Special offer

Has Your Market Slowed to A Crawl or Died?

By
Real Estate Agent with Long & Foster 0225078705

Has your business died?I noticed in the last few weeks Internet leads in real estate in several markets has slowed to a crawl.  Actually it seems like it has died!  I was wondering if the market is spooked, no pun intended for the upcoming Halloween!  Each time the government announced a bailout, a bank failure or the "Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Fix"....buyers became more scarce.  I really think Congress has spooked the market along wiht the media in recent months.  I know it isn't just me.  I am hearing this from full time agents, brokers, inspectors, builders, closing attorneys, and mortgage professionals.  The only exception that I am hearing about is that some high end builders are selling some custom homes - all cash.  I suppose the rich feel the safest place to have their money is in real estate as opposed to the banks where no one knows what tomorrow will bring!

Since the mantra in real estate these days is "Real Estate is Localwhat's happening in your markets?  Are you getting real buyers?  Tire kickers?  Investors?  Bottom Feeders?  More listing calls?  Foreclosure inquiries?  Is anything productive occurring?  Is your market improving or still declining?

Sales in Atlanta have slowed to pre - 2000 levels, inventory is still very high especially for this time of year, condos, and town home sales have fallen off the charts.

Posted by

James Crawford Broker Associate

Long & Foster Fredericksburg Virginia

678-595-5286 Direct

 

Fredericksburg VA Real Estate Agents, Spotsylvania County Homes for Sale, Spotsylvania County VA Homes, Stafford County VA Homes, and City of Fredericksburg VA – Luxury Homes, Lots, Land, and New Home Construction. Buying or Selling Call Me!  

 

Long and Foster Fredericksburg VA

Comments (178)

Kris Wales
Keller Williams Realty - Lakeside Market Center - Macomb, MI
Real Estate Blog & Homes for Sale search site, Macomb County MI

The leads have slowed but it's my own darned fault.   I've neglected the local side of my lead generation and now I have to play catch up.

Shame on me.

Oct 05, 2008 11:07 PM
Greg Gorman
John R Wood Properties - Naples, FL
Naples Florida Real Estate

Hey Jim -

Brace yourself. Our market crash lasted 3 years. We are just now emerging, but Naples, FL was also the 1st to crash. Our prices are pre-boom 2003 levels and units match that year as well. "Lord I pray for one more real estate boom before I retire!" Will we ever see this again?? Greetings from Paradise.

Realtor Greg Gorman & Team Paradise Logo

Oct 05, 2008 11:20 PM
Anonymous
Greg Booth

Our MLS units sold are down 35% compared to '07 and 45% compared to '06. Average price is holding but buyers are getting much more house for the money. I estimate the average house has lost 20% of market value compared to '06. We've got close to 11 months inventory in listings. I'm telling sellers that if they don't absolutely have to sell they should not list. About the only market we have left are short sales and foreclosures and even those buyers are getting nervous that the market hasn't hit bottom. Looks to me like GW, Bernacke, and Paulson have created a self fulfilling prophecy with their scare tactics and virtually assured an Obama victory. The republicans should have nominated Ron Paul, the only candidate that actually understands economics.

Greg Booth Re/Max Forest City, Loves Park Illinois

Oct 06, 2008 02:44 AM
#161
Fred Carver Real Estate Consulant
Retired BC Realtor - Victoria, BC
Accredited Real Estate Consultant

Hey Jim...Maybe change what you are doing, and take a break and charge your batteries. Our market is slowing and I started doing Opens and meeting people, This is the only time the public comes to us, and they need you. My market is slow ,but you know what there were 300 homes that Sold in September.

Maybe a little Zig Ziglar motivational Tapes will help, stay positive sometime it's just in our minds, go see Past Clients....and Turn the TV Off.

Good Luck my friend have a great week!

