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Does the Groundhog predict the kind of spring market we'll have?

By
Real Estate Agent with Remax First Realty II 0790808

Do you believe whether a groundhog sees its shadow or not is a true indication of when Spring will come?

A lot of people aren't even sure, which means we're going to have more winter.

But even if you do, it doesn't make a whole lot of sense. If it's sunny, and he sees his shadow, that means a longer winter. If it's cloudy and he doesn't see his shadow, it means Spring will come sooner. That seems totally backwards.

And then there are lots of different groundhogs… which are you supposed to believe? Punxsutawney Phil? Staten Island Chuck?

Groundhogs don't predict Spring

Truth is, Spring never actually comes sooner, even if every single groundhog doesn't see his shadow. It begins on a specific calendar day.

Now the weather on the other hand, that's a different story. The weather will be what it will be. Weather is something people make small talk about.

But a groundhog predicting it!? Meteorologists can barely do it.

So, most people don't put a whole lot of stock in what the groundhogs "say" on Groundhog Day. However, a lot of people do put stock in the "Spring market" when it comes to real estate.

Is Spring the best time to buy and sell real estate?

So many people believe it's the "best" time to buy or sell real estate. Not necessarily.

Sure, there is definitely a "Spring market".

But first of all, to even say exactly what day it begins is impossible. Some real estate agents even say the Spring market begins in January. Others may say March. Or April. Maybe May.

And while there's no definite answer as to when the Spring market actually begins, it's even more inaccurate to say that it's the best time for you to buy or sell a house.

It might be for some clients… but certainly not for everyone. It depends on so many variables, and upon the client's specific scenario and needs.

Some solid advice...

Don't put stock in the "Spring market", no matter what you hear, or who you hear it from.

Do not base your decisions about when to buy or sell upon something people talk about as lightly as the weather… or whether the Groundhog saw its shadow or not.

There's no one-size-fits-all answer.

But if you are thinking about buying or selling, or both, then we should chat. And strategize.

Is now a better moment for you to begin buying or selling?

Or is it better for you to wait until Spring is "officially" here?

Or perhaps Summer…

Or Fall…

Or Winter...

It depends on a whole lot of variables.

So, if you're thinking of buying or selling, let's just chat.

If not, just stick this in your head for future reference!

Happy Groundhog Day!

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~ Wayne & Jean 

Union County, NJ - a great place to live and work!

If you're looking to buy or sell a property in Union County, call us at 908-917-4189 or email TeamZuhl@gmail.com.

 

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All opinions, information and data provided is deemed reliable but is subject to errors and omissions. Not intended to solicit other Brokers' clients. We cooperate with them fully. 

Donald Urschalitz
Lubeck Realty Group - Jupiter, FL
P.A. Realtor ABR RSPS North Palm Beach County

So I guess we are covered in Florida.

Feb 02, 2019 05:21 AM
Nina Hollander, Broker
Coldwell Banker Realty - Charlotte, NC
Your Greater Charlotte Realtor

Good morning, Wayne and Jean Marie... great points... I just did a post on why we should ignore spring predictions and why people should sell their homes before spring.

Feb 02, 2019 06:23 AM
Grant Schneider
Performance Development Strategies - Armonk, NY
Your Coach Helping You Create Successful Outcomes

Good evening Wayne and Jean - for sure don't put stock on a Spring Market.  Not any different than telling people not to time the stock market.  If you are ready now, just do it.

Feb 02, 2019 03:27 PM