Over the past three decades, worker productivity in the United States has increased by a whopping seventy-six per cent.  But during the same period, real hourly wages, adjusted for inflation, have increased by less than two per cent.

Meanwhile, we have a housing crisis, aggravated by a sluggish economy and the fact that a growing number of Americans can't qualify for a mortgage. 

The diminishing number of real estate agents have turned to looking for those remaining folks who can afford to buy.  The problem is, there just aren't enough of them to go around.  In a market where you see seven or nine or eleven months (or more) worth of inventory on the market and sluggish sales, there almost seems to be no light at the end of the tunnel.

Add to the mix the complicated problem of rising gasoline prices, rising electricity, heating and cooling costs, and rising transportation costs for everything we consume, including the food we eat and the clothes we wear.

What will happen if $7 a gallon or $8 a gallon gas causes workers to say "I can't afford to commute to work anymore"?  Do we pay them to drive to and from work?  What happens to the economy when some in the labor force just can't make it on what they earn?

We gave big tax breaks to large corporations and individual earners in the last decade, under the assumption that those grateful beneficiaries would turn around and reinvest the money in our economy.  Instead, much of the money went overseas to build plants and factories and to hire foreign labor.

What's the answer?  Do we shove some more money at the top five per cent of earners, again hoping somehow that it will come back to us? 

If you keep throwing a boomerang and it won't come back to you, do you keep throwing it? 

Or do you buy a new boomerang?

 

 

 
Post is included in group: Wrong Right Turn

34 Comments on What's wrong with this picture?

JUN
29
2008
381,596 Points 18 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Eric,

Socialism is not the answer, no matter how enticing it may look. However, look at American cities. It is a pehomenal sprawl fo miles and miles and miles.

Just change that and create a pedestrian friendly cities, that are compact, leaving open spaces (they would be environmentally greener, by the way), and you would not have to have that crazy need to drive to buy a loaf of bread.

The wasteful economies of the end of the 20th centuries have to go. They are all over and all around us.

We will have to think hard about the way we live, not try to keep the way we lived until now. When you have to drive 20 miles to work one way, and 10 miles to the closest store, nothing is going to change.

As for the bumerang, just stick it into the garbage can. We need to look for something different. Because if we keep to use it, it would come back and kill us.

12:02am • #1
135,409 Points Outside Blog

Gas is not yet a $8 and I suspect it won't get too much higher.  People are buying the REO's so there is bottom to the real estate market, even if it has some ways to go.  We each have to take the steps necessary for us to navigate these choppy waters and make the best of it.  What goes down must come up.

12:22am • #2
487,277 Points 84 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Most of these so called top earners are not even individuals they are small business who have created most of the jobs.  The politicians keep calling them the rich.  If they keep attacking them, their employees are the ones who will be paying.

12:49am • #3
395,736 Points 15 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Eric:  I have only worked in three major markets... Cleveland, DC/Virginia/Maryland and Fort Worth/Dallas.  For me... Cleveland (the suburbs both east and west of the city) and Fort Worth/Dallas... there have always been homes that newly in-the-market first-time buyers could afford.  That has been the beauty of these two markets.

The DC/VA/MD market, on the other hand, I really don't know what the answer is.  When I was there from 1987 to 1993... I mostly sold new townhouses for Winchester, Wm. Berry and others.  The Winchester Homes townhouses were in Crofton Commons.  They were nice homes... 1600 sf to 2000 sf three story town homes... that then were priced from... believe it or not... $97,900 to $102,900.

I was in Reston Virginia last August, and actually wrote a post on this.  These "starter" homes were now in the $330,000 range.  How in the world does a young couple even dream of getting a "starter home" if that home has a monthly payment of $3,000 a month ?

In my opinion, the lack of a first home just took the props out from under the entire market.  How can a market depend on move-up buyers if the bottom level housing is unaffordable ?  Well... it didn't.  The bubble burst.

