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Is $100 oil around the corner

By
Real Estate Broker/Owner with Carousel Realty of Dyer County Tn 248435000

A couple of months ago we predicted that oil prices would come down. A few minutes ago according to an AP article oil just dipped down to about $116. Analysts tell us the key support level is $117 so looks like we have broken through that level.

What is driving the price down? It is a combination of slower demand, stronger dollar and speculators bailing out of their contracts. Personally I see oil getting down to the $95-$100 level within 6-8 weeks. Of course there will be bumps up but overall oil should continue falling.

The strengtening dollar, falling oil prices and no more sub-prime financing should help our country dig out of the current financial slowdown and return us to a better financial footing! We still have a lot of real estate inventory to sell and as that sells the new construction market will recover as well.

Miriam Martir
Keller Williams - Metuchen, NJ

I hope so... This is really a mess.

Aug 08, 2008 04:02 AM
Jason Crouch
Austin Texas Homes, LLC - Austin, TX
Broker - Austin Texas Real Estate (512-796-7653)

I would love to see lower gas prices - I agree that this will help with public perception (and disposable income), and should help us begin to turn around.

Aug 08, 2008 04:03 AM
Tracey Shrouder
360 Realty - Greensboro, NC
Listing Specialist

The gas prices will likely lower soon, so that companies can sell all the SUVs they cannot give away right now :)

 

Tracey

Aug 08, 2008 04:04 AM
Randall Schrader
Competitive Insurance of Dundee - Dundee, FL

Right!  Get your SUV quick!  Just the threat of off shore drilling caused the speculators to bail.  Maybe these speculators should be brough before congress for losing a lot of money this week.

Aug 08, 2008 04:09 AM
Jimmy McCall
JimmyMcCall.com - Cunningham, TN
The Ex-Mortgage Consultant

Mike,  I have heard experts suggest that a fair price for oil should be around $70 per barrel.  That gives a lot of room for it go lower.  I only hope people don't forget about $4.00 gas once the rices drop to an affordable rate.  I like the idea of 85% of vehicles being none petroleum based.

Aug 08, 2008 04:10 AM
Frank Rubi
Frank Rubi Real Estate, LLC - Metairie, LA
FrankRubiRealEstate.com

Mike, my opinion is the speculators have made their money and are gone. In addition, to the producing countries, they release once America put their minds to something we will make it happen. So the talk of alternative fuel will come to the forefront and hopefully be develop. I would like to run everything on Water; some thing those people don't have like food could and should be our major export. Now lets pay play.  I agree with the comment as well that it will bring confidence back into this market.

Aug 08, 2008 04:11 AM
Chuck Carstensen
RE/MAX Results - Elk River, MN
Minnesota/Wisconsin Real Estate Expert

That would ease pressure on people a little.  Hope it happens.

Aug 08, 2008 04:19 AM
Jon Michael
DeGeorge Realty LLC - Long Branch, NJ

Prices at the pump have been steadily falling, which is Great news for all of us out there that use our cars for a living.  We all knew that prices would fall as the summer passed on, and they have.  I guess nobody is gonna give any credit to the government for reigining in the prces...but thats ok as long as the prices continue to fall. 

Aug 08, 2008 04:22 AM
John Guiney
Keller Williams Realty - Quincy, MA
e-PRO, CBR

Oil should be trading around $65 /barrel and probably as we near election day we will see it get near that level again. Makes you wonder if politics has more to do eith it than any other factor.

Aug 08, 2008 04:24 AM
Ann Allen Hoover
RE/MAX Advantage South - Hoover, AL
CDPE SRES ASP e-PRO Realtor - Homes for Sale - AL

It is very good news!.  Who would have thought we would be excited to be this much for gas?  Hopefully it will have a good impact on grocery prices.

Aug 08, 2008 04:28 AM
Jim & Maria Hart
Brand Name Real Estate - Charleston, SC
Charleston, SC Real Estate

Hey, Mike. We can only hope that everything else follows suit. Thanks, Jim

Aug 08, 2008 04:31 AM
Susan McQuaide
Keller Williams - Simpsonville, SC

I don't care if it hits $50 a barrel - we still need to drill and have our own supply and alternatives so we are not at the mercy of loony speculators, crazy dictators and maniacal terrorist's states!

Aug 08, 2008 05:03 AM
Debi Ernst
St. Charles County, Missouri - Prudential Alliance Realtors - O'Fallon, MO
GRI, e-PRO, Broker/Sales Associate

Mike - That is really good news.  I hope that we start drilling our own oil and drive it down even further.  Thanks for the update!  :)

Aug 08, 2008 05:08 AM
Mike Frazier
Carousel Realty of Dyer County - Dyersburg, TN
Northwest Tennessee Realtor

Thank-you all for commenting. Hopefully, we can get laws passed so we can drill offshore and in Alaska and become self sufficient when it comes to oil. I also think we need to contiue developing other energy alternatives. I am not sold on ethanol as it will raise commody prices and I am not sure the farmers will sign on to grow corn in the amounts needed.

Aug 08, 2008 07:34 AM
Simon Conway
Orlando Area Real Estate Services - Orlando, FL

Mike - I think we need to drill and of course we need to look at the rest. One of the biggest things we could do would be to power the nation with nuclear and use the oil for transportation.

Aug 08, 2008 07:39 AM
Mike Frazier
Carousel Realty of Dyer County - Dyersburg, TN
Northwest Tennessee Realtor

Simon,

Excellent ideas, now lets get them through Congress!

Aug 08, 2008 07:41 AM
Randall Schrader
Competitive Insurance of Dundee - Dundee, FL

Congress is out by the pool for 5 weeks!

They complained about the Alaskan pipeline back in the day.  They said the disruption and construction would disrupt the wildlife.  When all was said and done the animals huddled around the pipe for warmth!  LOL   DRILL!

Aug 09, 2008 02:40 AM
Mike Saunders
Retired - Athens, GA

Mike - that would be great. I see it stabilizing in that range maybe a little higher - $95-$105, $100 - $110.

Saw an interview with the CEO of NAT (an oil tanker/transportation company) and he is certainly not expecting an decrease in demand but perhaps a slowing. While the U.S. consumption is down, world consumption is still growing, especially in China and India, albeit at a slower rate than recently.

Aug 09, 2008 03:58 AM
Mike Frazier
Carousel Realty of Dyer County - Dyersburg, TN
Northwest Tennessee Realtor

Randall and Mike,

Thanks for your comments. I have a friend who came by today and showed me the contraption he built which turns distilled water into hydrogen and that  goes into the carburetor along with gas. His gas mileage increased from 21mpg to 36 mpg. He was really excited. 

He is going to help me build one for my truck.

Aug 09, 2008 12:19 PM