tootBack in November, I wrote a predictive article about Manhattan real estate called:

Boom Time in the Big Apple

An excerpt: 

Real estate is a local business driven by local market conditions and bought and sold (mostly) by local people.

How about a market that is fueled by an industry that has experienced steady wage/earnings growth since 2003 and is about to have its best year in ten years?   That would be the securities industry and that industry is headquartered in New York City.

This article, published today in the Wall Street Journal, highlights that investment bankers, traders, and brokers have experienced a boom this year.  They're about to be rewarded in early 2007 with HUGE bonuses!  Where do you think those bonuses will go?  Art?  Maybe.  Fancy Cars? Well, maybe but parking is so tough it seems almost silly to buy a Bentley in NYC.  Exotic Travel?  Maybe, but it's hard to believe that the investment bankers will spend a month or two in Fiji when the market is heating up.  You gotta make hay when the sun shines.

Over on Curbed.com, I saw this piece:

Ask Curbed: Is There a 'Frenzy' in the Market?

It doesn't always happen that quickly.  When it does, I toot my horn. 

 

READ:  Reminder:  Real Estate Really Is LOCAL by Kaushik Sirkar

 

 

5 Comments on When You Make the Right Prediction...

FEB
25
2007
1 Featured Post
in the short term, anything can happen. But in the long term, there's only one place real estate can go
10:44pm • #1
109,502 Points 26 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
I remember that article. You are omniscient? And damn smart.
10:45pm • #2
FEB
26
2007
166,190 Points Outside Blog

Brian i predict that the Dodgers will win the NL west this year!!! Ha Ha!!

Bring on your famous "haterade" "-)

Eddy  

12:42am • #3
241,918 Points 97 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Eddy, you silly little Dodger fan, this is for you.
11:04am • #4
8 Featured Posts Outside Blog
Brian - please do tell us of all your future predications.  Anytime we 'look into our crystal ball', we would just really be pinging Mr. Brady!
5:01pm • #5

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Brian Brady- America's VA Home Loan Broker

San Diego, CA

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