It seems like every one of these monkeys has an answer. I won't label any of them. I have been busy for the past month working with those buyers that the "experts" keep saying don't exist. I have been writing offers for those buyers that the "experts" keep saying won't get off the fence. I have been assisting a seller I listed in reviewing the multiple offers on the property he agreed to sell at a reasonable price.

The "experts"??????

If you stop and listen to the "old time" agents pontificate, you will hear that this is the worst real estate market since Sherman marched to the sea. You will hear claims that no one has ever seen a market this bad. If you read the headlines offered by the Wall Street Journal and other major news folks, you will read that everybody is sinking. You will read that foreclosures are creating a global crisis. If you listen to the talking heads, you will hear gloom and doom.

Of course, we can always dial in the NAR. Larry Yun continues to offer up comical advice for agents and consumers alike.

Your other choice is to wake up. It is not their market. It is YOUR market. You live there. You work there. You know the dirt better than anyone else. You know the streets. You know the shopping. You know the impact the overall economy has had on your friends and neighbors. You know the truth.

If you don't....shame on you. Has housing overall gone to hell in a handbasket? In some places, sure. There are neighborhoods that have been hammered. Only an idiot could not have seen it coming. "Nothing ventured, nothing gained" sure does fit 100% interest only financing. I don't know of any poker game that would allow someone to sit in and bet without tossing in the ante. Newspapers and nightly news share the stories of hard pressed homeowners losing the home of their dreams.

Bunk.

Just because you dream it does not validate your right to that dream. The country was built on a system of people that dream and follow the steps to realize that dream. They saved money and were invested in the homes they purchased. The foreclosure rate on that group was minuscule.

Too many agents, lenders, reporters, talking heads and "experts" are focusing on the dire predicaments of a small segment of the market place. We are inundated with information. The causes of the problem keep changing.

Over the last few years, I have heard that the market collapse is the result of .... the War in Iraq, Katrina, Global Warming, the Bush Administration, fast talking mortgage brokers, illegal immigrants, legal immigrants, the rise in the cost of energy, speculators, teaser rates, investors (pouring in and pouring out), over building, builders, local governments, english only loan documents, lack of government oversight, the rise in the cost of gas, too much government intervention, the pending election, bond bundling, and the increased pressure on fannie and freddie because of bad loans.

Lots of reasons.

I have heard agents with decades of experience share that they have no idea how low the market will go and moments later complain about bottom feeders. I have heard agents with decades of experience complain about listings that were being bought ( a cute way some agents procure listings by having the seller convinced that the home is worth more that market value) and then listened to them share that they think last years prices will hold this year.

Lastly, I keep hearing that the big problem with the market is the consumer. The sellers are too dumb to lower their prices to realistic levels. The sellers listen to agents. Agents take over priced listings. Agents as a group support homes priced to high. It would seem to me that if you take a higher priced listing, you should charge a higher commission rate. It will be harder to sell. If the seller agrees with your advice and lists the home at a more attractive price, you can charge less because you won't have to work as hard.

Buyers won't move. Hmmmm, I don't doubt that some agents find this the case. It might be hard to make a move if you are working with either mister gloom or misses doom. How can you expect a buyer to act if you support the illusion that things are changing so quickly todays bargin may become tomorrows burden? Looking at the market and seeing nothing good will leave you fulfilling a self fulfilling prophecy.

It is your market and your career. There is not one damn gimmick that will get you back on track. There is no magic system that will turn things around. You walked into this career with all the skills needed to be successful. You will craft your tomorrow, in part, using the tools you have acquired.

I do have a mantra.

Shut the hell up and just let me work.

 
Post is included in group: Selling Soulfully
Post is included in group: Dedicated Bloggers
Post is included in group: Dissent

22 Comments on Shut the hell up and let me work....

JUL
20
2008

John, I hear you!  I just keep charging forward and things keep happening.

10:55am • #1
832,220 Points 213 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

This is so funny. 

All I can say is, if I keep generating buyers ready to buy and you keep selling them, we'll both survive. 

I have to work just a tad harder this year.  I have to engage just a tad more buyers this year.  I have to resarch just a tad more this year.

But, hey, another year or two of this and we'll be just fine, thank you.  If that is any consolation. 

11:01am • #2
385,472 Points 2 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hey John , Go rent grumpy old men !! Or maybe I will just lend you my copy !! Ha. Great rant . I have had that rant too. Not just all at once. So yours is better as it is more concise than mine. Yes you are right and it gets frustrating. I tell them, do you tie a sting to a sore tooth and the other end to an anvil , go up to your roof and throw the anvil off or do you go to a dentist. I am your real estate dentist. It works sometimes ,And when it doesn't I didn't want that whinny lister anyway. Got to go I am starting to rant .

11:01am • #3
152,632 Points 4 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

John, I certainly appreciate your 'call it like you see it' style.  I'm printing this out to hand to the next person that I hear whining.

 

 

11:02am • #4
245,534 Points 16 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Whoo hoo!  Absolutely!  We tell people all the time "I know other agents are complaining, but I'm just selling real estate..."

I'm a rookie agent in a tough market and I've sold over $1.5 million in my very first year in a market with hundreds of agents competing with me - many of them in the business longer than I've been alive.

