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Insights- Buying Homes in Asheville & Appreciation Rates

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK 209970

Scenario: A Buyer's Broker looks at the dollar difference in a mortgage between a  $90,000 investment property, a doublewideand a stick-built   $135,000 property.  Although the appearance of the properties is similar, (see photos)  she notes differences including an Energy Star Rating on the more expensive property.  The investor/client plans to keep the property for about five(5) years. Neighborhood appreciation rate over that period of time is of serious interest. The difference in mortgage payments between these two properties would be  around $300/month.

 

 

 

 

 

 STICK-BUILT

 

Discovery: How much and how fast could the properties of interest appreciate ?  Will this offset the difference? Which property could be a wise investment?

Having explained to her clients that she is not a financial analyst/consultant, so it would beyond her scope as REALTOR® to advise in-depth about appreciation rates, the Broker, who is knowledgeable about value-added factors, completes her overview of the situation and  refers her clients to  tax/financial experts as per   Article 11 of the REALTORS® Code of Ethics :

"REALTORS® shall not undertake to provide specialized professional services concerning a type of property or service that is outside their field of competence unless they engage the assistance of one who is competent on such types of property or service, or unless the facts are fully disclosed to the client. Any persons engaged to provide such assistance shall be so identified to the client and their contribution to the assignment should be set forth."

Insights: On first glance, as the client/investor and Broker factored in that in five years the $135,000 property would have to appreciate $18,000 more than another, less expensive, there were a few raised eyebrows. Given the current rate of appreciation in the area, it looked as if the $135,000 would have to appreciate approximately  $3600/year more when compared to the less expensive property.

 But certain  insights are apparent when she looked a little deeper... 

1) in spite of  fluctuations,  stick-built properties have been shown to appreciate (from the base year) at a higher cumulative rate than doublewides...

2)  the purchase of the average home in the sustainable, "green" community, according to research, will yield a higher rate of return on investment than one in the conventional development, despite the nearly 2:1 lot-size differential. The $135,000 property is in such a community. It is in a new development where it appears the goal is to maximize building space and avoid the more land consumptive, conventional housing pattern. This adds up to a higher rate of return on investment.

3) the property is in the Asheville, North Carolina market where home-buyers, speaking in dollar-terms through the marketplace, have demonstrated a growing demand for homes with less land-consumptive attributes, and more "green" advantages. From looking at trends in the  marketplace and those across  the USA this demand to be on the rise.

4) Real estate transactions have proven that the City of Asheville , where both properties are located, continues to be one of the best communities in which to live and work. (named # 1 for investing in Second and Vacation homes)   

5)Property sales continued to be strong during calendar year 2006,.so the likelihood of the trend working in the investor/client's favor is excellent.

6) According the  mortgage loan calculator at REALTOR.com...

$90K at 4.25% = $443.75/mo
$135K      "        = $664.12
                         $ 212 difference

7) We could look for appreciation of about $2,500/year according to an examination of appreciation in the Asheville market as seen at this link

Outcome: Investor bought more expensive property. Would you have? Let me know what you think.

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Copyright © 2007 All Rights Reserved  Asheville ECO Real Estate: Trends, Legacies & The Home Place Greenolina

 

 

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Comments(30)

Jennifer Fivelsdal
JFIVE Home Realty LLC | 845-758-6842|162 Deer Run Rd Red Hook NY 12571 - Rhinebeck, NY
Mid Hudson Valley real estate connection
Very interesting post.  I too would have gone with stick build, douuble wide don't hold value after a certain point.
Feb 22, 2007 10:59 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
Mike...Quality over Quantity, for sure. And let us know if y'all are ever in North Carolina doing seminars. In the  meantime, I am wondering how to create a quality product for my client/investors who want to keep their investments in affordable housing. Any ideas?
Feb 22, 2007 11:01 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com

Bryant...Personal property = mobile home  here in NC It still needs to be licensed. But if it is "planted" /off-frame on the land (as per the doublewide), it is not considered personal property in NC.

Interestingly, a gathering of mobile homes sometimes are  considered good investment fodder. At the end of the life cycle of a the mobile home park, it might be translated into an infill residential project, and be a valuable commodity.

Feb 22, 2007 11:08 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
Bill...Thanks for the nod. I will follow-up on your follow-up ;-)
Feb 22, 2007 11:10 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com

Christopher and Bernadette...I have often wondered about the magnetic attraction of mobile homes and storms, I used to think it was just my imagination, but if you follow storm stories, you must see the stats prove otherwise. What do you think is the cause? As to investment in mobile homes and parks, please see my comment to Bryant.

 

Feb 22, 2007 11:16 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
Jennifer..I agree. The only doublewides I know of that have held their value are on the Pacific Coast...and the only reason I am aware of that is that I saw a segment on HGTV about home buyers who chose a doublewide because of its location.
Feb 22, 2007 11:20 AM
Mike Mueller
Tech and Social Media Consultant - Walnut Creek, CA

"Quality over Quantity, for sure. And let us know if y'all are ever in North Carolina doing seminars. In the  meantime, I am wondering how to create a quality product for my client/investors who want to keep their investments in affordable housing. Any ideas?"

