I don't know if I agree with Bill Gross (see article below). The Fed's main goal is to keep inflation below two percent. We're a bit above two percent right now. We have seen how zealous the Fed can be about this goal. I don't think a subprime credit squeeze will force their hand and make them cut rates to the extent Bill Gross is saying here. If the credit squeeze were somehow to cause a severe economic downturn then maybe, but I don't see that happening. The real impact of the subprime meltdown is not as exhaustive as people are making it out to be. I say this in relation to the broader economy, I understand that the mortgage/real estate indsutries will be affected for years to come.

Gross: Credit squeeze will force Fed's hand - MarketWatch: "Tighter lending standards and stricter regulations will slow the U.S. economy and force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates 'significantly' to 'revigorate an anemic U.S. economy,' said Bill Gross, managing director of Pacific Investment Management Co., in his monthly investment outlook."

 

0 Comments on Will the credit squeeze force the Fed to cut rates?

THe Fed is walking a tight line. If they lower the Prime rate the economy will rev up. But it also could lesson the foreign appetitie for our bonds. This would mean higher fixed interest rates  which could slow home buying and refinancing. Europe and Japan are in the process of raising their Prime Rates which is also making our bonds look less attractive.

If they don't lower the Prime then the economy could stall. While this wouldn't necessarily affect mortgage rates, it would affect the ability to borrow.

This is part of why they are watching and waiting.

03/28/2007 12:07 PM by Larry Morris, CMPS, Newberg Oregon (NW Lending Solutions)


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Aimee Ghimire
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I am a mortgage professional serving the Greater Phoenix market. This includes Phoenix, Mesa, Gilbert, Scottsdale, Chandler, Tempe and surrounding communities. I am with PrimeLending. When it comes to Arizona mortgage loans I have the expertise, the experience and the professionalism you should expect. I have been working in the Arizona home loan market for almost five years and have a history of satisfied borrowers.




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