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THe Fed is walking a tight line. If they lower the Prime rate the economy will rev up. But it also could lesson the foreign appetitie for our bonds. This would mean higher fixed interest rates which could slow home buying and refinancing. Europe and Japan are in the process of raising their Prime Rates which is also making our bonds look less attractive.
If they don't lower the Prime then the economy could stall. While this wouldn't necessarily affect mortgage rates, it would affect the ability to borrow.
This is part of why they are watching and waiting.