BERNANKE SPEAKS SIMPLE ENGLISH. PROBLEM IS WHAT HE SAYS.

JUXTAPOSE THE FED ACTION TO HELP THE FINANCIAL MARKET AND THE AMERICAN CONSUMER.

Goodness, there is just no good news from the fed today.  Chairman Bernanke speaks simple English, which is refreshing after years of Greenspan DoubleSpeakTalk. 

However, when you don't have to ponder what the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, you get the feeling that you wish you hadn't understood. 

We have been mired in a "mortgage mess" the likes of this country has never seen and it isn't over and,
IMO, is not likely to be over for a couple of years to come.  The causes of the mortgage mess will be debated for decades to come.  However, some things are indisputable. There is one solution for banks and financial markets and another for consumers seeking mortgage financing. 

Following the September 11, 2001 attack on the United States of America, the financial industry was in
very precarious condition.  To assist the financial industry, Chairman Greenspan initiated a series of fed
funds rate reductions to assist the financial industry.  Easy money put $Billions into the hands of the International money holders.  They put their $Billions into Mortgage Backed Securities.  Mortgage guidelines were thrown to the wind and borrowing became easier than ever. 

Rates were low.
Homes were lovely.
Prices began to rise in response to supply and demand. 
Mortgages were bundled and converted into securities and sold to the Wall Street investors. 
Some of the investors were Wall Street investment banks. 
Rates started to rise. 
To sell more homes and more mortgages, guidelines were loosened.
The "boutique" mortgage instruments were invented.
These loans required little or no money to buy a home.
The loans had short terms and then adjusted to much higher payments.
Folks couldn't pay the higher payments.
Incomes remained stable.
Folks stopped buying homes.
Payments increased.
Folks couldn't make the payments.
When the mortgage payments were not made, the "MORTGAGE BACKED SECURITIES" became worthless.
Large financial institutions, investment banks and mortgage companies began to fail.

The Fed rides to the rescue

Bernanke
Remember when Regional U.S. banks were allowed to temporarily boost holdings of mortgage-backed securities by
some $150 billion in another bid by regulators to bring stability to troubled mortgage markets.  The $4.5 Trillion market for agency MBSs is the cornerstone of the entire mortgage market and had showed signs of cracking.

THE MONEY WINDOW IS OPEN.
Chairman Bernanke believes that the present turmoil dictates  the need for "generous" capital cushions [for banks].
Banks need to raise capital.  Chairman Bernanke also encouraged financial institutions to access Sovereign Wealth
resources.  To further assist the financial industry, the US and other central banks have made capital accessible.

JUXTAPOSE THE EASY ACCESS TO CAPITAL FOR BANKS  AND INVESTMENT BANKS.

Home buyers who desire to purchase a home with mortgage financing are documented to show every dime of
their income, assets and liabilities and their loan approval is based on a combination of their credit scores, the
amount of their down payment, employment prospects and the geographical location of the property they wish to
purchase. 

A financial institution is in trouble and the relief is at the Fed's window 

August 2007, Fed made $35,000,000,000 available.
December 2007, Fed loaned $20,000,000,000 to banks.
February 2008, Fed makes $50,000,000,000 available.
March 2008, Fed makes $38,000,000,000 available to bail out Bear Stearns.

JUXTAPOSE that with:
The freeze at maximum loan limits at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. 
The dilatory actions of Congress for Federal Housing Administration reform.

Funny thing.  The American home buying consumer didn't invent the. . . .

NINA - No Income, No Asset
SISL - Stated Income, Stated Liability
Option Arm
80/20
Interest Only
HELOC
GPM
Negative Amortization

The home buying consumer didn't create the mortgage mess.  Financial speculation did.
The home buying consumer is paying for the clean-up through loan fees and higher down payments.
The home buying consumer will pay their way out of the mortgage mess.
The financial industry will receive hand-outs from the Fed.

Yep.  The Window is open, for the financial industrry.

Courtesy, Lenn Harley, Broker, Homefinders.com, 800-711-7988.

Lenn's BlogSend Us Your NeedsE-Mail Homefinders.com

 
Post is included in group: Realtors®
Post is included in group: Active Rain Addicts
Post is included in group: Front Porch Majority
Post is included in group: Silent Majority
Post is included in group: The Ninety-ninth Percentile

32 Comments on BERNANKE SPEAKS SIMPLE ENGLISH. PROBLEM IS WHAT HE SAYS.

Hmm...great blog! Very sorry state of finances we are in at the moment huh?

05/15/2008 05:05 PM by Colorado Real Estate - Christina (Colorado Real Estate)


And then the tax payers who own and who do NOT own property all pay for it too! WOW, they just do not know when to put the plug in!

05/15/2008 05:06 PM by Nestor & Katerina Gasset, Realtors® Wellington Florida Luxury Homes (International Properties and Investments, Inc.)