I'll be back for sure.  My wife is a genealogist and we were back there for two reasons.

The Smith- McDowell house in Asheville had a thing.  (She's a McDowell)

And then we were also back exploring cemeteries in NC and KY.

Digging up dead people can be fun! 

Here's a pic of my daughter and her cousin as we were digging in a family plot in the hills of KY. 

 


Now about the investments.

Differing appreciation rates aside, in most any real estate investment the primary way to achieve real ROI is thru appreciation.

Appreciation takes time.  So you need to be able to buy and hold.

See this post: LINK 

BTW: I'll point out that investing in RE at 100% LTV isn't investing.

As for seminars, I tend to stay in CA.  But who knows?

 

Active Mike

 

 

Feb 22, 2007 12:28 PM
Anonymous
John Thomas
Really good information. Thanks.
Feb 23, 2007 04:22 AM
#18
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
Mike...Solid advice..." in most any real estate investment the primary way to achieve real ROI is thru appreciation. Appreciation takes time.  So you need to be able to buy and hold." And I enjoyed the photo!
Feb 23, 2007 11:50 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
John... Yes..good info and as you read the comments, there is lots to consider, as well.
Feb 23, 2007 11:51 AM
Brian Brady
Matthews Capital Markets - Tampa, FL
858-699-4590
You might consider entering this in the CARNIVAL: The Economics of Real Estate Group
Feb 23, 2007 04:26 PM
Rob Robinson- Lehigh Valley PA
Bertrum Settlements (Title & Abstract) - Allentown, PA
Did you fail to mention that the double wide is on property of a planned highway to be built in 5 years? :^)
Feb 24, 2007 02:43 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
Brian...Thanks for the nod. I will be sure to look into that! The economics of real estate is a subject we all could find interesting.
Feb 24, 2007 09:50 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
Hi Rob...OR...it could be subject to eminent domain...or some developer could come along, buy the acreage and relocate the doublewides...lots of sticky wickets...Thanks for the clues...
Feb 24, 2007 12:08 PM
Rob Robinson- Lehigh Valley PA
Bertrum Settlements (Title & Abstract) - Allentown, PA

Sticky wickets - Cricket, I like that.  Good point.

 

 

Feb 24, 2007 01:30 PM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
Rob....Yes. Always good to keep an eye out for obstacles along the way. That way possibly they can be remedied before they become a problem.
Feb 26, 2007 01:44 AM
Sara Goodwin
Estimation Nation Corporation - Portland, OR
Portland, Oregon Appraiser

I can't tell you how many times I go out to appraise a manufactured home and one of the following happens:

  1. The borrower is miffed because the salesperson didn't mention the appreciation rate difference between a manufactured and a stick built home
  2. I have to explain to the borrower that even though the manufactured home is now off it's axels it is and always will be a manufactured home (this becomes a large issue when I have to call the loan officer and break the news to them as well... sometimes tax records do not show these as manufactured homes and so it's a surprise to everyone)
  3. The shock value of having to roll-over that one-time ARM that the manufactured home sales team offers only to find that their interest rates are 2%+ higher than what it would be for a stick-built home (as Cynthia and JaneAnne mentioned)

Although the manufactured homes are made to be more solid, energy efficient and appealing these days, I don't see them ever having the same pull in the market as a stick built home.

 

 

Feb 26, 2007 02:52 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com

Interestingly the following just arrived as Board News from the Asheville Board of REALTORS:

 

 

 
Headline:
Modular vs. Manufactured
 
News Detail:
Sometimes it is hard to identify which type of home you are dealing with but there are some general guidelines. If the home was constructed on the lot from ordinary building supplies, it is Site Built. Homes which are brought to the site in large sections are either Modular or Manufactured. That distinction is determined by the labels. If it has a rust colored label on the outside saying that it meets HUD standards and a permanent steel foundation, it is Manufactured. If it has a label inside which says that it meets NC building standards, it is Modular. If the modular has a permanent steel foundation, it is an On Frame Modular. If a modular has a standard wooden floor system, it is an Off Frame Modular.

The NC Real Estate Commission has a good article about identifying a modular vs. a manufactured home at: When Those Homes Coming Rolling In .


Feb 26, 2007 08:15 AM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
Sara...Yes..the shock for folks who buy and then find out later that the home they are invested in may have not appreciate at all....and the shock in terms of loans and financing. I wonder about the responsibility of listing and buyer's agents when it comes to this matter.
Mar 02, 2007 10:28 PM
ASHEVILLE REALTY REFERRAL RESOURCE 828-776-0779
REAL ESTATE REFERRAL NETWORK - Asheville, NC
CONTACT janeAnne365@gmail.com
John T. ...Possibly speak with your lender before considering investing in a doublewide. Some lenders will not provide loand, some will. Good idea to do your research. 
Mar 05, 2007 03:00 PM