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WHAT'S IS HAPPENING ON WALL STREET? Even Fed Hint a Lower Interest Rates Does Not Help!

By
Real Estate Agent with Dean's Team - Keller Williams Realty Partners Chicago IL

The Carnage Continues!  Dow down 508 points.  S & P, Nasdaq each shed over 5% today!

Even possibly encouraging signs from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke couldn't sooth investors fears today.  Despite the signaled likelihood of a Fed Funds Rate Cut later this month, and a move to shore up Commercial Paper issued by U.S. Corporations, the stock market still nosedived, for the second straight day.

Are you optimistic, or are you a Chicago Cubs Fan (i.e, "pessimistic")? 

Is the U.S. Stock Market finding a bottom?  And what effect will the market's fall, combined with the potential for lower Fed Interest Rates, have on the mortgage and the real estate markets? 

In remarks to the National Association for Business Economics earlier today, Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke strongly hinted a reduction in the benchmark Fed Funds Rate may be necessary to jump start the economy.

"The combination of the incoming data and recent financial developments suggests that the outlook for economic growth has worsened and that the downside risks to growth have increased," while the price outlook has "improved somewhat,"  Bernanke said.   

"In light of these developments, the Federal Reserve will need to consider whether the current stance of policy remains appropriate." 

Many experts believe Bernanke's words signal the Federal Open Market Committee may reduce its benchmark rate when it meets again later this month.   These experts feel concern about the inflationary aspects of further rate cuts will take a back seat to ongoing fear about the economy heading to serious recession.

Earlier today, the Fed announced a separate program to purchase certain unsecured and asset-back obligations from businesses, or "commercial paper."  The initiative is aimed at building confidence in short-term credit markets, by removing the risk to investors that the issuers of the commercial paper will not be able to pay back their obligations.

As Real Estate Practitioners and Lending Professionals well know, the Fed Funds Rate is not really tied to home loan rates anymore.  Generally, the movement of 10-Year Treasury Bills, which also fell today, are better predictors.

But moves by the Fed could have the positive affect of boosting investor confidence.

If stock market numbers from the last couple of days are any indication, no confidence was boosted!

For more, read our post this afternoon @ BlogChicagoHomes.com,with links to Brian Blackstone's story in today's Wall Street Journal for more detail.  A separate link to Jon Hisenrath's story on the Fed's plan to back Commercial Paper, also in today's Journal, is also included.

DEAN & DEAN'S TEAM CHICAGO

Comments(6)

Jared Pomranky ~ Detroit Foreclosures
Urban Detroit Wholesalers - Detroit, MI

I'm an optimist but I don't really follow the stock market.  I believe the stock market will probably keep dropping for awhile because of a lack of confidence in the market.  It will drop below what the actual numbers of companies support and once everyone realizes this it will start to stabilize.  I don't see it going up or flattening out soon.  Of course you will see run-ups every couple of days or within the day when the prices drop low and people find good deals but then you will also find people selling to take profit, which will drop it back down.

I'm optimistic for a mid-long term stability.  Short term it will be tumultuous.

Oct 07, 2008 09:23 AM
Tom Braatz Waukesha County Real Estate 262-377-1459
Coldwell Banker - Oconomowoc, WI
Waukesha County Realtor Real Estate agent. SOLD!

Dean

Wall Street is beyaond repair. It is a mess. It will never be the same old one.

Sincerely

Tom Braatz

Oct 07, 2008 09:23 AM
Bill Ladewig
LoanOfficerSchool.com - Escondido, CA
Experience Is Your Advantage

The funny thing is this whole thing started when foreclosures went to 2.75%.  Or when 97.25% of Americans were not in foreclosure.  Actually the panic started earlier the foreclosure rate was 2.75% at the end of the 2nd quarter, this year.

Somebody yelled Fire everyone ran for the door as the media fanned the sparks.  Gosh... you think maybe it was the media that yelled fire?

Oct 07, 2008 09:27 AM
Paula Reno
Astro Realty (Buyer Agency) - Cedar Lake, IN
Broker, Owner - Cedar Lake Indiana Realtor, Astro

Well Folks it will get back to normal some day not to far in the future. So do what I did buy stock now while low and make some money on a sure thing..

Oct 07, 2008 09:54 AM
DJ Swanepoel
Real Estate Wiki - Los Angeles, CA

As always, great post, thanks Dean:)

Oct 07, 2008 04:57 PM
Anonymous
Anonymous

At first the drops were due to fundamentals. Now the further drops are pure emotion.  Expect a bounce to the positive, just not a bounce all the way back to where we were two months ago.

Oct 08, 2008 02:16 PM
#6