Market Outlook

 

Thursday, October 09, 2008                   

 

Price Trend: Negative

Price Volatility:  Very High

Recommendation:  Floating with an Eye on the Market   

_________________________________________________________________

 

Current Conditions:                Today's Economic Data (all times PST)

 

FNMA 5.5          99-23    (-15)                 Jobless Claims                           5:30                 

GNMA 5.5          99-25    (-21)                 Wholesale Inventories                 7:00

10yr Yield          3.762%                                                                                                                                                                        

                                                           

_________________________________________________________________

Commentary:

  

The extreme turmoil in the financial markets picked up right where it left off this morning.  Stocks have been all over the place and bonds are suffering.  Cash is king right now as it seems that everything is being sold.

 

The chart below shows FNMA 5.5 Coupon pricing since yesterday morning.  The black lines represent the approximate time when most of the pricing on your rate sheets is set.  That's a drop of one full point from yesterday at 7:00 to today at 7:00. 

 

 

This Week's Calendar

Click on a "Release" for Insight

Date

ET

Release

For

Actual

Briefing.com

Consensus

Prior

Oct 07

14:00

FOMC Minutes

Sep 16

 

 

 

 

Oct 07

15:00

Consumer Credit

Aug

 

NA

$5.0B

$4.6B

Oct 08

10:00

Pending Home Sales

Aug

7.4%

 

-1.2%

-3.2%

Oct 08

10:35

Crude Inventories

10/04

 

NA

NA

NA

Oct 09

08:30

Initial Claims

10/04

478K

NA

475K

497K

Oct 09

10:00

Wholesale Inventories

Aug

0.8%

NA

0.4%

1.4%

Oct 10

08:30

Export Prices ex-ag.

Sep

 

NA

NA

NA

Oct 10

08:30

Import Prices ex-oil

Sep

 

NA

NA

NA

Oct 10

08:30

Trade Balance

Aug

 

NA

-$59.0B

-$62.2B

Richard Sellers



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