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Is now the time to buy? Are you making fear or fact based decisions? Let's ask Warren Buffet.

By
Real Estate Agent with Silvercreek Realty Group

Buy low, sell high is something we've all heard before.  It's something we all plan on doing.  So why is it that few are engaged in the process?  I can tell you in one word.

 FEAR

Fear, that big, fat, ugly four letter word. 

When you listen to the news today, it does make you fearful to not only buy, but just even look!  So why don't we take the emotion out of buying, and look at it like any business man or woman would look at any buying decision.  

Well, when it comes to making business buying decisions, I can't think of anyone more qualified to give advice on this subject than Warren BuffetWarren Buffet  So here are some quotes that Warren Buffet said about how he invests:

•         We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.

•        Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.

•        Only buy something that you'd be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.

•        Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it.

•        A public-opinion poll is no substitute for thought.

 

Let's look at what the following:

•         We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.  I think it's fairly safe to say that a couple years ago many people were being greedy.  Buyers should have been fearful at that point!  Today most people are fearful.  So what do you think Warren Buffet would do.....Bingo!  Be greedy! 

 •        Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing. This is where having a Realtor is essential.  Realtors can provide you with Information!  And that information can help you minimize your risk.  With access to market information, you don't have to take someone's word that you are getting a great deal.

•        Only buy something that you'd be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years. Buy for investment, not for speculation. If you are buying on speculation, you are gambling with large stakes.  You might as well go to Vegas and really enjoy yourself.

•        Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it. People will make money in any market.  You need to figure out if it will be you.

•        A public-opinion poll is no substitute for thought. This is my favorite of the bunch!  Don't let the media do your financial planning!!!  Work with your Realtor to become educated.  Then make smart decisions for yourself. 

Remember, sensational stories sell newspapers.  The market is correcting and in the words of Martha Stewart,  that is a "good thing".  Work with a professional Realtor to gain the information you need to make a Fact-Based (not fear based) buying decision.  You'll be glad you did.

Pam Pugmire

Your Idaho Real Estate Professional

Serving Boise, Meridian, Nampa, and Eagle Idaho

Search for Southern Idaho homes for sale

Call or text me at 208-921-4800

Rod Rich
Atlanta Communities Real Estate - Atlanta, GA
Atlanta- Associate Broker

Sound advice, few will take it.

Jun 24, 2008 12:41 AM
Adam Waldman
Westcott Group Real Estate Company - Hauppauge, NY
Realtor - Long Island

PAM - Great post.  I like the way that you tied in Buffet's approach to real estate.  Unfortunately, too many people allow their decisions to be made by the media instead of rational thinking.

Jun 24, 2008 02:22 AM
Veronica DeCarolis
Weidel Realtors - Flemington, NJ

Excellent.  Thanks for the sage advice.  Veronica

Jun 24, 2008 09:33 AM
Peter Nikic
Broad & Bailey Realty LLC - Valhalla, NY

Pam, excellent post. There are other reasons though. You could say it's actually the cause and not the reason. People spend their money when the market was high, now they have no money to buy in a low market. So because so many were buying when the market was high, now they are stuck or strapped.

Jun 24, 2008 11:05 AM
Pam Pugmire
Silvercreek Realty Group - Meridian, ID
Meridian Idaho Real Estate

Steve~good for you!  I'm glad to hear that you have a plan and are following through with it!

Carole~ Yes I did post to localism.  People need to wake up and smell the coffee before this excellent buying opportunity passes them by.  You know in a couple years people will be saying "if only I had bought in 2008..."

Gary~ Yes, it's always a good time if you have the info you need to make a smart buying decision. 

Rod~it is sad, but true.

Adam~I don't ever read a newspaper, read online news, or watch network news.  Why would I choose to poisen my mind.  One of Buffet's other quotes is "Let blockheads read what blockheads wrote." 

Veronica~We can all thank Warren!

Peter~There are people who would invest now, but can't qualify for loans, but in my book that is a very small percentage. 

Thanks for all your comments! 

 

Jun 24, 2008 05:34 PM
Paul Slaybaugh
Homesmart - Scottsdale, AZ
Scottsdale, AZ Real Estate

What a great way to make the current market relatable to the average consumer.  Everyone knows well enough to mouth the mantra of buy low, sell high, but they get too wrapped up in what constitutes low and what constitutes high.  Rather than taking advantage of opportune buying conditions, they play the what if game.  What if prices fall further?  What if I buy too early?  What if a piano falls on my head?  Do the research.  Make the best purchase you can regardless of the larger market forces.  Enjoy your new home with the idea that you are not hellbent on selling it in two years.  You'll make out just fine. 

