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How did we miss another bubble?

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Cimpler Real Estate, Inc. CA BRE# 01330941

Economic Bubble

A friend pointed me to the following article recently:

Home Ownership in a Bubble: A Fast Path to Poverty?

The most fascinating for me is that this article by Dean Baker and Simon Baribeau was written in 2003! Were we all blind?  How is it possible, especially here in California that we walked from one bubble (dot com) to another? The warning signs were all around us. Were we too greedy to resist temptation? Or we trusted “our economic” leaders too much?

Obviously, the feds took advantage of our love and desire for our own place and gave us tax breaks to lure us in.  Tax breaks helped to stimulate the economy and the overall growth.  But when stimulation became the over stimulation?

Cheryl Johnson
Highland Park, CA

I'm a broker in Los Angeles, and yep, I agree.   I had an uncomfortable feeling as I watched the average price tick higher and higher ... out of the reach of more and more buyers.

There weren't alot of blogs around in 2003.  But there were by 2005.  Dig around and read the archives at some of the notorious "bubble blogs" and you'll see agents arguing right and left there is no bubble, and that real estate prices never go down.  Sigh.

 

Apr 22, 2008 10:43 PM
Donna Marie Godfrey
Godfrey Properties - Pottstown, PA
Too much trust.  The "man" got us again!
Apr 22, 2008 11:11 PM
Frank Rubi
Frank Rubi Real Estate, LLC - Metairie, LA
FrankRubiRealEstate.com
Artur, we must stay tune to the conditions that surround us. In addition, we must do our own DD.
Apr 22, 2008 11:20 PM
Gita Bantwal
RE/MAX Centre Realtors - Warwick, PA
REALTOR,ABR,CRS,SRES,GRI - Bucks County & Philadel

We have recovered from other bubbles and hope we will recover from this one.

Apr 22, 2008 11:31 PM
Neal Bloom
Brokered by eXp Realty LLC - Weston, FL
Realtor CRS-Weston FL Real Estate
They just announced the possibility of a big tax cut here...I'm not sure whether it will really go through or not but they talked about an approval of a 30% cut on property taxes.
Apr 22, 2008 11:56 PM
Artur Urbanski
Cimpler Real Estate, Inc. - Burlingame, CA
Helping property owners to maximize property value
Cheryl, Donna, Frank, Gita, Neal - thank you very much for your comments. Yes, we definitely have to get better with our own DD.  At the same toime if there is hype around us -it is very difficult tp determin wjhen it is tim eto chabge course. After all, people make tons of money in the beginning of each bubble.
Apr 23, 2008 04:59 AM
Rosemary Brooks
BMC Real Estate - 209-910-3706 - Stockton, CA
The Mother & Daughter Realty Team
This too shall past.  Not to worry it will past.  This time around maybe we should not take a nap (or at least not take a long nap on our conditions and surroundings).
Apr 23, 2008 05:33 AM
Artur Urbanski
Cimpler Real Estate, Inc. - Burlingame, CA
Helping property owners to maximize property value
You are right.  The problem is we have tendency not learn from experience. We just walked into right after the dot com bubble! Thanks for your comment.  How things are going in Stockton?
Apr 23, 2008 05:44 AM