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Aurora, Fitzsimmons Colorado 2Q 2008 Real Estate Trends

By
Real Estate Agent with Your Castle Real Estate

Please take a moment to comment after you enjoy the material!

 

 

 

Recap of First Half 2008 Home Price Performance

The average home price in Metro Denver increased +2% in the full year 2005 to the full year 2006. Comparing 2006 to 2007, the average home price across the metro dropped 3%, to $303,000. The half of 2008 was $275,000 vs. the first half of 2007 was $306,000: a 10% decrease. These numbers will be slightly different than Metrolist, as they are just Denver Metro and don't include outlying areas like Fort Collins, Colorado Springs, or Boulder.

The average price of a foreclosure dropped -6% to $168,000 in the first half of 2008. The average short sale was steady at $212,000. The average price of a non-distress sale decreased 5% to $352,000. Sales volume was down for single family homes. Foreclosure and short sale volume is up and non-distress seller volume is down.

Some areas did better than others. The attached chart shows different neighborhoods in our region. Each region has the neighborhood's name and the percentage of sales in the last twelve months that were either short sales or bank-owned properties. The second line has the price change the twelve months from July 2007 to June 2008 vs. the twelve months immediately preceding. Next, you'll see the average home price in the last twelve months and the average days on market (DOM) in the last twelve months.

There had to be at least twenty sales in the last year for an area to be included. The numbers are more reliable in areas where there were more sales.

The good news is the last four times the market had a change from a buyers market to a sellers market, or vice versa, it was preceded by a change in the DOM. DOM for homes declined in the first and second quarters of this year. Too soon to call it a trend, but it is a favorable sign. Another great indication of hitting the bottom: monthly prices in DSW and AUN have been relatively steady for seven months, after falling rapidly from 2005 to 2007.


Source: Your Castle Real Estate analysis, MLS data




(C) Copyright 2008 Your Castle Real Estate

 

Jim Goffred
Your Castle Real Estate - Parker, CO

Have you heard that the days on market have been decreasing the last two months?  I think that maybe we are past the bottom and climbing on up. It will still take some time but I'm seeing the first signs of things turning around.

Oct 22, 2008 04:49 PM
Jim Goffred
Your Castle Real Estate - Parker, CO

Can't wait to see what is happening in the 3Q of this year.  It seems that much of the map will stay the same.  It would be interesting to hear if any of these areas have it rock bottom.

Oct 22, 2008 04:49 PM
Mike Huey
Your Castle Real Estate - Thornton, CO

It is amazing to see how much some of these markets have dropped and look like they are continuing to drop.  I hope the bottom is near for some of these communities.  On the flip side, what a great market to buy an investment in.

Oct 24, 2008 04:57 PM
Matthew Haraminac
Peak Real Estate Advisors - Denver, CO

Wow!  With all of the negative press on the real estate market it is really great to see how each local market is actually doing independently of one another.  It makes sense when you see the map on where many areas are declining.  My question is, will the declining markets "shift in the next few quarters?

Oct 25, 2008 03:03 PM
Laurie James
Your Castle Real Estate - Englewood, CO

Your information reflects a true depiction of what is going on in the Denver market. I like the way you have put this information. It is insightful but matter of fact.  Do you send this information to your clients or just use it in your brokerage?

Oct 26, 2008 03:25 PM
Fred Griffin Florida Real Estate
Fred Griffin Real Estate - Tallahassee, FL
Licensed Florida Real Estate Broker

Hi, Dano

     We invite you back to ActiveRain!

    Much has changed since you last posted to ActiveRain.  I encourage you to take another look at the website.  

    Surf some blogs, leave some comments.  

   Best to you! 

Dec 18, 2017 05:27 PM