In the past year hedge fund manager Andrew Lahde has become quite famous for correctly predicting and betting on the problems in the sub prime mortgage market and more recently in the commercial real estate market (these problems are just starting). His hedge fund produced a return of over 1,000% in only a year on these bets, at the vast majorities of hedge funds have literally melted down.
He sights several reasons for leaving the business, but one of the main ones is the risk going forward of a full scale financial system collapse. "Our entire banking system is a complete disaster,”, “In my opinion, nearly every major bank would be insolvent if they marked their assets to market.” I can not say I disagree with that analysis.
I did find his very candid goodbye letter, to investors informing them he is liquidating and closing the hedge fund rather interesting...
“Today I write not to gloat. Given the pain that nearly everyone is experiencing, that would be entirely inappropriate. Nor am I writing to make further predictions, as most of my forecasts in previous letters have unfolded or are in the process of unfolding. Instead, I am writing to say goodbye.
Recently, on the front page of Section C of the Wall Street Journal, a hedge fund manager who was also closing up shop (a $300 million fund), was quoted as saying, “What I have learned about the hedge fund business is that I hate it.” I could not agree more with that statement. I was in this game for the money. The low hanging fruit, i.e. idiots whose parents paid for prep school, Yale, and then the Harvard MBA, was there for the taking. These people who were (often) truly not worthy of the education they received (or supposedly received) rose to the top of companies such as AIG, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers and all levels of our government. All of this behavior supporting the Aristocracy, only ended up making it easier for me to find people stupid enough to take the other side of my trades. God bless America.
There are far too many people for me to sincerely thank for my success. However, I do not want to sound like a Hollywood actor accepting an award. The money was reward enough. Furthermore, the endless list those deserving thanks know who they are.
I will no longer manage money for other people or institutions. I have enough of my own wealth to manage. Some people, who think they have arrived at a reasonable estimate of my net worth, might be surprised that I would call it quits with such a small war chest. That is fine; I am content with my rewards. Moreover, I will let others try to amass nine, ten or eleven figure net worths. Meanwhile, their lives suck. Appointments back to back, booked solid for the next three months, they look forward to their two week vacation in January during which they will likely be glued to their Blackberries or other such devices. What is the point? They will all be forgotten in fifty years anyway. Steve Balmer, Steven Cohen, and Larry Ellison will all be forgotten. I do not understand the legacy thing. Nearly everyone will be forgotten. Give up on leaving your mark. Throw the Blackberry away and enjoy life."
Read the rest of the letter...
Thanks again Matt. I enjoyed your post as always, but most especially the entirety of Andrew's farewell letter. Please keep 'em coming. Dave.