did not see mention is the individual who is losing his/her job because of the downsizing, or elimination of a job completely. We are quick to point the finger at the whole dilemma we are in on just sub-prime issues. Its very challenging for the family that is two income, and then 60% of the income is wiped out due to no fault of the person who is thinking they have a secure job, but their employer is experiencing financial problems.

The unemployment rate in our area is going up and the numbers do not reflect those that exhausted there unemployment and are still out of work, or working at a job that pays a fraction of what they made.

These individuals do not want to sell their home, but in many cases they have no choice, they are caught between a rock and a hard place. I do feel that we have a great distance to go before we are out of the woods with this market.

04/20/2008 09:26 AM by Lorraine and Loretta Kratz (Crescent Moon Realty, Inc. & Land N Sea Auctions.)


The swing certainly is in the opposite direction. It needs to center back on sanity. We do have some good programs here. You might check to see is USDA is available in your area.

04/20/2008 09:32 AM by Charlie Ragonesi Big Canoe homes, Jasper ,Ball Ground,Benttree,Dahlonega (All Mountain Realty)


I just wrote about these same subjects, they are  self fulfilling prophecies one problem hinges on another unresolved issue which creates another which leads to still more issues. The banks have to start lending policies that allow buyers to buy or they wouldn't have accounts to service after a period of time, if you make no new loans you can't stay in business .

04/20/2008 09:59 AM by Steve Loynd, Alpine Lakes Real Estate Inc., Loon Mt, NH.


From one extreme to another! I don't see how new restrictions on loan programs will do anything but increase the number of mortgage loan defaults. When one considers the average value of homes, especially in your area, telling someone they can't own till they have 20% down is simply not realistic if you want to stabilize, much less stimluate a declining real estate market.

www.GregZaccagni.com

 

06/29/2008 12:30 PM by Illinois Mortgage Lender Greg Zaccagni (www.MortgageAdvisor.info)


Bryce,

The changes will not stop until the people that buy the banks paper (investment bankers) get their skin back in the game. We've got to show them that the loans are appropriately rated for risk , which is what we seem to have lost sigt of as an industry.

I am actually quite optomistic and feel that the Chicagoland area will see a great pickup next spring. We miswesterners are conservatives, and aren't experiencing nearly the crisis in many other areas of the country.

And to what Tiffany said....THERE STILL IS 100% FINANCING! I swear, through the use of an FHA loan and downpayment assistance for the 3% minimum down (which essentially comes from the seller.

I'm doing them all the time! Let me know if you are interested in more details....

 

07/21/2008 06:45 PM by Christina Ewing (Countrywide Home Loans, Inc.)


Hi Bryce,

You do cover a wide range of reasons on the credit crisis, I think the difference is the lending restrictions are not as terrible as the media portrays, especially for single family homes! We still have the option to do 5% down loans, FHA will allow 3% down or even up to 100% financing.

Second mortgages have become more difficult to do which has given rise to mortgage insurance if you do not have the 20% down. The problem that initially rose was all the MI companies decided to call Cook County a declining market limiting the loans they would insure (since they too suffered major losses). So even if we had an investor willing to do the loan at a low down payment scenario we could not get mortgage insurance. Thankfully they have truly loosened the criteria on declining markets, at least in Cook County, allowing us to successfully close 5% down loans again!

Hopefully this trend will continue, every day is a crazy day with new guideline changes - it is certainly never dull!

 

08/25/2008 08:20 PM by Erin Griffin - Green Solutions Consultant (Corby Mortgage Services, Inc.)


Yes, we can still get FHA on 3% down or even up to 100% financing in our area.

08/25/2008 08:28 PM by Jack Climer Realty, LLC


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Real Estate Agent: Bryce Fuller (RE/MAX North)
Bryce Fuller
Northbrook, IL
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RE/MAX North

Office Phone: (847) 272-7070 Ext.: 6788
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This Blog is filled with my observations, opinions and ramblings about real estate and home sales in general and in the Northbrook, Glenview, and Deerfield areas specifically. Thanks for reading! Oh, by the way, I'm never too busy for any of my reader's personal referrals!

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