We all know that negativity and sensationalism is what sells, and that is definitely what is selling in this tense economic climate.  It's clearly having an adverse effect, as we see panic-stricken consumers and investors sell off stock and remove deposits from banks, which only adds to our economic woes.   Because of this, I and several of my fellow Realtors, mortgage brokers, title companies, and even our local radio station, have been on a mission to boost consumer confidence in our local Montrose area economy, where we have not experienced the same real estate downturn as in other parts of the country.  As I've said to several people lately, if I weren't reading and listening to the news, I'd actually think we were doing quite well based on how well I've done throughout the summer and into this fall.   Fewer buyers may qualify now to buy, but in Montrose, our local lenders confirm they still have plenty of money to loan and good loans for the qualified buyer.   Real estate values have remained fairly steady since the decline began nationally around mid-2006.  It's actually a terrific time to buy real estate in Montrose.  And if one has to sell to buy, then it's a good time to sell, too. 

Just to make sure I'm not fooling myself, I have been reading and researching a lot.  I found some glimmer of optimism in Jason Zweig's article in the Wall Street Journal, What History Tell Us About the Market, which suggests investing now rather than waiting till we hit rock bottom will have its rewards.  This morning, on Face the Nation, I listened to an interview of Dr. Fred Bergsten, Director of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.  As he points out, we are in a "crisis of confidence."    Consequently, it will be crucial for our government, and those globally, to respond together, quickly and adequately to address the current crisis to boost consumer confidence.  So, my challenge, and plea, to all of you, my fellow real estate professionals , affiliates, and all business owners, is please help combat the negative media and  boost consumer confidence in as positive, realistic, and responsible manner as your real estate market  and economy dictate.  After all, so often perception is reality.

 
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10 Comments on A Crisis of Confidence . . . and what we can and should do about it

OCT
12
2008
835,982 Points 213 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

I can judge by my own market.  Our agents are writing contract, getting loans approved and folks are closing.

In smaller than historical numbers, but closing.

One thing I don't need anyone to tell me is that prices are very, very low.  We're back to 2003 levels and it is, indeed, a good time to buy.

 

3:54pm • #1
201,113 Points 19 Featured Posts Outside Blog

I agree with your assessments that prospects are scared and scared prospects don't buy.  The buying cycle on our projects has gone from 3 weeks/2 showings to 6-8 weeks/5 showings.  The buyers are still there but they are proceeding in a cautious manner.  Smart prospects need to stop listening to the pundits and the ill-informed.  I can't wait to meet the brother-in-law's best friend's friend whose ex-wife has a neighbor who used to work at a bank.  How idiotic is it take advice from a person whose sole qualification is that he or she can read the local newspaper or watch the 10 o'clock news and regurgitate some story about the Southern California, South Florida or Las Vegas markets.  Our submarket has grown in terms of total sales and median price for each of the past 10 years. The average per year increase in median prices is 18% - that's even with last year's paltry 6% increase.  And yes,we are up 16% this year.  So the simple fact is that not all markets are created equal.   If you want to see a good campaign to combat the negative news, see defythetrends.com.

4:17pm • #2
451,026 Points Outside Blog

I also agree....I actually have stayed away from the news on purpose....trying not to get sucked into the negativity.... :

4:35pm • #3
OCT
13
2008
3 Featured Posts

Ninah, as you know from the little flyer that I sent to those unfortunate Realtorson my distribution list..... positive energy and a postive message is what all our clients need right now.....

10:56am • #4
OCT
17
2008
166,098 Points

I am moving this to a featured spot on the positive real estate news group!  Positively!

11:05am • #5
OCT
24
2008

Hey thats great , we should network, let me know thank you

1:22am • #6
NOV
21
2008

This is a great blog! good work!

6:24pm • #7
NOV
22
2008
Localism Sponsor Hit Router

Ninah, the Kansas City market is also still healthy. Slow but steady. Our prices are down only slightly in most areas. Enough to get a bargain if you're buying but not so much that someone selling is hurt badly. As you say about Montrose, this is a great time to buy. We will most likely not know that we have "hit bottom" until after the fact.

8:12pm • #8
DEC
07

Ninah, this is a great post.  You provided some excellent advice and you provided some useful links here.  Also, I agree with you here wholeheartedly.  There is just way too much negative talk on the news today, and it only helps to make us all feel worst, more depressed, and less confident about the markets.

8:18pm • #9
MAR
17
120,330 Points

Ninah .. Thanks for this article. It's true tha we as Reaaltors and agents need to be positive, realistic and responsible, especially during this challenging time .. and help to lift consumer confidence.

Sounds of Irish .. Celtic Fiddle Fest .. Happy St. Patrick's day greeting to you.  http://blip.fm/~32l5r

11:39am • #10

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Ninah Hunter

Montrose, CO

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Address: 1245 E. Main Street, Montrose, CO, 81401

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