12:53am • #4
1 Featured Post

Change the leadership of the country which we will all have the opportunity to do in November!  However, that alone will not solve the problems.  We all have to dig deep and decide what's important to us.  Cut back on those things that are not.  Look at your lifestyle and look at the environment then decide.  Good post!

2:47am • #5
126,028 Points 5 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Jon, where in my post did I suggest or propose a turn towards socialism?

America's cumulative national debt now exceeds $9 Trillion

If we don't find a way to pay for tax cuts as they occur, the rising debt does more damage to the economy than any short-term benefit.

1:02pm • #6
126,028 Points 5 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Robert, we all hope that the current down phase of the housing cycle is about to turn upwards again.  But the key to a recovery in housing is saving the middle class.  There aren't enough buyers in the top 1% or 2% of earners to purchase all the excess housing inventory that's out there.  And while there are winners who will benefit from purchasing all those REOs, there are the losers on the other side of the equation.

1:13pm • #7
126,028 Points 5 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Randy, small business owners and the middle class need some relief from economic pressures.  But we're rewarding big businesses with tax breaks and incentives at the same time they're sending jobs overseas. 

What would be wrong with some sort of quid pro quo?

Why not make tax breaks to large corporations contingent upon creating and keeping jobs here?

1:25pm • #8
126,028 Points 5 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Karen Anne -- Exactly.  The bottom level of housing has to be affordable.  Entry level buyers need to be able to obtain mortgages.  The middle class needs some assistance now

We need a middle class in this country.  If you take away the dream of upward mobility from those who are "starter home" owners and buyers, the effects will be felt in the move-up market as well.

America has CEOs that make more in a day than the average middle-class worker earns in a year.  And at the same time, families are scrambling to keep their homes and to pay for fuel and groceries. 

1:35pm • #9
126,028 Points 5 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Diane, regardless of who gets elected in November, the problems are formidable.  Nothing is going to get accomplished overnight. 

1:46pm • #10
224,216 Points 26 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Eric - Good point! And that stimulas check...how far does that go???

9:57pm • #11
JUN
30
2008
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Carol,

The "stimulus" check is an example of handing out a little candy to children in order to keep them quiet during an election year.  It's a measure of how little our leaders think of us, that they decided to throw the little people a few shekels which they borrowed overseas.

Of course, it gets added to the national debt and the dough will have to be repaid by all of us at some point in the future.  Funny, but I don't remember telling any of my elected representatives to go ahead and "put it on my tab"..

And not only is it a short-term fix, a band-aid, but they had the nerve to tell us how to spend it!  The paternalistic economic geniuses who got us into this mess in the first place were saying "now kids, we don't want you to save this or pay bills with it..it's supposed to be spent on something that will help the economy"!

 

1:02am • #12
147,548 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Eric: I'm not a big fan of welfare..be it for the poor (as in programs that create dependency) or for the rich...(tax cuts and loop holes).  The idea of cutting taxes for the rich in order to benefit us all didn't make sense when they did it and doesn't make sense in the long run!

Bob Mitchell

ValueList Real Estate Services, Inc.

10:03am • #13
487,277 Points 84 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Eric - Tying the tax breaks to job creations would be OK.  Just remember corporations do not pay taxes.  They collect them from the consumers and then send them to the government.  If we tax corporations we just tax ourselves with a hidden tax in the products we purchase.

10:34am • #14
182,938 Points 11 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Eric...The picture you paint is right on the mark (but you left out health care). We obviously have a President who can't even get the saying "fool me once shame on you" correct...so how could we expect anything different from the actions.

I am convinced that our society has evolved(if you can call it that) to the point of...if it doesn't affect me directly, it doesn't matter! And it's the segment with power and money who aren't affected.

Corporations don't invest in their companies and workers anymore..perfomance is only for the benefit of the stockholders...and we know who they are...

It will change when there isn't anyone left to clean up!

2:59pm • #15
192,160 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog

I believe that "Big Business" has controlled the Government's actions for too long (and I'm a Capitalist). The blindsightedness of so-called "Business Leaders" that don't contemplate the long-reaching effects and unanticipated ramifications of their actions, have resulted in where we find ourselves today.

