This feature will be continually updated with new information as the real estate market conditions change. 

In the short term, a few personal comments on the  ** Market Outlook here will give some perspective as to what is likely in 2007

The NEW housing market  remains overbuilt for the current demand. A number of planned new developments have been put on hold. The resale market has accumulated many more available properties with market times greatly increased but that number has declined over the holidays and with the spring market in focus, those numbers will start increasing again.

The long term interest rates have been steady in the low 6's and will likley remain low for the 1st quarter . Taken overall, we still see a bit of a cooling trend in overall demand very early in the year, putting more pressure on prices to soften in the short term. The Spring and summer markets will see increasing activity with the numbers increasing a little over last year and will be at a healthy pace for sales.

Appreciation for 2007 will obviously vary by type of real estate product and location but overall I would predict a 2% to 3% average appreciation for the year 2007 in most areas.  We did have some price corrections in various sectors of the market late in 2006.  

Buyers can and will be more discerning and with more choices. Buyers will still be testing the waters and will determine just how active or soft the market will become. Buyers will collectively do better in negotiating in 2007 for price and terms and the Buyers will have  more choices than in the past years. Sellers would do well to price more conservatively than in the past as well .

Sellers should have any needed repairs and upgrades done by qualified professionals prior to going on the market. Buyers have not looked to favorably on seller made improvements but continue to seek out the professional level upgraded properties.  A Home with show appeal that has been well cared for , improved and priced correctly will still be a hit in the market this year. One thing is certain. The market is still correcting and those that expect to productively participate will need up to date information on the specific areas of interest. I look forward to providing you with that information.

Summer 2007: The market will gradually improve and a few more Buyers than maybe would be expected will be selecting from the more reasonable amount of inventory of Homes and Condos. Interest rates will tick upwards to the higher end of 6% as demand picks up before the fall of 2007.

Fall 2007: Interest rates will then drop back to the lower end of 6% as we near more the end of the fall market, regrettably right along with a bit more home price correction. Though I do not expect to see  major price corrections in 2007, lower price corrections in the 2%  to 3 % range in some areas through the end of the year would be expected.

Don't confuse price corrections with just "lower value". Many of the most dramatic price corrections are in areas with the greatest overvalued properties in the first place. Yes, it is still possible to have  downward price corrections with a fair level of real appreciation. The "Market Value" of a property is determined by what a willing Seller and Buyer agree to. Most of the severe price corrections were those made when the market value was determined by only one of the needed two parties it takes to determine the real market value. The closer you set the " Market Price to what will actually be the "Market Value", the faster the property will sell. Otherwise many Sellers will be in for a very long frustrating waiting game. Be reminded, that game has very few winners.  

Market prices will continue to soften in the condo market in the early spring of 2007 with an expected uptick in sales from all the previous 2006 price corrections as we begin the new year, with a few areas actually increasing in the 2% to 3% range of new appreciation. This is as much a supply and demand issue as it is an adjustment of the inflated prices from 2004 and 2005. With all the factors considered, it is my belief that sales overall will be stronger in 2007. 

**This "Market Outlook" is my opinion and before making any decisions about Buying and Selling in this market, I would recommend your own careful research of other factors and other qualified opinions. One person's opinion is just that and should not be relied upon for important business decisions. The market is full of other forecasts/opinions that vary in scope and detail.

 

 

0 Comments on My 2007 San Diego Market Forcast

MAR
30
2007
368,733 Points 63 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

This was my first attempt at blogging...dah! Where have I been? I was asked for a copy of my market forecast last evening by a friend of a past client that had spoken to her about it. It still seems timely so I wanted to give blogging a try and include it as my first blog entry.

It is not like I don't have a lot of original thoughts to share with this community so I will add this little comment as my first response to my own entry.( Just in case I don't get any others,LOL) Blather, blather. Been in the business for a lot of years and in that time I have met so many hundreds and hundreds of fabulous people-I refer to them as my trusted REALTOR friends. We have all heard the reviews that say people don't trust us or that we couldn't do or be successful in another profession so we chose real estate.

As a matter fact, it is my contention that just the opposite is true. The contribution of organized real estate to the life and well being of most of the communities across the country is so beyond extraordinary, it is totally amazing we aren't in the headlines everyday for it. We teach, we organize, we share, we inspire,  we empathize, we listen, we direct, we contribute and in short-what other profession could offer all these things, besides maybe being a Teacher or a Doctor? Our daily to do sheets rarely include the mundane chores of most business professionals. Everyday is like a new beginning, with new challenges and new opportunities.

BTW, the market forecast seems to be on target. Question? Would it be better to be more specific and give statistics or leave well enough alone and keep it simple?

I am a living work in progress and I am always a bit awe struck at the amazing amount of talent in our ranks and anyone willing to guide me by giving feedback or sharing their ideas would be most welcome.

Make it a great day! We all deserve it!

William

 

3:02pm • #1

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San Diego Real Estate Voice authored by William Johnson

San Diego, CA

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RE/MAX Associates

Address: 4747 Morena Blvd. Ste 200, San Diego, CA, 92117

Office Phone: (858) 487-6975

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