Many of us fail to realize how random Real Estate is. Real Estate is a random event industry. Much like the stock market, things and trends just emerge from nowhere. To historical students most of these events are part of age old cycles. The length and breadth always change. The cycles for the most part do not. I have been saying for a while. The next part of this cycle for real estate is the stock market and the banking system bending/breaking/snapping. There are many historical references to this, look at the downturns in 1929, 1974, 1979, 1983. We are somewhere in that ballpark.

 

Things just happen! A lot of success in this industry is being in the right place at the right time. In regards to that, you have to be out playing. It's hard to get lucky on the sidelines. To that extent, are you doing the same things you did before? If one is not happy with the results. Then one should deduce it's time to try something else. I am constantly looking at trends within the market. Here is what I do when one is found, if the trend looks viable, with the assumption of a reasonable entry and chance of success. I go for it. I am doing that as I am writing this. This downturn has/is eating much bigger fish than me. I think my system works!

 

So.... What does all this mean? Get out! Do something! Meet someone you have not met before. Try something new. What worked in 2002 thru 2006 is a moot point now. You have to see what works today.

 

 
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5 Comments on Randomness and Real Estate

JUN
29
2008
100,202 Points

I agree wholeheartedly.  Many of my real estate brethren are bowing out of the industry because they can't figure out what DOES work.  And they're spending a lot of money on things and ideas that are now obsolete or far less effective (ie. print media). 

1:15pm • #2

I have to say that I agree with you,especially that last comment.  Things are changing.  Sometimes for the better, sometimes for the worse.  You just have to get out there and make as many contacts as you can and have people get to know you as an individual.  Trust is not built in a day, it takes awhile.  If people know that you are ethical and you have others who will back that up, it is a major hurdle that you have just aced.

I wish you great luck in your business!!

1:17pm • #3
JUN
30
2008

Thanks for the comments

Jerry, I see what you see

Bryan, Lots of one hit wonders falling by the wayside

4:34pm • #4

Things are changing. And yet, activity still picks up around the same time of the year and ebbs as well, in my micromarket. Very busy now. Anticipate but not hope for a slow down come fall.

6:00pm • #5

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Jeffrey Tumbarello

Fort Myers, FL

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South West Florida Real Estate Investment Association

Office Phone: (800) 605-2910 x 120

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