Too many politicians and CEO's are selling out our country in the name of profit.

5:11pm • #16
192,160 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog

And as for the "stimulus package" that was meant to fix the ecnomy - how stupid do politicians think the American public really is?

I doubt if a fraction of that money came back into our economy.

5:13pm • #17
JUL
01
2008
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Bob, we have so much welfare for the wealthy and for corporations that the public is completely unaware of.

And of course, the recipients of that largesse do a really swell job of diverting the public's attention by pointing to the food stamp program, which is literally a drop in the bucket by comparison.

Here's a partial list: billions in tobacco industry subsidies, auto industry subsidies, oil company tax breaks, farm subsidies that go to enormous corporate farms (not to "mom & pop" agricultural operations), and the GAO turning a blind eye to theft of public dollars by defense contractors.  And what about government rolling over for lobbyists in the health care and drug industry, assisting them in screwing the American public and with anti-competitive practices (for example, lobbyists successfully achieved a close vote in Congress this past year that added restrictions on generic drugs, a "gift" to the pharmaceutical industry). 

12:34pm • #18
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Randy, I doubt the public knows that large companies which are supported by their tax dollars are rewarding America in return by exporting tens of thousands of jobs overseas annually.

The old argument that "whatever is good for business is good for America" has been used over the past century to oppose child labor laws, OSHA, sweatshop laws, the EPA, the Clean Air Act, the National Labor Relations Act, the minimum wage, paid sick leave, the five-day workweek, employee health coverage and maternity leave.

I just don't buy that reasoning and neither should any other voter.  I'm not anti-business.  I'm a business owner.  But the pendulum has swung too far in the wrong direction when it comes to the unbalanced American economy and it's time to take a closer look at what's behind the problem.

12:47pm • #19
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Joan, our health care system is approaching that of a third-world country.  It's "all the health money can buy" in America, and if you can't write the check, you'd better not get sick!

How shortsighted and stupid is that?  But the greed-game morons will push it as far as they can. 

Ask one hundred people at random if they have good (or even adequate) health coverage.  If they don't work for the government, you'll find the marjority have little or no health or dental insurance.

12:59pm • #20
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Stewart,

America is for sale CHEAP when it comes to the ability of corporate lobbyists to buy access and influence. 

 

1:02pm • #21
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Stewart,

Since the "stimulus" didn't meet expectations, now they're contemplating a "phase two".  But of course it has to be timed properly..meaning this is an election year and we can't have things getting better too early in an election year, can we? 

1:05pm • #22
487,277 Points 84 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

I do agree that subsidies from government for tobacco etc. are ridiculous.

I do see the humor in the stimulus package.  First the take a bunch of money out of my pocket.  which helps kill the economy.  They then toss a couple of my bucks back to me hoping I will buy a bunch of junk from China and that will somehow turn around the economy.  I am grateful for them returning some of my money.  I wish they would tighten their belt and stop taking so much to begin with.

8:51pm • #23
JUL
02
2008
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Randy,

It would be nice if they had indeed returned some of your money.  But that money is gone.  The government borrowed the money they sent to you. 

They don't have any money.  They're broke, remember? 

12:03am • #24
AUG
04
2008
237,277 Points Outside Blog

Excellent post!     I think, myself, that we're in a huge societal shift, and that all of the 20th century trappings are being sandpapered away, so the 21st Century model can be fully here.    Wish I had a crystal ball, just 5 years out.

12:04pm • #25
AUG
06
2008
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Li, I agree there's a huge societal shift going on.

What I'd hate to see is a societal shift that leads to the destruction of the middle class in America.  We won't benefit from such a situation. 

11:08pm • #26
SEP
08
2008
161,577 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Missing you Eric, how is bus in the great state of Minnesota?

