Midday Friday, I was informed that an expected closing had fallen. One of my associates, the listing agent, received a call from the buyer’s agent with the very sad news that the buyer had been laid off from his job this morning, an hour after his wife had completed the final walk through for the scheduled 1:00 P.M. closing. Fallen sales are always disappointing, particularly so in the present economic climate, but this one got me to thinking about the effects of this one fallen sale.

Consider that the buyer got of bed today with high hopes, enjoying the adrenalin rush that comes from the anticipation of securing a new home. He had a job as he started the day, and I am sure that he and his wife were happy and pleased with how life was treating them. For those two unfortunate people, their day did not end anything like it started. In a few short hours they lost the security of income, the security of shelter, and the security of relevance.

It gets worse. The seller had made plans to move to a short term rental. The seller had to unwind the lease on his quarters, recover his deposit, and cancel the movers. The movers lost the income associated with moving the seller to new quarters. The owner of the rental property has to find a new tenant. The buyers lender had to cancel a mortgage loan, loosing not only the income (lenders have bills too), but the time devoted to the effort. The cost of the appraisal, inspections, title insurance commitment, and other miscellaneous fees suddenly had no value. Time spent by all the parties, lenders, title insurance employees, the Realtors (they also have bills to pay), and who knows who else, produced no benefit. The seller has to again expose his property to a less than stellar market and find a new buyer. The buyer has to find employment, stabilize his life, and hopefully try again to buy a home in the future. I could go on with the ripple effects, but you get the picture.

When we are talking about statistics, it just isn’t very personal. When some economists are speaking about the overdue need for a correction, I can only assume they are speaking with tenured professorships in hand, because when you are watching the correction happen to people you know, it gets your attention. And it is happening often, to many nice people, all over the country. The finger pointing and postmortem discussions are important, and necessary, as we restructure the economy to avoid this sort of meltdown in the future. I suspect, however, that most of us get it by now. Let's get started on the recovery.

Memo to the President –elect and the sitting President: Get together. Get on the same page, or at least in the same hymnal, about a plan. The citizens of the United States are facing the crises of a lifetime, and deserve the best from both of you . Right now. Mr. Obama, the great orator, needs to offer definitive assurance to the entire country that there is a plan, a direction, a unified agreement as to what must be done to restore confidence in ourselves. It might be a nice touch if Obama and Bush could share a podium and speak with one voice. If things don't get better very soon, it is just possible that Mr. Obama may inherit an economy that won't have any money to tax. While it is true that we can only have one President at a time, nowhere is it written that we cannot have two leaders at the same time. Gentlemen, get the housing market functional again. There is no end of plans offered to make that market viable, just pick one.

Then, when we are feeling better about our prospects, and only then, should we begin the debate about how to fix all of the other things that ail us.

 

63 Comments on The Effect of the Cause

NOV
22
2008
266,816 Points 59 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Larry - Amen!  Very well articulated.  I firmly believe the housing market is the backbone of our economy.  We must stand together and offer and implement viable solutions.  Kristal Kraft led me over here with a link and I'm glad she did.  I loved this post, Larry. 

11:50am • #1
110,235 Points 26 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Larry I loved this so much - right from the point where you said 'the security of relevance.'  A point that could make any grown person cry.

They say  (the economic pundits) that Obama's selection of a Treasury Cabinet person yesterday was designed to be one small element of what you suggest. Showing firm direction.  Now of course the pundits have no way of really knowing if that was the design, but the outcome was (they say) a positively responding market.

I agree so much with what you say regarding a Bush and Obama joint presence. These are times that require unusal and creative effort.

 

2:07pm • #2
217,050 Points 1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Larry,  Excellent reminder to us all that each and every statistic has a face. or a family, and many related faces/families which feel the results of failed closings.

2:31pm • #3
1 Featured Post

Larry, your article really puts things in perspective.  The trickle down program isn't good when it affects people in the way it did here.

2:49pm • #4

And now there's evidence that the lending institutions and insurance companies who recieved all that bailout money are doing the only responsible thing to do with it... paying bonuses and going on vacations.... I guess that's what happens when you give irresponsible people alot of money and don't specify how they must spend it.

3:14pm • #5
178,248 Points 13 Featured Posts

Larry,

Terrific post.

I talk about the "GDP" that is associated with the sale of a home in a new book I just completed that details this crisis (as well as proposes a solution).

The auto industry also has a strong "GDP" associated with every sale but you don't see people refinancing their cars to go out and buy a new home.

I agree completely that the Government needs to address the housing market before they move on to something else.

The problem is that this economy is unraveling so fast that it is easy to forget how we got in this place to begin with - a depressed housing market..

 

3:28pm • #6

Excellent post - It sure makes a person stop and think.