Jun 24, 2008 05:47 PM
Pam Pugmire
Silvercreek Realty Group - Meridian, ID
Meridian Idaho Real Estate

Paul~great assesment of the common buyers mindset! 

BTW What do I do if a piano falls on my head?

Jun 24, 2008 05:58 PM
Paul Slaybaugh
Homesmart - Scottsdale, AZ
Scottsdale, AZ Real Estate

You tickle the ivory with your cranium, Pam.  I'm thinking in a b flat.

Jun 24, 2008 06:04 PM
Pam Pugmire
Silvercreek Realty Group - Meridian, ID
Meridian Idaho Real Estate

I think I would most definitely b flat if that happened!  Thanks for the tip!

Jun 24, 2008 06:38 PM
Steve Harless
Resolution Realty - Las Vegas, NV

excellent article!

Jun 25, 2008 02:52 AM
Eugene Jones
Weichert Realtors - Somerville, NJ

Excellent post Pam. I totally agree, and the last point is perfert. Don't rely on the media to think for you, or you will miss out on great opportunities.

Jun 25, 2008 09:35 AM
Mike Frazier
Carousel Realty of Dyer County - Dyersburg, TN
Northwest Tennessee Realtor

Pam,

I agree that it is a good time to buy. I promise you Warren and other investors like him(including Trump)are out there buying right now!

Jun 25, 2008 09:41 AM
Cheryl Orr
Evergreen Home Loans - Everett, WA

Pam,

Awesome post!  It's time to help our clients understand the market and your post does a great job of that.

Jun 25, 2008 10:41 AM
Pam Pugmire
Silvercreek Realty Group - Meridian, ID
Meridian Idaho Real Estate

Steve~thanks for the comment! 

Eugene~Why do people want to take advice from media people who make $40K/year?  Go figure.

Mike~I saw Trump on The Big Idea w/ Donny Deutch and he said the exact thing!  BTW I get to go to a  Trump seminar this weekend!

Cheryl~Clients need someone to help them take the emotion out of it!

Thanks for stopping by!

Jun 25, 2008 02:02 PM
Irene Woodworth
Color and Redesign Academy & Redesign Boise - Garden City, ID
Color-Redesign-Staging, Trainer & Motivational Speaker - Idaho

Pam,

Great post and a great subject to tackle on FEAR.  I choose faith intstead of fear.

Yes, having a qualified Realtor to help you in your Real Estate needs is by far one of the best things you can do when making any type of investing, selling or educating yourslef on what is really happening in the industry.  Lots of messages out there.  However, when you need to make qualified decisions remember to do what is best for you, your situation and your needs.

Good work, sound advice!

Have a Colorful Day!   

Jun 25, 2008 05:25 PM
Christine Donovan
Donovan Blatt Realty - Costa Mesa, CA
Broker/Attorney 714-319-9751 DRE01267479 - Costa M

Pam, this is a great post with a lot of advice people should seriously consider, using Warren Buffett to bolster your arguments is brilliant.

Jun 25, 2008 06:49 PM
Pam Pugmire
Silvercreek Realty Group - Meridian, ID
Meridian Idaho Real Estate

Christine~I've rarely been called brilliant before.  Thanks!

Jun 25, 2008 07:57 PM
Allison Stewart
St.Cloud Homes - Saint Cloud, FL
St. Cloud Fl Realtor, Osceola County Real Estate 407-616-9904

I quote Warren Buffet as well.  He certainly knows what works and why it works. Great interpretation and nicely presented!

Good luck and Sell Well!

Jun 25, 2008 10:59 PM
- -
- - Bogota, TN

Thanks for yout tasking the time to provide us with this information in the Active Rain network. AR is the new "cyber backbone" of the industry, and with it's uplink to Localism.com it will transfrom the marketplace. Agents who don't see which way the cyberwind is blowing are going to find themselves at a considerable disadvantage inside of three to five years.

Jun 30, 2008 04:45 AM
Pam Pugmire
Silvercreek Realty Group - Meridian, ID
Meridian Idaho Real Estate

Allison  Thanks!  Warren has many great quotes! 

Rob  Technology is where it's at, no question about that!

Jul 01, 2008 07:26 PM