Deutsche Bank published an excellent report comparing US home prices with Europe. Here's the key takeaway:

"US home prices will decline significantly further in 2008, begin to stabilize in the first half of 2009, and remain depressed for some time thereafter. As for Europe, house prices are likely to stabilize in 2010 at the earliest. Assuming a similar shape of the house price cycle as in the early 1990s, the next up-cycle in house prices is unlikely to occur before the middle of the next decade in either the US or Europe."

Let's hope Deutsche Bank is wrong, though I doubt they are.

 

 

 

 

 

 
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3 Comments on Home price trends: US vs Europe

Thank you for the info. I am Romanian by descent and I invested in Romanian real estate. I understand that the real estate market is absolutely flat there. But, property values tripled or quadrupled in the past five years. SO it kind of explains the slow down.

07/15/2008 11:27 PM by Mihaela Stoops (Century21 All Islands, Lahaina)


Thank you for the information. I have been studying commercial cap rates in Europe and had no idea about the residential market.

07/17/2008 09:27 AM by Spencer Hill (Hill Asset Management)


Thank you for sharing such info

08/19/2008 03:04 AM by jean


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Real Estate - Other: Spencer Rascoff (Zillow)
Spencer Rascoff
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