3:52pm • #7
1 Featured Post

Well done.  Let's hope 2009 will bring better times and maybe people like the Detroit Three will realize when you ask Uncle Sam for millions you need not be taking a private jet for 25K.  Someone told me Ford requires him to fly on his private jet for security reasons, please...

4:07pm • #8

Larry, this was so intelligently written I included a link to it in a comment on Barack Obama's Transition website. I hope you don't mind. You wrote with a simplicity that illuminates this complicated problem.

Here is a link to the site for anyone who would like to put their 2 cents-worth in. I think our President-elect and the powers that be need as much of this kind of front-line input as they can get.

http://www.change.gov/page/s/economy

4:32pm • #9
3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Excellent post -- and very well said!  I do hope that 2009 will be a much better -- and positive -- year.

4:59pm • #10
1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor

I once calulated that there are approximately 25-30 people who are involved in every real estate transaction - as you well point out there is a desperate need to put this on the top of both administrations list.

5:07pm • #11
583,681 Points 95 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

Larry, I had a similiar thing happen, the buyer walked in and found she had lost her job of 23 years. Ouch, the builder that I represented was already adding things she had asked for. That would be lovely if both men could get together and figure it out and speak as one voice to our nation.

5:53pm • #12
2 Featured Posts

Great insight and relevant to our times! I hope this "memo" makes it to the top as I'm seeing all of this and the health problems the stress causes too. Looking forward to more of your posts!

5:57pm • #13
163,670 Points 9 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Larry, Reading the fall out from the lost closing gave me a headache. Very sad for all involved.  I'm with Missy.  I hope our 2 head men can get together as ONE.  Our nation needs help, SOON!

6:13pm • #14
189,038 Points 19 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hi Larry...Thank you for putting into words what a ripple effect one job lost has just to those associated from a real estate perspective.  The whole ripple is even greater.

Beth...I appreciate your heads up in linking this to President-elect Obama's transition site.  Good thinking.

Kate

6:42pm • #15
457,529 Points 10 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Larry,

You hit it on the head about one closing affecting many people.  Unfortunately there is nothing any president can do.  The only thing that can turn the tide of this economic downturn is an increase in consumer spending which is not going to happen.  We are like a snowball going down hill.  There is no stopping until we hit the bottom, which is a ways. 

7:06pm • #16

Excellent and relevant post Larry.  The comments made by others sum up my feelings exactly.

8:57pm • #17

Larry, This was a great post. I do feel for the parties involved. As it was said there is a lot of people involved in a transaction.

Beth, what a Great idea to link to the President site.

Larry, I hope you do more blogging this was GREAT.  I am really enjoying Active Rain and the blogging.

 

9:15pm • #18
1 Featured Post Localism Sponsor

Larry  good  post . it shows how  many people can be affected by  one  deal and you missed a  lot of  them . Housing is  the driver of a big part of our economy.

9:27pm • #19
183,865 Points 2 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Housing is only one very important piece of the puzzle

9:46pm • #20
156,650 Points Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Larry, great post. It is amazing how many people and companies are affected by one bosses decision to lay off one employee.  Lets seek more job creation.

9:54pm • #21
164,536 Points 6 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

What an unfortunate situation for this client, and for all of those affected by it.

10:11pm • #22
1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Larry, very well expressed...With the new year come a new beginnings...so let us be optimistic and hopeful that we will enter a prosperous, stable market and that all of the politicians will start working together for us and our country to make it strong and independent! Wishing you best...

Bo 

11:22pm • #23
304,915 Points 12 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Larry,

Wow, are you right on, or what? Even though some refer to the numbers, for me it's always been a people business. And it's only a correction when it's not happening to you.

11:36pm • #24
NOV
23
2008
4 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Larry, talk about the ripple effect, huh?  So many things that we do effects others. So many things that happen to us effect others as well.  This is a great eye opening post about how far the ripples travel.

12:11am • #25
366,077 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

This is very well written and makes the whole situation very personal.  We don't have time for two party politics.  We need to work together to solve the problems that are facing our country.

12:41am • #26
111,928 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Good post, Larry.  Really gets one thinking about the whole ripple effect of the current economy and how the actions of one affect the many.

7:56am • #27
243,940 Points 27 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

This is a great reminder that when these things happen it has a ripple effect in our economy for sure.  Take this and multiply it by ???  .  And the results are pretty scary.

8:10am • #28
260,336 Points 77 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Yesterday I leaned of a young family that closed on a house last month.  They have a baby on the way.  Dad was just laid off and mom is expecting it any day.  There story is all too common in Metro Detroit.

I would like our leaders to lead.  America needs them now.

8:47am • #29
1 Featured Post

Larry- Your post is so true.  I have always heard the difference between a recession and depression is if you have a job or not. 