Sure, 1.5million is small potatoes, but taken into consideration that it's a "slow" market and I'm new - I'd say that's pretty darn good.

11:05am • #5

John, Thank you for editing your blog.  I didnt take the time to read it the first time because of the formatting.  NOw.......your point is valid and appreciated.  Glad I revisited!

11:06am • #6
186,642 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Hi John

You are SOOOOOOOO right. It is what it is and if people would simply stop whining and get to work, it would have a much more positive effect on the market. I have stopped listening to the  "experts" a long time ago, it only makes me mad. My newsletter usually start with

Yes, here is the bad news, but the good news is we can do something about it.

Everybody calls the market extremely bad and difficult, I can not hear these words anymore.

The market is challenging, that's all

Anne

 

11:06am • #7

Great points - conventional wisdom is so often garbage and not worth the paper it's written on. Also, all real estate is local - there are areas appreciating even in this market! Keep on keepin' on...

11:31am • #8

Hey John --- That's what I keep saying about the Naples, FL market --- I am busy! Can't or won't complain.... let the others.... stay out of my way!

Keep on working hard.

12:21pm • #9
229,311 Points 30 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog
My market is as treacherous as it gets right now, John, but I do not accept the premise that it is mutually exclusive with success. I have to do things a bit differently and explore new avenues, but I am on pace to match last year's production. Change can be scary, but it always provides opportunity for success as well as failure.
12:40pm • #10
160,301 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

John, I'm with you, I just keep trucking along.  I smile at them, and just go about doing my thing, which is totally different from their way of doing things.  It's a different RE world now.

1:21pm • #11
391,727 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

We discontinued the newspaper and only listen to the local news most of the time and I don't think I've missed much except the negative press and I can do with out that also. Great advice.

2:48pm • #12
4 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Realy good to hear your voice, John! You have that wonderful way of cutting right through the muck and mire to what is important and real.  Things have picked up for me and my market is seeing multiples -- if the home is priced correctly.

Best wishes to you.

2:50pm • #13
140,266 Points 13 Featured Posts

I'm on pace to make more than I did last year.  I did take a hit when I went solo, but it is all good.  I keep trucking along.

3:29pm • #14
123,611 Points

Hi John.  I got into this business not long ago after 31 years in another profession.  I heard all the gloom and doom, have read all the negative press, and even listened to those that said I was crazy for getting into the business at this time.  Well, I'd rather look at it as if the glass were half full... have always held that view... and certainly don't mind making lemonade when I've been given lemons.  In my view, if the market is at its "all time low" then I'm getting in it at the right time.  There's only one way to go.. onward and upward! 

For a "rookie," I've done OK so far in this market and I'm continuing to build my branding and connecting with people (most of them out of my SOI!) who are either selling or buying.  I think I've been relatively busy for my level of experience and continue to grow with the help of our fellow Realtors on this media and others I subscribe to.  All of you are helping me grown and giving me new insights.  Thank you... each and every one of you!

5:31pm • #15
348,045 Points 15 Featured Posts Outside Blog

You're singing my song John - and you do it very well. We have a lot to overcome, but it is a lot better than people are trying to let the public believe.

10:33pm • #17
239,640 Points 15 Featured Posts Outside Blog

And this is exactly why I work from my home office!  I don't want to hear people whining day in and day out about the market, the sellers, the buyers, the lenders, the appraisers.  The list goes on and on.  I'd rather be here in the Rain, providing local content to the potential clients that are making my phone ring and have already made me more in the first 6 months than all of last year - because I'm working, not complaining.

11:27pm • #18
JUL
21
2008
568,675 Points 95 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

John, I love this. It is our market and we do have to work and adjust in any market. The market will change and those that stayed, worked hard will be Champions. Hey, is that in the MI locker room or what. Somehow it fit!

6:47am • #19
476,452 Points 41 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

John-thank you.  I don't know what the problem is but I have 6 closings in July, three are done and three more to come. I keep hearing agents complain that they have nothing to do and I don't get it.  I'm planning on taking a little break in September since I missed my June vacation but otherwise the year has been busy.

2:58pm • #20
245,534 Points 16 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Tonight I stopped at the deli counter for my hubby's favorite potato salad.  I was still "dressed" and had my Weichert badge on.  There was another agent there already, who's been in "The Business" a LONG time - a lot longer than me.

He spoke loudly to me - "So, how's business???!!" 

I smiled, looked him in the eye,  and said "Business is good!"

"Come on," he said.  "Don't lie..."  (not sure if he actually said "don't lie" but that's what he meant.)  By now we had the attention of the girl working the deli.  Then he said "So, what makes it so good?"

"Well," I said, "I just had a closing yesterday..."   He interrupted to say "Well I've had a closing too but that doesn't mean------"

I interrupted HIM to say "Well, that's just one.  THis is my FIRST YEAR, and so far I've done well over $1.5 million in sales."

He was quiet for a second and said "That is pretty good."

Then I said "Actually since I started last year, I've done closer to 1.7 million."

The deli girl said "In commission??!!!"  (No, gross sales...I wish!!!  LOL)

Selling this much during my rookie year in a tough market?  I ain't complainin'.  I'm just selling real estate...ya know?

 

8:26pm • #21
DEC
03

Jmac - I hear you loud and clear!

12:50pm • #22

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John MacArthur

Olney, MD

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