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The Feds are scrambling hard these days to “save the economy”. I think that’s a fair statement to make. When the big, rich and powerful begin to lose money and fear they will lose more it really does illustrate the trickledown economics applied to Main Street. No money trickles down for anyone and my multifamily investment market along with every other market is affected even though the government is pleading with banks to part with their cash.

Actually it took me awhile to realize Main Street was me and you.

The credit market (unfortunately including my beloved Fannie Mae multifamily investment market) have seized up almost entirely on “Main Street”. Many Banks are flush with cash but have no clue what to do right now. What they do know is hoarding cash is better than losing cash. When banks hoard cash so do investors. And when banks don't lend to each other, it can get ugly.  Folks it's getting ugly.

The LIBOR index shot up to more than 2 points over the Fed Fund rate on the 3-month loan. That may not sound bad but doubling the rate banks lend to each other is in reality telling other banks to take a hike. When banks don’t lend to each other, they don’t lend to “Main Street”.

It was a huge mistake on the Feds part to allow the investment bank of Lehman Brothers to fail. Lehman shot itself in both feet and more but most likely was stunned with the Feds move. The issue with that failing is the corporate bond market now clearly understands that anything is possible.

Bear Stearns collapse was so quick that it was thought to be a casualty of the high risk, high reward business. However allowing Lehman Brothers to fail was a deliberate act of thought.

The Federal Reserve and Treasury Secretary Paulson are working behind the scenes for a number of companies beginning with Countrywide Mortgage and the largest banks in our world. It will be a matter of history that Paulson heading Goldman Sachs in the past is on going to this day.

Warren BuffettWarren Buffett bet $5 BILLION dollars into Goldman Sachs betting with house money and a back door guarantee from the Feds. Buffett heaped huge amounts of criticism on the way investment banks conducted business for years.

 

 

 

 

Getting double digit return guarantees on $5B has a way of changing minds I guess.

 

 

 

 

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6 Comments on When Banks hoard cash.......

SEP
30
2008

You hit several nails on the head.  You did miss one.  I do mortgages for

investor (or at least I used to).  My lenders are hitting 75%loan to value with

740FICO 300 bps.  The banks seem to have plenty of money at these premiums.

Their greed never stops.  What guarentees that they won't take liquidity freed

up by the tax payers and use it high yield hard money type loans instead for

moving the excess housing inventory.

3:55pm • #1

Which banks are flushing with cash?  I've heard the banks are struggling.

4:41pm • #2
199,697 Points 13 Featured Posts Outside Blog

So much money has been put into the economy over the last several weeks, it would seem that liquidity would soon be established. No one has any confidence in the other, and I still think restoring cash flow in mortgage securities and stabizing home values is the first step.

I hope the bailout will make that happen by implementing a mechanism for loan modification other that Hope for Homeowners.

Richard

8:51pm • #3
OCT
01
2008
811,199 Points 91 Featured Posts Outside Blog Called Shot Master

They need to prosecute the fraudsters before spending the next batch of money!  We are so tired of the promises!

1:20am • #4

Randall, Richard has it right. The Feds have pumped hundreds of billions into the banking system.  In addition, banks can borrow and lend to customers. They have cash to lend but are not lending.

They are concerned about capital and have incurred losses but mostly because of the "mark to market" rule.

12:26pm • #5

Hey Jim, historically speaking prosecuting these guys is long, hard and expensive without a lot convicted. I'd like to see those who broke the law get their just due. These was pretty much of a legal ponzi scheme whose risks were well known.  No one really belived that a perfect storm could happen.

12:30pm • #6

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Rick Fitzgerald -The MultiFamily Expert

Chattanooga, TN

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Multifamily investments and straight talk from a Senior Underwriter, Banker and Lender. Rick Fitzgerald and AAM Capital (www.themultifamilyexperts.com) covers multi family investments, banking news and commercial real estate. Find out what we can do for you by calling us today. Get the Mortgage and Loan Calculators widget and many other great free widgets at Widgetbox!

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