Our current leader and future leader definately need to find common ground instead of letting Americans continue to struggle an extra few months.

8:55am • #30
Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Larry, your post is spot on, we should all remember it is about people, not just the ones we know. I am sorry for the agent and all involed lost the transaction. We will have to keep going and we will get thru this!!!

 

9:55am • #31
211,828 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog

a very poignant story and personal plea to the incoming administration, . I have friend who doesnt know much about economics, but always says, all you have to do is look at the faces of the people and talk to them to know we are in a depression,

10:19am • #32
1 Featured Post Outside Blog Hit Router

Larry, well written blog, housing is one of the back bones of this country, banks need to loosen a little to give more loans to buyers.  Banks have gone too loose to too strict, overkill.

10:36am • #33
Outside Blog Hit Router

Well the only thing I can say is that better it happen then instead of the following week. I have had some real horror stories with buyers and sellers. I have had three sellers die while in contract and one buyer die in a car accident. The seller deals eventually closed (many months later) and I was able to get the buyers wife out of the deal and also sell the maps the had done to the next buyers.

10:45am • #34
597,615 Points 34 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

It sucks.  I had a sitiation almost two years ago where my buyer got transfered (they eliminated his current position, and offered a lower paying position elsewhere) while we were at the inspection.  The seller had just secured a rental home, and was under contract to build a new home... 

It happens. 

But, the correct needs to happen so that this pain will be over.  The housing issue is at the center of the current financial crisis, but I don't think it is at the base.  We need to correct the base.  I think you have inspired a post...

11:06am • #35
103,256 Points 4 Featured Posts

Great post. I had heard that there were 85 people who touched that piece of paper the Offer was written on before a closing. Most won't get paid when it falls through.  Not to mention the furntiure and appliance stores that would have seen this couple in their stores shopping for items for their "new home".

The list goes on and on, probably a lot more people are affected by this than the Big 3 Auto makers claim are being affected by their industry.

 

11:10am • #36
Outside Blog

Very well said.   The way you presented it, now people can understand the domino effect the housing market has had on people.  Thank you very much for a great article.

 

I wish you the best of luck during this challenging time.

11:17am • #37
135,891 Points 19 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Unfortunately this is happening more and more these days. There will be brighter days ahead, if only we knew when?

11:59am • #38
354,951 Points 3 Featured Posts Outside Blog

It never is personal...it's ust another number...until it happens to us....to someone you know...to the listing or closing....well done !

12:18pm • #39

I predict we will see more and more of this happening. Amercia need a solid plan. I am not

sure the bailout it the right plan. We need to help the people involved not so much the

big companies. I pray for our country everyday.

12:56pm • #40
428,930 Points 81 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

I had a client lose her job the day we wrote a contract on her new home, and I know how she felt about that - I can't imagine it happening on the day of closing.  I'm sorry for all involved, and you're right - our elected politicians need to put their heads together and their differences on ice and put things back on track!

12:57pm • #41

Great post, We got the news in our are the other day that a major steel plant will be laying off 2,444 people in January, Ouch. Things are bad now. Hopefully it will get better..

3:06pm • #42
195,067 Points 64 Featured Posts Outside Blog

This is a familiar story Larry. Here in St. Paul a major car dealership folded, my husbands place of employment, also a car dealership closed a store and layed some people off.  My nighbor is worried about the 250 layoffs at the hospital where she works, the one that is two blocks away and is by far the biggest employer in my neighborhood. I could go on and on with this but the truth is when it comes to economic health the only thing that really matters are jobs.

3:34pm • #43

Larry -- there is a lot of truth in this post -- thanks for sharing your experience and wisdom -- this is one of the great things about AR --

4:02pm • #44

Larry, what an insightful peace.  It just shows the ripple effect of life and literally the "six degrees of separation," whether we know the people directly or not. 

After watching CNN last week and seeing how the auto industry leaders are begging for billions of dollars so that they can stay afloat, it dawned on me that it really doesn't matter how much money the auto industry is given for a "bail-out."  If consumers are not in a position to buy an automobile, or pay for the every growing rate of insurance and the unpredictable cost of gas, then it's a never ending battle.

I sincerely hope Obama is able to stick to his plan, stick to his platform of helping the middle class and focus on getting our economy back on its feet again.

Shoot, I just want to be able to go to Starbucks again. -:

4:05pm • #45
8 Featured Posts Outside Blog Hit Router

Thank you Larry.

Good post, interesting.  Gets us thinking...

4:09pm • #46
349,122 Points Outside Blog

Hi Larry

Every closed sale has a positive impact on our economy; the real estate industry will lead the country out of our financial mess that we'll in today. The leadership in Washington is totally out of step and the time has come for the Realtors and Builders to pull pressure on our elected officials to get it right or be replaced.

