The latest rumor (anonymous comment) coming from our "tight lipped" bureaucrats in Washington is that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is considering a new plan to reduce mortgage rates in another bid to revive the U.S. housing market. The Treasury could, under this new plan, step up purchases of mortgage backed securities (MBS) to drive down interest rates on some loans to 4.5 percent, the official said on condition of anonymity. The possibility that this plan could change is enormous.
Mortgage applications surged by a record last week and the average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan dropped to 5.47 percent, the lowest level since June 2005, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. So, what will this latest "news" do to the clients that have started application and (probably) locked their interest rate when they hear rates could drop another full percent?
Lowering mortgage rates to 4.5 percent might allow a lot of homeowners to refinance into a cheaper loan but some financial experts expect far fewer people will actually qualify for the lower rates. There are already a number of additions to rates due to credit score, loan to value and purpose of loan. With substantially lower rates, lender will probably tighten these requirements, even more.
I am not certain of what this announcement means to future business opportunities. One "expert" stated that he thought the lowering of the fixed rates to 4.5% could mean that 90% of the mortgages in existence could benefit from refinancing to the new, lower rate. If true, business could get quite brisk.
What are your feelings about having interest rates drop like this? Is it sustainable?
authored by Fred Chamberlin, senior mortgage consultant, Eugene/Springfield Oregon, 541-342-7576
Feb. 16, 2009: Just an update. I am getting some recent comments as to if this is possible or not. If you read my comments below, you will find that it has already happened once and may again. Also, I have deleted some long winded comments that I didn't believe gave any good information to the post. Thanks for reading and come back again to see what people are still saying.
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