10:33am • #27
SEP
16
2008
4 Featured Posts

Lots of good comments here and plenty with their heads in the sand too.  Our problems are health care, energy costs, job stability, housing affordablity - it seems like education concerns barely matter in the face of all of this.  And I won't even get into the banking/credit card industries and their attacks on the middle and lower income classes.  I know one thing about the election - it will end the 8 years of agony, tyranny, oppression - call it what you will.  It will be over.  Anything, anything, will be better than this but I fervently hope our nation has learned and will not return a Republican to the presidency.  The apple doesn't fall far from the tree; only the rotten ones are still supporting the politics/policies of the current administration.

12:04am • #28
395,736 Points 15 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Susan:  I fear that too many people are swallowing too much of what Palin and McCain have to say.  It just amazes me that so many folks just stand there... shaking their heads up and down and smiling... kinda like bobble-head dolls.

12:23am • #29
SEP
18
2008
123,183 Points Outside Blog

April,

It's nice to be missed!

This summer has been a whirlwind, and tending to business has taken center stage around here.  I've got two sales in the works right now, but I won't breathe easier until they close!

5:15pm • #30
123,183 Points Outside Blog

Susan & Karen Anne

Don't worry..ol' Maverick McCain says the economy is "fundamentally sound"  LOL

What a joke! Ben Bernanke sure doesn't think so.  Up here in Minnesota, McCain's TV ads show he's running against his own party (he must be ashamed of the GOP).  His ads in the Midwest proclaim "I fought the Republicans"..hmm, that's not what his voting record shows.  But in the deep South, he's a good old boy. 

At least Obama doesn't have to lie about who he's looking after! 

5:20pm • #31
SEP
19
2008
161,577 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Eric,

Congrats on 2 sales!  I do understand worrying about them until they close.  I have my fingers crossed that I'll get 2 closed by the end of the month.  With the economy being so unstable you just don't know what's going to happen - and impede on a sale.

At least Bush announced the big bail out for the banks and mortgage companies.  I am glad to see something happening - before we end up in a depression!!

As for the politics - I think Palin and McCain offer a ticket that is the most middle of the road - and Palin will buck the system.  I don't see anything new about Obama.  He is just the Chicago political machine - and that's not pretty!

12:02pm • #32
SEP
21
2008
4 Featured Posts

April, Your head is in the sand as noted earlier about McCain supporters.  Sorry to be so abrupt but in Michigan, we are really suffering.  There is no Republican agenda that will save us.  As usual, in Ann Arbor, we are not just thinking about us.  We are considering wider areas and the world.  McCain is wrong.  Have your last eight years been beneficial?  Has the world community that we are a part of felt good about America?  I lived outside the US in the late 90's and the USA had a great reputation.  My daughter lived in Europe for one semester recently and things are vastly different.  We are not respected; we are ridiculed and hated.  That is what the Bush administration has done for us.  We need to rebuild the good reputation and McCain is a talking head for Bush - not good.

I don't want to attack you personally but the "Palin bounce" is done.  There are so many discrepancies I wouldn't attempt to document them here.  A desperation move.  As I said in an earlier blog response, let's just keep her talking.  Maybe one day she will be ready but it is not now.  We need serious candidates and serious action.  "Mr. Maverick" is a yes man and his VP of choice has no experience that matters.  I don't care if she can see Russia from her house.

Eric, Thank your for your always on-target analysis.  Sorry if this is highjacking your blog....

 

1:52am • #33
123,183 Points Outside Blog

April,  I don't see either McCain or Palin "bucking the system".  McCain has been part of the Washington establishment for several decades and now he suddenly claims to be a "maverick".  His voting record doesn't support the hype.

As far as Palin is concerned, her environmental record is lousy, she's anti-choice (under any circumstances) and she's an inexperienced smart-ass whose speeches are full of sound byte smears and sloganeering.  I think she'd be another Dan Quayle.

I can't see rewarding the Republican bunglers for eight years of economic ineptitude that has resulted in the near-destruction of our industry.  Bush has managed to make Jimmy Carter look like an economic genius.

9:31am • #34

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Eric Kodner, Lake Minnetonka Homes & Madeline Island Real Estate

Minnetonka, MN

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