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ALFRED E NEUMANN TAKES A LOOK AT THE MARKET: THE MELT DOWN

By
Real Estate Agent with Bill Cherry, Realtor 0124242

Financial Advisor, Alfred E. Neumann

 

Financial advisors of every nature --- stock brokers, life insurance specialists, real estate investment mentors, trust officers, economists, the list goes on and on -- not only neglected to work to get their clients out of the equities market before it began its decent, but were encouraging them to continue taking more risks by increasing their portfolios.

That's indisputable, and it's indisputable that the majority's advice and the products they were pushing are, in the main, what has caused the world financial markets to tumble to their present low points.  So in the opinion of many, it was that advice that caused their clients to be in the awkward positions they are in today.

So my question is simply this:  Why would anyone follow those same people's advice as to how to handle their investment accounts now?

In reality, there are only three logical positions those who are in the market should take at this point, regardless of the size of their corpus -- a few thousand bucks or multi-millions:

1.  Do nothing.  Keep the status quo, no matter how scared you are or how hard it is to convince yourself that this is the right tact.  Selling and converting to cash at this point does nothing more than assure that you've got and will have losses.

2.  Methodically sell portions of those equities that have losses and take the write-off against your current income, and then reinvest that entire capital amount back into like investments.  This should only be done with the meticulous advice of your tax advisor.  It is a very positive tact.  It's the ray of sunshine.

3.  And finally, this one:  Take a deep breath, and then begin investing more cash into conservative companies, real estate and the like, that are not over-valued at their current market price, so that you can not only increase the possibilities of recovery profits, but also will experience the recovery faster than by holding to the status quo.

Probably the worse consideration for most at this point is redeeming accounts and putting the proceeds in other forms of investments.  Remember, most financial advisors only make money for themselves when clients are buying or selling. 

In our case, we are following a blend of No. 2 and No. 3.  However, that's certainly not meant to be advice for you or anyone else to follow. 

You need and should make your own decisions.  In a huge number of cases, that people followed others' advice is why they've seen their estates take huge haircuts.  Your best friend today is an astute and knowledgeable Certified Public Accountant.

Copyright 2008 - William S. Cherry

BILL CHERRY, REALTORS

DALLAS

Our 44th Year Selling America

214 503-8663

Comments(3)

Carl Winters
Canyon Lake, TX

Bill as aways your post are very educational. I can only shake my head and agree with a little of everything; having a difficult time finding a range that gives me a level of comfort. Wish I were 46 instead of 66 as I am running out of time to complete my retirement. Looks like I will probably be working for awhile and hope and pray this monster will turn and start that climb uphill.

Dec 12, 2008 12:27 PM
BILL CHERRY
Bill Cherry, Realtor - Dallas, TX
Broker & Wealth Coach

Carl, we share the same concerns AND wishes for a return to our 40s for one more shot.

The lesson that "financial planners" rarely share with their clients is this:  When you reach about 55, at the latest, it's time to begin methodically shifting all assets into safe, income producing investment vehicles.  And that needs to be done a bit at a time with it completed by, say, age 60.

My daddy tried his best to teach his sons this.  Neither listened.  But we most certainly should have.  His lesson, which he and my mom followed, worked out perfectly for them.

Good luck. 

Dec 13, 2008 12:57 AM
Terry Edwards
Russell & Jeffcoat Real Estate Corp. - Columbia, SC

What financial planners should have been saying was

  • When the DOW 30 dips below 11K from it's 14K high, transfer your assets into treasury bonds 
  • Be ready to re-enter the market after a bottom occurs

It's the old time tested model of buy low--sell high

Dec 13, 2008 08:57 AM