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Do you really know what time it is?

By
Real Estate Agent with Re/Max Real Estate Limited

Very few people really know when its time to step up and buy.

And fewer even know when it is best to sell.

I have seen older folk living on 5 million dollars worth of land, free and clear, not have food to eat. I had customers visit me over the years, new project to new project and never buy until finally they buy the top. I've had customers miss out on a house and not step up again until prices rose significantly higher and then got frustrated and over paid.

After 30 years of real estate selling, managing I almost seen it all. We never see it all till it happens (if that makes sense). In other words there will always be something new. Such is the case, we are living in mouse exercise wheel just going round and round, and as soon as you get real sure of what is happening, someone knocks over the cage. Your whole perception of your known world is altered.

There really is no fully known course. We like to believe there is because it gives us a sense of security. The truth is, expect the unexpected. I am not trying to confuse but, I am trying to clear things up. Share the truth, not a myth. 

My proofs are simple. The 1987stock market crash to most was totally unexpected.

The resolution was even more unusual, the market goes back up, gains over 12 years about 500% or more. No depression, everything turns out ok.

In 1990 oil goes down to $10 a barrel. We should rejoice. No, Saddam invades Kuwait, we go to war.  In 2000 stock market peaks out at all time highs, predictions abound for continuation of the same. Not!  

I don't like this one, 9/11 tragedy, markets hit hard, real estate and stocks etc.

Markets come back to all time highs in both.

What about oil, did anyone last year or the year before think $134 a barrel was even thinkable. Not!  Do you think bad of oil at this high or good?  Remember cheap oil brought us a war.

I can go on and on. One thing that is predictable is to do the opposite of the prediction. Or know that at some point the unthinkable will exist. You know that 3 times standard deviation stuff.  Albert Einstein proved so many things just with math. And we fail to believe what math tells us.

Something significant will come out of this high oil price. I'm not sure what it is but we all hate it and that's good.

 

Do you think it is time to buy?

 

By:  Richard Stabile

 visit  newhomesbyRichard.com

 

Brett Noel
Keller Williams - Paso Robles, CA

Yes, I agree, Its a good time to buy ;)

Jun 19, 2008 04:26 PM
Robert Huntsinger
Empire Realty - Upland, CA
Empire Realty Upland, CA - Full Service at a Discount

Location Location Location, that also applies to where it is time to buy, in my market it is a good buying time but lower prices are around the corner.

Take care!

RJH

Jun 19, 2008 04:33 PM
Richard Stabile
Re/Max Real Estate Limited - Oradell, NJ
Bergen County New Homes Builder Realtor

RJH

I understand your market may still be weak. Not all markets are going to respond at the same time.

In Elliott wave terms it would have to be a third wave to float all boats. This is a 1st wave or A wave. Markets like the New York Metro area that I am in, got hit hard. But, have a lot of resilience. We have had a lot of buyers giving low offers continuously. But now it is changing. The sells and buys are crossing.

We had a pretty bad time here in New Jersey. Manhanttan has been good all along. Much more over seas money in NYC.

There is alot of base building to do in most markets. Florida and Nevada, the areas that really sored in the bull market need to just churn and sell at the lows they are at now in a normal fashion for a while and then they can rebuild.

I have more blogs to add to this over the next days, they are on my web site blog and i am copying them to active|rain to share. I have a couple more I put here already.

Best

Richard Stabile

Jun 19, 2008 04:49 PM
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Apr 25, 2012 08:34 AM
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