Good luck and success.

Lou Ludwig

5:30pm • #47

Its really amazing how much a deal gone south effects more than just the immediate parties...

7:21pm • #48
1 Featured Post

To All,

I really appreciate all of the comments from all the fine people that found my post interesting, timely, and well done.  Please feel free to forward my post to everyone you know, especially banking and political leaders.  Ultimately, real estate and the rest of our economy will improve if we refuse to quit, and successfully demand our leaders to lead.

 

Larry McGee

7:28pm • #49
305,005 Points 3 Featured Posts

Larry, Kudos to your post. we sure need a leader in these difficult times. One of the comments was about the bail out and they said  "And now there's evidence that the lending institutions and insurance companies who recieved all that bailout money are doing the only responsible thing to do with it... paying bonuses and going on vacations.... I guess that's what happens when you give irresponsible people alot of money and don't specify how they must spend it". I feel the same way about congress, irresponsible people with a lot of money.

8:49pm • #50

Same thing was true from me just last week. Buyer called a week before closing to tell me his job was done and he had to kill the contract. Sad days.

 

You're right. It's happening to good people from every neighborhood.

8:58pm • #51

Life changes as quickly as the weather. A year ago I had to deal with the death of my husband, loss of job, couldn't pay the mortgage, and had to do a short sale to avoid foreclosure. Bad things happen to good people and vice versa. Recovery is possible, but it takes time, resolve, and resilience. Thank you for your clarity on this subject.

Linda Bourgault
9:49pm • #52
364,536 Points 9 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

It is a very challenging time we live in.  I wish the current president would show some leadership!  It is the least he owes us after making such a mess of things! 

10:11pm • #53

Good post, Larry. All the trickle down sounds like Reaganomics 2.0.

11:31pm • #54
NOV
24
2008

Larry you certainly quantified the impact of a lost sale and the others here on active rain did very well in their response to the subject.  I just want to include here that much of what we are facing today is the result of an idea gone bad.  The world economy is not working for the United States.  We are loosing jobs because of the corporations who save on labor by producing out of the United States.  The car industry is no surprise to me.  When all the foreign makes began showing up in the "70's" I had a feeling something was going to go wrong.  Our way of life has been jepeordized and I'm mad as a hatter because nothing is being done to rectify the situation.  I'm with everyone else in the hope that the president elect will find some way to unravel this mess.  As far as the housing industry being healed, that's going to take some time.  However, things do change -- let's hope it's going to be for the better.

'

6:14am • #55
201,341 Points 2 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Good stuff, you are right. Shut up, sit down, get going and stop the blame gamewhile more and more people are out of work!  Statistics in the media don't make it personal, your post did.  I remember once that I had something similar happen and we waited 3 weeks for the buyer to get another job in the same industry.  That closing was blessed that's for sure!

8:12am • #56

Wow,

Thanks for the reminder!  This scenario may be one we need to communicate to clients up front about setting "expectations".  In this case, thru no ones fault, there were a lot of disappointed people.  A contract is just that....a contract....not a sale.   There's so much to get thru to get to the closing table.

Also, on the flip side, clients need to know that unrealistic pricing, unrealistic bargin shopping, etc. cost lots of people time & money. 

Great post.

9:38am • #57
Outside Blog Hit Router

Sad story, but sometimes people can find another job very quickly.  I hope that happens for these folks, and they'll still feel confident about buying that house.

10:10am • #58

Larry~Well expressed and I also appreciate the link from Beth. If we all stay in touch, help make a difference in each others lives ~ 2009 will be a year of moving forward positively as we all forge ahead in these uncharted waters!

dorie dillard
11:32am • #59
129,680 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

You brought out something that very few people outside our industry realize.  One deal that falls through at the last minute can ruin not just the day, but the week, month, or year, of dozens of people and businesses.

6:01pm • #60
Outside Blog

As we all sit back to anticipate what changes we hope for in 2009, think about what can we do to change things in our own everyday lives. 

8:34pm • #61
DEC
03
2008

Where have all the flowers gone?  Wow, this is really hitting us hard.  We all should stick together and create positive energy to our clients.  The media has brought all of us down.  Here in Tennessee, we're having a slow time, but not anything like Michigan, California, Florida and Nevada.  People are scared.  So am I.  I truly feel for you folks whose lives, friends and family are totally affected by our economy.  So, what's next?

 

Kim Pennington, Music City USA

4:06pm • #62
JAN
03

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Larry McGee

Denver, CO

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The Berkshire Group, Realtors

Office Phone: (303) 350-5838

Cell Phone: (303) 513-1436

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brokerisms.theberkshiregroup.com A running commentary on all things about real estate brokerage; and anything I find interesting at the moment.


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