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Alternative plan proposed by Republicans for economic crisis

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Home Builder with 219-465-8352

Republicans propose alternative free market solution


With Congress knotted over the $700 Billion plan to bailout problem bonds, based on sub-prime mortgage problems ... President Bush called John McCain and Senator Obama to the White House for a meeting with leaders on Thursday. Interestingly enough Obama agreed to this meeting, which could frame him as supportive of the President. I believe that meeting takes place late this afternoon, so the markets will probably wander around in waiting today.

In the meantime Republicans have proposed an alternative plan, much more free market based, that eliminates the capital gains tax and the "mark to market" requirement that is causing healthy banks to become unhealthy in the eyes of investors. See WSJ op-ed.

The RSC plan is chock-full of measures to remove barriers to economic growth and market-distorting subsidies. It would suspend capital gains taxes to put trillions of dollars of capital in the economy, and set Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which as CEI has documented were at the root of this crisis, on the road to full privatization.

Most importantly for the crisis at hand, the RSC plan would make regulatory agencies suspend the mark-to-market accounting rules that a range of experts agree are spreading the contagion by forcing solvent banks’ to “write down” their assets, based on the last fire sale of a highly leveraged bank. As Gary Gorton, finance professor at Yale and member of the National Bureau of Economic Research has written, “With no liquidity and no market prices, the accounting practice of ‘marking-to-market’ became highly problematic and resulted in massive write-downs based on fire-sale prices and estimates.”



Although I am highly supportive of President Bush, I am worried that Democrats will take any chance they can get to create massive agencies that won't go away down the road. I'm willing to listen to alternatives today, but understand the brevity of the situation and that today and tomorrow a decision has to be made. If Republicans can't get support for the alternative, then I'd like to see John McCain seal the deal today and make Bush's plan happen. If Republicans start to get some support, I'd love to see the Maverick jump in with them and dare Obama to back Bush's plan over a market based plan. What an amazing day today is.

Steve Homer
The HBH Group (Keller Williams affiliate) - Round Rock, TX

Steve:  Great post and it is good to see another person who understands free market economies and abhors socialism.  God forbid that Hussein be in the Oval Office for four years.  I fear the damage to capitalism would be irreparable!

Sep 24, 2008 11:24 PM
Steve Dalton
219-465-8352 - Valparaiso, IN
Northwest Indiana Home Builder

Steve thanks, I'll be totally honest, I was all for the plan because I felt the credit crisis needed to be fixed and fixed fast.  Allowing the government to purchase $700 Billion in stinky bonds, breaking them apart and reselling their parts for a potential profit was the best option I had heard so far.  And at the end of the day tomorrow, that may still be the only viable option.

 

But, yes 100% I'd prefer a free market solution, with tax cuts even better.

Sep 24, 2008 11:31 PM
Robert Irvin
The Oaks Tamarindo - Igloolik, YN

Steve- The Republican plan provides some political cover, so that Republicans are not diselected en masse by falling in line behind the unpopular Bush plan, but I think it misses the boat in one respect. From the Republican plan:

“We are highly skeptical of the Paulson plan and believe that the time has come for Congress to rationally debate alternatives – the consequences are too severe for us to rush to judgment. It is far more important for us to correctly address our problems than to quickly address them.”

If the commercial paper market fails, watch out below. So long as the government is providing liquidity, that is, an investment that it reasonably expects to get back, it is far more important to quickly address our problems than to correctly address them. The Republican statement has it backwards. Delay is not our friend.

No one likes the Bush plan, including me, but kudos to Bush for putting bright people at the tip of the spear.  I blogged on the perils of mark to market accounting before I saw the WSJ´s op ed piece. Fixing that bit of mischief would be grand, but it would not help money circulate because an actual sale still would be at a low market price. The govt does need to step in with some purchases at hold to maturity prices,  minus one or two points for profit or reserves, and probably taking some upside interest in the companies that need the liquidity. Warren Buffet has shown the way.

Sep 24, 2008 11:41 PM
Steve Dalton
219-465-8352 - Valparaiso, IN
Northwest Indiana Home Builder

Robert, well said.  I'm in both home building (at least used to be) and the mortgage business.  I have first hand experience on a daily basis with banks walking away from their business models and even giving up on entire markets.  This is bad for all of us.

 

The big problem is that Congress doesn't make good fast decisions.  Our constitution with checks and balances forces them to negotiate, and usually that means tons of add-ons for lavish spending.  I'm afraid that buying Democrat votes will cost even more billions.

Sep 24, 2008 11:47 PM
Ryan Hukill - Edmond
405home @ ERA Courtyard - Edmond, OK
Realtor, Team Lead

Steve, it will be an interesting day indeed.  I'm for free market and personally detest anything that even remotely resembles socialism.  A quick fix is not always the best or healthiest fix and I believe in corporate accountability.  If they fail on their own, so be it.  If it hurts the market in the here & now, so be it.  In the long run, it's the way our country should be run and we will all be better off because of it.

Sep 25, 2008 12:36 AM
Charlie Ragonesi
AllMountainRealty.com - Big Canoe, GA
Homes - Big Canoe, Jasper, North Georgia Pros

It will be fun. I am a small goivernment guy but there is a central issue that must be grappled with. If we have decided that these institutions are too big to fail because of what will happen to the economy then they 100 percent should be private and 100 percent regulated so we do not have this mess again

Sep 25, 2008 12:47 AM
Steve Dalton
219-465-8352 - Valparaiso, IN
Northwest Indiana Home Builder

Ryan, I'm free market, but I still originate FHA loans.  Does that make my a hypocrite? 

 

Charlie, 100% private and 100% regulated sounds eerily socialized to me.

Sep 25, 2008 12:54 AM
Steve Homer
The HBH Group (Keller Williams affiliate) - Round Rock, TX

Steve (et. al.):  I didn't get a chance to see any news today...  What happened with the planning and production for the bailout?  Anything?

Sep 25, 2008 07:11 PM