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This Is How The Numbers Add Up So Far....

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Mortgage and Lending with Amerihome

Below is the chart of the most important factors that determine interest rates. This is the most recent one. 

 

LOOKING AHEAD

Economic
Indicator

Release
Date & Time

Consensus
Estimate

Analysis

Durable Goods Orders

Tuesday, Feb. 27,
8:30 am, et

Down 1.5%

Important. An indication of the demand for "big ticket" items. A larger than expected decrease may lead to lower rates.

Consumer Confidence

Tuesday, Feb. 27,
10:00 am, et

110

Important. An indication of consumers' willingness to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.

Existing Home Sales

Tuesday, Feb. 27,
10:00 am, et

Up 0.3%

Low importance. An indication of mortgage credit demand. A significant decrease may lead to lower rates.

Q4 Preliminary GDP

Wednesday, Feb. 28,
8:30 am, et

Up 2.3%

Very important. The aggregate measure of US economic production. A decrease may lead to lower rates.

New Home Sales

Wednesday, Feb. 28,
10:00 am, et

Down 1.7%

Important. An indication of economic strength and credit demand. A larger decrease may lead to lower rates.

Personal Income and Outlays

Thursday, March 1,
8:30 am, et

Income up 0.3%,
Outlays up 0.4%

Important. A measure of consumers' ability to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.

ISM Index

Thursday, March 1,
10:00 am, et

50.0

Important. A measure of manufacturer sentiment. A large decline may lead to lower mortgage rates.

U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment

Friday, March 2,
10:00 am, et

None

Important. An indication of consumers' willingness to spend. Weakness may lead to lower mortgage rates.

PRELIMINARY GDP

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is one the most important reports during any given quarter. GDP is a measure of US economic output and spending. The report is significant in that it provides investors, analysts, traders, and economists with a comprehensive report of the direction of the economy. In addition, it also influences the decisions of Federal Reserve policy makers, Congressional budget employees, and corporate financial planners.

GDP is the sum total of goods and services produced by the United States. The initial report is often based on incomplete data. Therefore, additional revisions are released over the following two months. There are often substantial differences between the initial release and the revisions. The mortgage-backed security market generally responds favorably to weaker GDP growth.

The preliminary fourth quarter gross domestic product data this week has the potential to move mortgage interest rates. A cautious approach is necessary to protect against market volatility.

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