I'm absolutely astonished at the incompetence from banks to rectify some of their own problems (particularly in the short sale arena) and have wondered why it is that pulling out of this one falls to the people (purchasers) that are the only ones that can save it- penalize the spenders that will improve the situation; give latitude to the banks that facilitated much of it (with the govt's blessing).

05/15/2008 05:08 PM by Options Realty


Great blog and love that picture of Bernacke on the horse. I also agree with you on where the problem originated and whoses paying the price for it.

Sean Allen

05/15/2008 05:09 PM by International Financing Solutions


Don't forget. In the middle of all of that Lenn beautifully points out, Congress passed new bankruptcy laws. The credit card companies knew what was coming. MBNA, CitiBank, Chase, Morgan Stanley, etc....Any company that was dealing with mortgages knew that when interest rates reset, people could have a hard time making things meet. These companies set out to protect themselves and it worked. The perfect storm, which they created, is taking the economy down.

05/15/2008 05:11 PM by Scott Smith - Gloucester & Rockport, Massachusetts (Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage)


Christina.  Sorry it is, indeed.

Katerina.  We all pay.  We all pay. 

Laurie.  I suspect that flexibility and innovation are not most banks' strong suits.

05/15/2008 05:12 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


International.  Thanks.  We didn't know it when it was happened.  I was slow to pick up on the MBS problem until the financial bankers on Wall Street started dropping like flies. 

Scott.  I was a perfect storm, wasn't it?

 

 

05/15/2008 05:15 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Even with all the Bank bailouts the problem continues.....Bernanke says a couple of years!  He speaks painfully plain doesn't he?

05/15/2008 05:33 PM by Endea Thibodeaux, CLHMS, RECS Real Estate Auctions (Auction2Sell, LLC)


It's a shame too. 98% pay their mortgages; we are talking about 2% who are in foreclosure.

05/15/2008 05:34 PM by Stephen Graham (Associate Broker) Buyer's Agent (Realty Professionals, Inc. - Atlanta, GA Georgia)


Endea.  I agree.  A couple of years.  Surely it's a long way from over.

 

05/15/2008 05:35 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Stephan.  That's very true.  However, when you look at the total value of the MBSs, it's a pot full of money.

Even a 2% foreclosue rate is a pot full of money.

05/15/2008 05:44 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Bernanke: Banks must get better at foreseeing risk. Can you believe that he has to actually suggest such a thing?

05/15/2008 05:57 PM by Stephen Graham (Associate Broker) Buyer's Agent (Realty Professionals, Inc. - Atlanta, GA Georgia)


Lenn, there is a fine line regulators will have to walk soon when invoking "systemic risk" as means to justify "bold" moves. Bear...justified. Beyond that, I grow suspect. If the "systemic risk" lever becomes abused much like the "National Security" mantra, it will be obvious and cause yet another spate of problems as confidence in the Fed itself could erode.

That's a very fine line to walk.

05/15/2008 06:11 PM by Michael Tarabotto (Certified Appraiser) Santa Clarita, San Fernando, Westside (California Appraisal Solutions Corp.)


Lenn, no one could have placed this together better than yourself.  It is so true.  This is really a bank bailout, and not a consumer bailout.

05/15/2008 06:27 PM by Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO (RE/MAX Greater Atlanta)


Stephen.  Thanks.  Banks are not used to risk.  They are skilled at lending money to folks who dont need it.

Michael.  Thanks.  Good analogy.  So much of what they do is hidden by Accounting Gobbledigook, we'll never know.

Jim.  BINGO.

05/15/2008 06:49 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


It is sad the the bailout will benefit those who created the mess.

05/15/2008 06:53 PM by Randy L. Prothero - Hawaii REALTOR® (Century 21 Liberty Homes)


Randy.  Indeed it is.  Indeed it is.

 

05/15/2008 06:57 PM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Lenn,

I agree...we all pay. We have a long way to go.

05/15/2008 07:32 PM by Neal Bloom-Realtor ® Assoc.-CRS-Weston FL (RE/MAX Premier Associates)


Lots of lobbying in Washington also help this perfect storm.  Where were our legislators? 

05/15/2008 08:51 PM by Joan Whitebook, ABR, e-Pro, CEBA (Buyer's Option Realty Services)


Lenn, I love your analysis of what he said, much clear with the reprecussions than what he didn't say. What a mess.

05/15/2008 09:18 PM by Missy Caulk Ann Arbor Real Estate (Keller Williams Ann Arbor, Michigan)


The home buying consumer is paying for the clean-up through loan fees and higher down payments.

 Oh Lenn, everyone who owns property is paying for it way more dearly than loan fees. They have watched their equity disappear into thin air, crippling them from selling or refinancing.

They aren't worried about higher loan fees. I have stacks of files on my desk that would pay whatever loan fee I wanted to charge.

