A prior post of mine stated the banks were hoarding cash. That was met with a bit of attitude by a couple of folks. Apparently they disagreed with me. The facts are the banks have borrowed far more money from the Feds than they have loaned to consumers or other banks.

The Feds are in a dilemma right now. They have no leverage to force banks to lend. They can’t even stop the “overall compensation” to EXECUTIVES as banks claim they need to pay them to keep these valuable employees.

That’s a bunch of baloney. A whole lot of it actually.

Any executive that was that valuable was aware of the risks the bank was taking and should not be rewarded.You can bet the service employees will bear the burden. Make no mistake about the Big 9 being forced to step up first to take the money. That would be including Wells Fargo. All of them would be insolvent if held to the mark to market value standards and a good old fashioned tough audit.

They just had the biggest most powerful investor in the world make an investment into their bank guaranteeing their existence. What we will see is more direct government lending. Consumers will borrow from a Fed program to obtain the extra down payment needed to purchase properties. But we will have of course higher lending standards. Not sure how all those congressman who pushed affordable housing through to borrowers with less than stellar credit will handle that small problem.

What we are seeing is a dusting off and reforming of the SBA financing program. The SBA will be a businessman’s best friend. All student loans will be government guaranteed directly or indirectly. Even car loans will be an indirect Fed backed loan if the bailout umbrella covers the industry.

The Fed will eventually back almost everything in an effort to get the economy moving and bank loaning money. The Feds are already backing a bank to bank loan to encourage lending. The major industries will all have a federally backed loan in some form.

I’d bet a dollar that if the banks hold out long enough, the Feds will not only bail them out but also back all of their loans to the consumer in many cases.

___________________________

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8 Comments on Will the Federal Reserve Bank loan money to consumers?

NOV
14
2008

Rick, you make some good points. I think sometimes though we put too much empasis on money. There ARE more important things in life. The world economy is a mess right now.

9:02am • #1
600,773 Points 80 Featured Posts Outside Blog

That is because the government are a buch of jerks for lending money to the banks.  The fat boys at the country club are having a great time.  They'll make their 250,000 saleries, get a Christmas bonus on the US Tax dollar approved by the democratic  Congress, that will give them more money next year.  I wonder how the Auto deal workouts are going to benefit us too?

9:53am • #2

I don't like the govmt getting this involved. This mess has gotten way out of hand and someone needs to rein these people back in quick.

All of these companies are wanting to be bailed out. Who's bailing the rest of us out? No one. Then they show them on tv having these lavish parties and I'm reminded of ...."let them eat cake". Gag me.

We have in this country an aristocracy. They treat the little people like we are all stupid. We are stupid if we bail them out. It's too bad we all can't stop paying taxes for a year. Wouldn't that open their eyes if we all revolted and said we just aren't going to give you anymore money! That would be worth seeing.

If we give them money, or should I say more money, they are not forced to change their ways. They go back to doing things the way they did them that got us in the mess we are in now!

Of course banks are holding tight to that money. Their priority is themselves....not the American people! God forbid a CEO not have 3 houses! They'd all die of a stroke having to give something up!

If I sound bitter it's because I am. lol.

10:45am • #3

Borrow from the Fed to "obtain the extra down payment"?????? Lemme get this straight....the housing price bubble burst because mortgagees unqualified financially to maintain montly mortgage loan patments in any other environment than one of rapid home valuation appreciation that permitted cash out refis in as little time as less than six months after the clsoing of the home purchase, did indeed fail in great numbers to make timely monthly payments as soon as valuation appreciation stopped.

These borrowers were put into the mortgages they obtained by creative methods including down payment assistance "programs" masking seller kickbacks on proceeds of artifically high selling prices and via "No Doc" and "low doc" "liar loans". Coupled with seond home buyers, "flippers", and other speculators, demand drove home prices even higher, further encouraging unqualified first time buyers to obtain mortgages only workable in an ever increasing home valuation scenario, with ever more first time buyers throwing even more mortgage loan proceeds on the fire or rapid home valuation increase.....prices chasing their own tales until the music stopped.

Why would any responsible lender, private of government, want to lend "down payment" funds to anyone in this market? The price of the average home must fall, if price levels are ever to stabalize....to a level in a low interest rate environment, of no more than 3 times average household income in a given market. In Californai and in most other post bubble regions of the US, prices have not declined to that balanced level.

Why is there any objection to permitting prices to fall to sustainable levels, with minimum loan requirements that include a stable employment record, with the mortgage applicant required to have a good credit score, 20 percent of the purchase price and closing costs sourced from seasoned verifiable accounts, and by submission of several years of current income tax returns to the lender?

Wouldn't lending standards like those help to quickly reduce prices to sustainable levels and more quickly resolve the lock up stalling liquidity in housing assets? Homes are now an illiquid asset, costly to hold in an environment of price decline slowed to a crawl that creates a log jam of unsold inventory. Why permit the farce of sellers in denial to continue for many years, as the Japanese have for so long? Why not cut the crap and stop putting buyers into home purchases that are still too highly priced to possibly justify easy lenfing terms or any sort of down payment assistance or down payments below 20 percent, when the majority of those buying today in states like California will surely be living in homes that will be worth less in the next few years?

Why set up current and near future buyers for failure and hardship when we know what is needed to put the housing market back in a stable mode? The dynamic has changed....it's been more than two years since homes were a liquid investment to be bought with easy credit with the option of a quick sale at the whim of the owner at a tidy profit? Recent experience is that housing is an illiquid investment with loans obtained by the well capitalized who still must jump through hoops to qualify for a mortgage, and who understand that they may be stuck with their purchase for a long time and must pay high carrying costs to hold and maintain their property, with no certainty that they will profit when they do sell. For many, renting may be a smarter choice than buying until prices become attractive in the three times household income valuation model.

Ed Lefevre (angry curious sort)
11:21am • #4

Dave, you are right there. Consumer spending made the world go round.

2:17pm • #5

You and I think a lot a like there Ed the angry curious sort.  As an old time banker, I was appalled at bank customers who purchased homes that bounced checks left and right.  We turned down several for checking accounts who later purchased homes at 100%.  I knew a day like this was coming. But never in my wildest dreams, did I think we taxpayers would own an insurance company.

2:25pm • #6

Cheri, you are right. It just hacks me no end, the way the banking has run us into the ground to make a buck.  Greenspan did figure out something right. He never thought the banking industry would have killed their golden goose.

9:01pm • #7

Jim, you can just tell the auto industry is going to receive a handout due to the number of jobs. However, Congress will initiate that and not the Feds. How do you like how the FDIC has come to our aid.  It took them to step up for the consumer indirectly but for the banks financial health.

9:05pm • #8

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Rick Fitzgerald -The MultiFamily Expert

Chattanooga, TN

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Multifamily investments and straight talk from a Senior Underwriter, Banker and Lender. Rick Fitzgerald and AAM Capital (www.themultifamilyexperts.com) covers multi family investments, banking news and commercial real estate. Find out what we can do for you by calling us today. Get the Mortgage and Loan Calculators widget and many other great free widgets at Widgetbox!

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