I was frustrated last night, looking at the evaporation of higher end rebate...so why is this happening, govies, conventional-everything. 

There is an economic concept that I had to refresh myself on from my old econ text books called "price compression".  (Larry Betag brought this up in a post).  When talking about convertible securities/callable bonds, which MBS's are, in a declining interest rate environment the issuer of the security feels that there is no appreciation potential  for the instrument and that it will be redeemed at the call price.  So they offload the instrument and issue NEW bonds at lower rates which have greater appreciation potential.  So, the MBS market is in an adjustment phase for the next few days, structuring itself for a "new bond price environment."

One take on this phenomenon of "rebate evaporation"  is that the market "technicals" are truly pointing toward lower rates in the near future.   That is good news for us.  The wild card, is that there is soooo  much volatility and so many other factors in play that bonds could lose their allure even with the Government becoming an investor in mortgage backed securities.

Anyway, just some thoughts.

 
Post is included in group: All About Mortgages/Mortgage Networking
Post is included in group: Mortgages

7 Comments on Where Did the Rebate go??? Price Compression

DEC
05
120,225 Points

Rich: That makes perfect sense to me. It's funny to me how the banks borrow their money at less than 2% and still charge at least 5. And it used to be 6. Talk about a spread!

4:18pm • #1
1 Featured Post

at least someone is making some money!

6:49pm • #2
DEC
06

it is getting harder to make an honest living with our rebates falling

9:58am • #3
DEC
07
1 Featured Post

Heck with a living...streamline refi's are tough!

7:21pm • #4
DEC
13

One of my co-workers was talking about the same thing yesterday.   It was funny your Blog was about the same thing he was talking about to me.  Would you mind if I sent a copy of this on his e-mail?

10:46am • #5
JAN
18
156,239 Points Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

My brain is swimming with this post - too technical for me!

4:47pm • #6
JUN
16

Hey Rich!  Funny to go back and look at older posts like this.  Makes you feel pretty smart when you got it right.  Nice call on the tachnicals.  Where are rates headed now?

5:27am • #7

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Rich Sweum

Everett, WA

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