Oct 06, 2008 05:21 AM
Frank & Jodi Orlando
Frank & Jodi Orlando Get Us A Home Realty Atlanta Homes Sale - Cumming, GA

Our internet leads are off, probably about 30 percent. Only buyers we are actively working now are all $500K+. Happy we at least have that working. Co broker in Destin has investors coming out of the wood work, yep, cash buyers...

Oct 06, 2008 05:41 AM
Stephen Graham
Inactive - Atlanta, GA

Just the other day, I spoke with an out-of-town potential buyer who believed that nobody could get a loan. She literally meant nobody. Why? Because CNN told her so.

I corrected her assumption by telling her about the closing that I had the day before. FHA is still backing loans.

This really made me think about the power of the media. Perhaps, sound bites should be "banned" and the full story required for the protection of the economy.

Oct 06, 2008 05:58 AM
Pam Dent
Gayle Harvey Real Estate, Inc. - Charlottesville, VA
REALTOR® - Charlottesville Virginia Homes / Horse

The fall is usually our busiest time and it is dead.  I have been doing market reports for my blog thisw week and inventory is high and pendings are way off.  I have gotten a bunch of new clients this month but they are all one to two years away from purchasing.  Maybe I will have a good business next year.  Until then its time to keep plugging along, networking and working smarter.

Oct 06, 2008 06:07 AM
Sal Poliandro - Helping People Win
RE/MAX Properties - Ridgewood, NJ
Broker Associate

The market in Bergen County, New Jersey is doing pretty well overall.  Volume is down but besides that we are pretty consistent overall.

Oct 06, 2008 08:39 AM
Kaye Thomas
Real Estate West - Manhattan Beach, CA
e-PRO, Manhattan Beach CA

Wow.. what a wealth of information here about how our business is acting in local markets.. I'm in Manhattan Beach Ca.. Sales have slowed and are off about 30% from the top of the market in 2005.  Prices have fallen about 10% which is significantly less then other areas in LA County and the state of CA.  Laurie Manny is about 15 miles south of me and our markets are totally different.  We are both beach communities but the median income in my area is much higher so we have weathered the storm better. 

Overall our market is slower but fairly steady.   We are losing agents and I expect to see more drop along the way.  Our markets needed the winnowing of agents as there were too many who didn't know  what they were doing and  were not willing to learn. 

My business is internet based and I have seen things slow a bit but overall I'm doing fine.  My clients are well qualified and I am closing sales. 

Oct 06, 2008 11:56 AM
Rick Fitzgerald
AAM Capital - Chattanooga, TN
The MultiFamily Expert

For what my 2 cents are worth.  As a member of one of the largest past bank failures in history, this is what I witnessed.  We became concerned when the news started naming banks who were merging or having trouble (like our bank) but things kept going.  But when a well known community bank failed and was taken over by the Feds, everything came to a halt. And I mean everything.  Nothing like it. Folks don't handle bad news about their banks very well.

Oct 06, 2008 03:36 PM
Pamela Elder
Gaines Realty - Inman, SC

Jim,

Here in Spartanburg SC our sales are down by 24% for the same time 1 yr ago. Everyone here is feeling the crunch. You can look back at history and see almost the same trend as the Presidential race nears. This to shall pass...

Oct 06, 2008 04:45 PM
Laurie Manny
Long Beach CA Real Estate - Long Beach, CA

LONG BEACH CA HOME SALES THRU 9/30/2008 AS COMPARED TO THE SAME TIME PERIOD FOR PRIOR YEARS:

 

YEAR          HOMES          CONDOS          2-4 UNITS          5+ UNITS

2008          1237               499                 195                      52

2007          1380               714                 258                      68

2006          1795               924                 464                      84

2005          2304              1184                664                     239

 

LET THE NUMBERS SPEAK

Oct 06, 2008 05:25 PM
Terrylynn Fisher
Dudum Real Estate Group - BuyStageSell.com - Walnut Creek, CA
HAFA Certified, EcoBroker, CRS, CSP Realtor, Etc.

