What Is the Probability That Home Values Will Sink?
With the current state of uncertainty about the economy triggered by a flood of media ‘hype’ on the subject, there are some who are waiting to purchase their first home or even move-up to their dream house. The fear? That home prices will fall over the next few years or the dreaded ‘R’ word is upon us. Once again, here is more data from the experts who disagree vehemently with this perspective.
The following table shows the predicted level of appreciation from six major housing sources:
As you probably expected, every source is confident that home prices will continue to appreciate. Granted, all sources predict slightly lower levels than we have seen over the last several years but, not one source is calling for residential real estate values to depreciate.
Even ARCH Mortgage Insurance Company’s most recent Housing and Mortgage Market Review, the ARCH Risk Index is showing low probability in most states, 2 years from now. Not one state in the nation had a moderate probability of home prices lowering. In fact, 34 of the 50 states had a minimal probability.
*The typically conservative ARCH Risk Index estimates the probability of home prices being lower in two years.
Those waiting for prices to fall before purchasing a home should realize that the probability of that happening anytime soon is very low. With mortgage rates already at near historic lows, now may be the time to act.
**Thanks to KCM for providing the graphics contained within.
READ MORE about our current state of the real estate market in Charlotte
Keep Calm – The Sky is Not Falling! This Is NOT 2008
Keep Calm and Don’t Be a Chicken Little
Home Sales Expected to Continue Increasing In 2020
If you're looking for more information about the pseudo-recession, the ActiveRain platform is hosting a challenge this month, inviting our boots-on-the-ground membership to share the true status of the current real estate market. Links to the members' articles can be found at FALL CHALLENGE 2019 - PLAN BY ANSWERING THE DIFFICULT QUESTIONS.
Debe Maxwell | The Maxwell House Group | RE/MAX Executive | CharlotteBroker@icloud.com | What Is the Probability That Home Values Will Sink?
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