What goes down must come up? Or is it the other way around...

Our market is hot!  Almost everyone on AR these days writes about what to do in slow markets.  Well, I was doing those things about three years ago when the rest of you were so busy you didn't have time to spend all the money you were making!  Today the tables are turned and my vacation home market is buzzing.  We have no inventory and prices are skyrocketing.   Normally, if you had fewer sales each year for the last two years you would think the market was slow.  Not in our case!  Our average price is up about 18% this year.  For some reason the vacation home market seems to be contrarian, but it hasn't always been that way.   Denver is our nearest metro area, and it used be be that as Denver went, so did the mountain areas.  Today, Denver, and Colorado in general, has a very high foreclosure rate.  We have hardly any foreclosures.  Denver's real estate market is pretty soft, while we are hot.  Why, when we share a lot of the same population?

My personal opinion is that the affluent baby boomers who are our clients are pretty insulated from the vagaries of the economy.  They have invested in real estate their whole lives, and it has done well for them.  They have put money aside for retirement, and they are preparing for it every day.  Their kids may be having financial problems, but they are not.  The boomers are looking for places to bring their families back together, have good times and create memories, and they are buying second homes or looking for bigger ones.  They are only selling if they can find something larger, and that is hard to do. 

Summit County is about 85% public lands, mostly National Forest.  That is a good thing, and it will keep our mountains unspoiled.  However, that means that only 15%+/- is available for development, and we are almost built out.  Devlopment land is scarce and expensive, so any new construction is done 2 to 12 units at a time, rather than 40 to 60, the way it used to be. You can't find anything new for less than about $700,000.  We are pretty much relying on resales for our new business, and when those baby boomers won't let go, prices go up.  Baby boomers get the blame again!  No wonder they say that we have been an influential generation, going through the economy like a rabbit in the belly of a snake. 

 
This post has been included in Colorado Information Summit County, CO Information

6 Comments on What goes down must come up? Or is it the other way around...

Joanne,

Congratulations on your success!  Hopefully the business will continue strong for you.

Lucky :)

04/24/2007 11:14 PM by Lucky Lang, Davenport, Iowa Real Estate (Mel Foster Company)


Joanne-

Nice to hear something optimistic! Good for you. Best wishes on your continued success : )

04/24/2007 11:19 PM by Bend Oregon REALTOR ® Kelli Fronabarger (Bend River Realty)


Hi Joanne:  I just joined AR a few days back and already I've learned so much.  It's nice to see the sharing that goes on -- that is definitely something I embrace.  People say real estate is a competitive business, and that may be true, but it does not have to be cut throat.  I treat others the way I want to be treated, because relationships (all relationships) are important to me.  Over the years I've heard nothing but good things about you Joanne and the fact you're sharing on AR just reinforces that for me.  I hope we can work together soon. Oh, on to the "topic"; wish there was an easier way to convince people that our market is HOT.  Some people just have to lose out on a property (or two) before they sit up and pay attention.  Any suggestions on that???

04/30/2007 08:58 AM by Susie Leavens (RE/MAX Properties of the Summit)


Hi Susie, welcome to AR!  I just an offer on a listing at Copper Mountain that was 85% of list price!  The Seller wouldn't respond so they came back at 92%.  There is no way in this market, and his agent has been trying to explain it to him, but he won't believe her I guess.  The best thing that can happen for her is to have someone come in and buy it out from under him, and then he will figure that what she is telling him is true.  Unless you already have a relationship and they trust you, there isn't much you can do, as they think that we are just trying to make them pay more so that we can get the deal put together easily and make more money ourselves! 

Thanks for your comment...join the Resort and Vacation home group if you would!

Joanne

04/30/2007 09:12 AM by Summit County, Colorado Realtor l Joanne Hanson (Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate)


Joanne- Bravo! Just proves the point that all real estate is local, just like the book. I spent a couple weeks a year in Summit County as I was growing up. It is a beautiful place. I can understand lots of people wanting to live there.

05/03/2007 06:50 PM by Jennifer Steck- Denver Real Estate (Rocky Mountain Homescapes, Keller Williams, Denver Colorado)


The recent report that NAR put out showing that although investment home sales are down, vacation home sales were up 4.7% in 2006 agrees with my story of busy times when primary markets are slow.  Baby boomers are not as affected by the economy, and they are our buyers.

I hope you get back to Summit County every now and then!

05/03/2007 10:29 PM by Summit County, Colorado Realtor l Joanne Hanson (Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate)


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Real Estate Agent: Summit County, Colorado Realtor l Joanne Hanson (Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate)
Summit County, Colorado Realtor l Joanne Hanson
Frisco, CO
More about me…
Coldwell Banker Colorado Rockies Real Estate

Office Phone: (888) 666-0844
Cell Phone: (970) 390-2173
Email Me
The Colorado mountains, real estate, ski resorts, lifestyle and vacation homes is my focus. We talk about buying and selling ski condos in Breckenridge, Keystone and Copper Mountain. Homes and land in Frisco, Dillon and Silverthorne are also in our market area

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