IF I could only get them a loan.

This is how we are ALL paying.  Though the nose.

05/15/2008 09:32 PM by Janet Guilbault, California Mortgage Expert (Peregrine Lending Company)


Now they get to pay with large losses but in the end we will get to pay with higher rates to get the pay back.

05/15/2008 10:47 PM by Terry Westbrook ~ Realtor(R) Grand Rapids Mi Ada/Cascade Real Estate (Five Star Real Estate, LLC Grand Rapids , MI)


I'm also concerned about the financial picture this paints of America on an international basis.  Appealing to "Soverign Wealth Resources"...means bringing in foreign money.  Today it takes over $1.54 to buy one euro.  With real estate prices plummeting we will see more and more foreign money buying US real Estate.  Not houses....shopping malls, office buildings, etc.  This could be a dangerous time for america losing more and more control inside it's own borders.   

05/15/2008 10:58 PM by Bo Buchanan-Blue60.com Directory For Real Estate Pro's (Blue60.com)


great indepth post and stats.  where ae the legislators?

05/15/2008 11:02 PM by Pam Winterbauer ~ 2006 REALTOR® of the Year (Windermere Welcome Home)


As if we expected the FED to ride to the rescue of John and Jane Homeowner. Wall Street will be the only true beneficiary of FED intervention.  What a sad commentary that is.

I recall a quote from Cold Mountain that seems appropriate...They call this war economy a cloud over the land. But they made the weather and then they stand in the rain and say '^@*#, it's raining!'

05/16/2008 01:31 AM by Fairbanks Real Estate Broker Jesse Clifton (Jesse & Kathy Clifton, REALTORS - 907.699.6024 - )


Neal.  We're all paying, but when one of the big boys on Wall Street gets ousted following massive malfeasance, they walk away will $Millions.  When a little homeowner wants to take a hit and get out from under, they lose everything and are left with massive tax and debt liabilities.  The Wall Street guy knew exactly what they were doing.  The ignorant home buyer hadn't a clue what was going on. 

Joan.  They were busy trying to get reelected.

Missy.  Indeed.  With Greenspan, we wondered what he said.  With Bernanke we know what he said "The Window is Open" and just shake our heads. 

Janet.  I believe that the higher loan fees are taking many people out of the market.  Of course, the dramatically reduction of mortgage investment money is worse, but put together, there are so many out of the market it's shrinking the buying pool dramatically.  The shrinking of home value will cripple home sales for years.  But, I believe that had to happen in my market.  It got so high the average home buyer was locked out.

Terry.  Thanks.  Higher rates, higher fees and lower value.  Such a deal.

Bo.  I too am concerned that Bernanke would even mention the Soverign Wealth Funds matter.  Does he not know that foreigh governments do not follow our laws.  

Pam.  Getting reelected.

Jesse.  I agree.  It is sad.  The cronism that permiates the Governement and Wall Street is palpable. 

05/16/2008 06:30 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


That's why I always though the whole thing was fixed...insiders always know...they just let us believe they don't. Kind of like keeping it in the family.

05/16/2008 06:41 AM by Neal Bloom-Realtor ® Assoc.-CRS-Weston FL (RE/MAX Premier Associates)


Greed, pure and simple.  No political spin can change what caused it.

05/16/2008 07:43 AM by Norma Toering Rolling Hills & Palos Verdes Property (REMAX Palos Verdes, Palos Verdes Peninsula)


Another stellar post from Lenn---------Girl, you have a gift, do you know that????????

05/16/2008 07:47 AM by Diane Bell, Hilton Head Real Estate, Bluffton (Charter 1 Real Estate, Hilton Head, Bluffton, SC)


Lenn, Getting more money from SWFs is going to create an even larger problem down the road. We are all ready dependent on their (Middle east, China) oil and goods now we are going to be dependent on their money as well. We are spoiled in this country and our insatiable desire for stuff is going to be our downfall. 

I agree it's going to take years for this market to level out.

05/16/2008 08:01 AM by Bryant Tutas-Tutas Towne Realty, Inc


Norma.  You are absolutely right.  Funny thing.  The home owners that are hurt will walk away with nothing.  The Wall Street gamers will leaver with millions.

Diane.  Thanks.  It's a gift, an a curse.  Yes, I'm in the Addicted to ActiveRain Group.

05/16/2008 08:01 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Bryant.  Thanks.  It took from 1988 to about 2004 for the market to recover fromthe S&L mess.

 

05/16/2008 09:25 AM by Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate


Leave a response…

Name:
Notify me of new comments:
Comment:
What does the graphic say?
 
Real Estate Brokerage: Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate
Lenn Harley
Rockville, MD
More about me…
Lenn Harley, Homefinders.com, MD & VA Real Estate

Office Phone: (800) 711-7988
Email Me

Links

Tags (Tag Cloud)