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Home Prices Keep Falling In Fl

By
Real Estate Agent with Morris Williams Realty

 

I found this list the other day, I can't disagree with anything butthe order...If this is the list, how would you rewrite the order by level of importance to declining home prices.

 


    Top 20 reasons home prices will continue to drop in South Florida
    1. Home prices are still overvalued by at least 20% to 30%
    2. The cost of housing has grown faster than local wages
    3. High property taxes are still a concern for first time home buyers
    4. Insurance premiums are increasing to unreasonable levels
    5. First time homebuyers are priced out of the market for now
    6. There is an oversupply of new homes that have not yet been sold
    7. Large inventory of unsold existing homes sitting on the market
    8. Investors have long pulled out of the real estate market
    9. State authorities are pushing for tighter regulation of appraisers
    10. Eventually interest rates will rise, decreasing affordability
    11. Buyer confidence about the real estate market is still weak
    12. The foreclosure rate has been rising steadily without relief
    13. New tax break makes foreclosure easier for sellers to stomach
    14. Many adjustable rate mortgages are scheduled to reset soon
    15. Florida leads the nation in mortgage fraud and loan schemes
    16. Mortgage industry is using tougher standards to approve loans
    17. Many are moving out of the state to find affordable housing
    18. Many sellers have a lot of "paper" equity in their asking prices
    19. Currently, renting is at least 30% cheaper on a monthly basis
    20. Prices will balance out to whatever the local wages can bare

Only one reason why do not own yet - you have no money! Keep on renting.

I see no immediate reason for the decline to do anything but slow down, but this year is already in the tank as far as hitting the bottom

Darin Haughie
Esslinger-Wooten-Maxwell, Inc. (EWM) - Pinecrest, FL

I do agree with all but number 8, There are investors and they are getting great deals in Miami. I don't know where the bottom is but when it does turn these people will be making a lot of money.The old saying..Rich get richer and the poor get poorer....

Jul 26, 2008 01:12 AM
Rebecca Schrader
Competitive Insurance of Dundee - Dundee, FL

Everything is right to buy right now, can anyone qualify at this point and will a lender fund a loan?  Liquidity is forcing fewer loans, sellers drop prices to get the remaining qualified borrowers.

Jul 26, 2008 01:27 AM
Gary Woltal
Keller Williams Realty - Flower Mound, TX
Assoc. Broker Realtor SFR Dallas Ft. Worth

Mike I think with the tight credit (still) it is making it tough on many buyers that WANT to buy. Good luck to you in the bottoming out in your area.

Jul 26, 2008 01:57 AM
Robert L. Brown
www.mrbrownsellsgr.com - Grand Rapids, MI
Grand Rapids Real Estate Bellabay Realty, West Mic

Good points. IMHO different markets are for different buyers. Lots of investors are buying here. Hopefully soon we'll hit the bottom and start the slow crawl back up.

Jul 26, 2008 02:09 AM
Jim Crawford
Long & Foster - Fredericksburg, VA
Jim Crawford Broker Associate Fredericksburg VA

Great post, and very true!  I am sure this applies to many markets.

Jul 26, 2008 02:19 AM
Don Rogers
Keller Williams Realty Chesterfield - O'Fallon, MO
Realtor, Broker, CDPE, GRI, OnullFallon MO & St Charles County MO homes

Mike,

Not I ma not able to speak for Florida, but where would uncertainty about the economy fall?  Number 11 or would it be a line by itself?

Good luck on the foreclosures in your market area too.

Don R.

Jul 26, 2008 02:53 AM
Mike Norvell Sr
Morris Williams Realty - Leesburg, FL
Norvell Consulting Group

Darin..that is one of my major deals with the list too..we are getting flooded with investors wanting to buy into smaller REO Packages in the Fl market...I am trying to weed thru the calls to get to the serious ones..but its a great time to be in the Fl market if you are buying

Jul 26, 2008 04:52 AM
Mike Norvell Sr
Morris Williams Realty - Leesburg, FL
Norvell Consulting Group

Schrader  The credit crunch liquidity crisis is a ways from reaching the tipping point..It will get worse for a while longer

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jul 26, 2008 09:22 AM
Coldwell Banker Camelot Realty
Coldwell Banker Camelot Realty - Mount Dora, FL
Homes for Sale Mount Dora Realtor

Mike,

What do you see for the Leesburg market?

How much more decline?  Have we hit bottom?

We are seeing improved activity as prices decline.

Several clients have stated they are ready to buy.

Good Selling!

Ray Levy

Mount Dora, FL

Jul 30, 2008 09:57 AM
Mike Norvell Sr
Morris Williams Realty - Leesburg, FL
Norvell Consulting Group

Ray..how are ya..I met you that time at the Mt Dora City Council meeting...Good to hear from you

 

I see the Leesburg market in a continuing gradual slide, there is an easy 10 % to go..Face it..We have 2600 foreclosures/ REO properties in our market right now...many more to come..New builder inventory is being reduced basically at loss leader prices...There is so much inventory on the market now that is competeing with these distressed homes..

A year ago here on AR I was declared a heratic for loudly proclaiming that the bottom was widening, and getting worse..I got told to  be more positve. I love positive. I like real more. Facts are, over 30% of all sales at this time are distressed sales and those become the new comps..Our area was overpriced, I knew it, and so did all the other experts,but no one wanted to tell the last 20 home buyers that they had worked with tht they were traveling down a slippery slope..

NOw the truth cannot be hidden. The largest amount of resets are going to peak in Oct08, and the slide will take a year to taper off. The banks are a year behind in processing the deals they have now, it takes an average of 8 months to foreclose right now, more if there is a bankruptcy at the last minute

 

Aside from that, I don't know what to say. Buy for the best price you can, and hope you can live with the continual price drops. Kinda liike buying a computer..

Jul 31, 2008 05:09 AM
Coldwell Banker Camelot Realty
Coldwell Banker Camelot Realty - Mount Dora, FL
Homes for Sale Mount Dora Realtor

Mike,

I like your analogy about the computer. 

Just want to let you know we've tried to avoid the short sales for a variety of reasons, but it appears as though we will be taking on a few listings here in the Mount Dora area.

Regarding the Heretic.  We have a group of sellers who listened to us early on and are thrilled they sold prior to the last 15 to 20% slide in our area.

BTW

I enjoyed meeting you at the Mount Dora city council meeting.

 

Hope you sell one today!

Aug 07, 2008 03:58 AM