California, tire kickers like mad, 7 offers and no buyer yet,,,more of the same.  But change is on the horizon.  T

Oct 06, 2008 05:26 PM
Esko Kiuru
Bethesda, MD

Jim,

Las Vegas has its share of investors and first-time buyers still looking at property at the lower end of the market, but overall there seems to be a lull in activity right now. Wall Street troubles have spooked many. There are still mortgage lenders willing to make loans, so the marketplace is alive.

Oct 07, 2008 05:35 AM
Sandra Paulow
Aspen Properties, Inc. - Pinetop Lakeside, AZ
REALTOR, Associate Broker, GRI, SFR

Jim,  Our market has been slow all summer.  Most of the buyers are low end bottom feeders or just kicking tires looking for the bargain.  One of my listings withdrew this week because they are convinced they can't sell.  Another talked about it but agreed to leave the listing active.  Another is renting his place because we haven't found a buyer yet.  In general everyone is lamenting the slow marketplace. 

We are one of the few boards in the Nation that offers free education to our agents.  We recently had to cancel a CRS class for lack of interest.  Is it a sign that even the agents are so discouraged that they don't care anymore. 

I sure hope it doesn't completely die this winter or we will all starve.  Layoffs, cutting back hours, all signs of bad times.  One of my clients asked me if I had heard the news that morning and I told them I refuse to watch it anymore because it is all Doom & Gloom.  Is there nothing positive happening anywhere worthy of reporting?  I guess not!

Oct 07, 2008 01:13 PM
Alyce Martin
The Realty Group, LLC - Albuquerque, NM
Albuquerque - THE Place To Be!

Jim - Where are you???????????????????????????????????????????????????????

Oct 07, 2008 04:47 PM
Patricia Beck
RE/MAX Properties, Inc., ABR, GRI, SRES - Colorado Springs, CO
Colorado Springs Realty

Slow here in Colorado Springs Jim but I would say that I have been working primarily with first time home buyers.  Many of them are getting "spooked" with everything that is going on with the economy so they are more reluctant to buy right now.

Oct 08, 2008 02:23 AM
Reno Loan Guy
FHA 203K & Homestyle Renovation Expert - Atlanta, GA

My web traffic is down quite a bit recently on all of my sites.

Oct 08, 2008 11:09 AM
Jim Crawford
Long & Foster - Fredericksburg, VA
Jim Crawford Broker Associate Fredericksburg VA

Thanks all for you resonse!  I'm sorry, I cannot answer each response individually.

WOW!  I am shocked at all the responses!    I decided not to Blog for a few days, and enjoyed the time off taking off for a few days out of town.  We had such an urge to blow Atlanta  for a few days after the gas drought!  Well we just returned home from our short expedition, and have read most all the responses.  Obviously a lot has happened in my short trip away from Atlanta, and there are signs of some further softening.  Pretty scary stuff, and nothing short of a major meltdown.  Ellen and I cut short our trip and returned home.  

But I also feel for full time professionals, there will always be business.  I plan to write a short blog on my observations to a different real estate market.

Oct 08, 2008 03:22 PM
John Gray
Windermere Real Estate - McKenzie Bridge, OR
McKenzie Valley Realtor

If there is one thing that's clear from all of these responses, it's that real estate really IS local.  Our primary focus is in a relatively small rural market, but, against what the general economic conditions might portend, our business has literally taken off since Labor Day.  We're getting new listings, phone calls, emails, web registrations and offers, and we'll close a transaction this week. AND we just got our first AR referrals this week. Our web traffic is through the roof. We have changed a couple of things in the last few months: we've made our website more user-friendly and customer-focused; we're advertising more, not less; and we've branded all our signage with our picture and look-and-feel that stands out in the crowd. We thank God every day for blessing us and our business - we know the source!  Bless y'all...

Oct 08, 2008 04:28 PM