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Any Surprises in California Association of Realtors 2008 Annual Housing Market Report?

By
Real Estate Agent with HomeSmart, Evergreen Realty

Are you surprised?

California Assoc of RealtorsThe California Association of Realtors December 16, 2008, release of its C.A.R.'s "State of the California Housing Market 2008-2009" talks about declining home values, increased sales, and credit crunch impacted California's housing market in 2008.

 

Here's what I see for points of interest:

1.  Approximately one in five home sales in California during 2008 resulted from foreclosure, short sale, or default.

2.  Sales generally improved over 2007 in all parts of California, with major price declines leading to sharp increases in the Central Valley and Southern California.

3.  Almost one of five (19.8 percent) sellers sold their property because the property was in foreclosure, short sales, or default, an increase of 6 percent from 2007."

4.  The median price of existing homes, including single-family homes, condos, and townhomes, declined by 17.8 percent to $440,000 in 2008 as compared with $535,000 in 2007. 

5.  Home Affordability increased dramatically in 2008 resulting from the decline in median home prices.  C.A.R.'s First-Time Buyer Housing Affordability Index (FTB-HAI) rose to 53 percent during the third quarter. The FTB-HAI measures the percentage of households that can afford to purchase an entry-level home in California.  

6.  The share of first-time buyers increased from 30.4 percent in 2007 to 35.9 percent in 2008. (below the long term average of 38.3 percent).

7.  Restrictive loan underwriting standards led to a decrease in the use of second mortgages during 2008.

8.  As conventional loans became more difficult to get, the percentage of FHA loans as a first mortgage increased significantly in 2008.  Why?  the US Economic Stimulus Act of 2008 temporarily raised the conforming loan limit in high-cost areas to $729,750 from $417,000 until December 31, 2008.

9.  We experienced the subprime mortgage meltdown, and share of adjustable rate and hybrid loans among all new first mortgages decreased again.

10.   More than half of the distressed properties sold in California were Real Estate Owned (REO) (54.8 percent), almost one-third were short sales (31.2 percent) and the remainder were foreclosures (14.1 percent).

Are you surprised by this news?  That's what I see from summary of the CAR Annual Housing Report 2008

Harrison K. Long, Explore Group properties, Coldwell Banker Previews, Irvine, CA.

Posted by

 

Pacita Dimacali
Alain Pinel - Oakland, CA
Alameda/Contra Costa Counties CA

Thanks for the summary.

No, not surprised. Just as I was not surprised when the government finally admitted we're in a recession as of a year ago!

As for recent sales --- I have sold a few REOs and short sales this year, and they constitute 43% of my total sales in units. 

Dec 18, 2008 05:54 AM
Harrison K. Long
HomeSmart, Evergreen Realty - Irvine, CA
REALTOR , GRI, Broker associate, Attorney

Pacita .. thanks for your thoughtful comment here.  Congratulations that you have done well with REO properties this past year. Are you representing buyers?  O sellers?  Please keep that up and encourage others. Best wishes. Harrison 

Dec 18, 2008 07:19 AM
Pacita Dimacali
Alain Pinel - Oakland, CA
Alameda/Contra Costa Counties CA

Harrison, I represented short sale sellers and REO buyers.

From what a well-respected industry expert and speaker, Carole Rodoni, told us, there will be more REOs and short sales, probably through 2012. It will be a fact of life, and we better learn how to work it.

Good luck to us!

Dec 18, 2008 11:52 AM
Renée Donohue~Home Photography
Savvy Home Pix - Allegan, MI
Western Michigan Real Estate Photographer

Is your FHA loan limits going down Jan 1 in your area also?  Ours is painful!

Dec 22, 2008 02:08 PM
Harrison K. Long
HomeSmart, Evergreen Realty - Irvine, CA
REALTOR , GRI, Broker associate, Attorney

Pacita ... REO opportunities from the buyer perspective can be very good, and we encourage our people to look at those and consider for offers.  Short sales are another situation. We do not encourage our people to seriously consider short sale offerings where the bank has not yet approved the seller side.  However, if our buyer clients are serious, qualified, and insist on going after the short sale, we are here for that and will support it at each stage. 

Thanks and best wishes. Harrison

 

Dec 22, 2008 04:18 PM
Harrison K. Long
HomeSmart, Evergreen Realty - Irvine, CA
REALTOR , GRI, Broker associate, Attorney

Renee ... our FHA loan limits on conforming jumbo will go from $729K to about $629K here in South OC, California. We intend to work carefully to make sure our buyer clients have every opportunity on the new conforming limits after January 1.  Thanks. Harrison

Dec 22, 2008 04:20 PM