As 2008 is coming to a close many american home owners are asking a few real estate questions. When will real estate recover to prerecesion times? When will I be able to sell my house for a profit and is 2009 the year home values will start to increase?

Since the peak in real estate prices and home sales in summer of 2005 many home owners have been loosing equity in their home. It seems each month is another indicator that real estate prices are not increasing and foreclosures continue to increase. But with each month that goes by, we are one step closer to hitting the bottom of the real estate market.

Many factors point to the bottom of the real estate market, on a national level hitting bottom in 2009. There are a few major developments that bring light to a dark alley when thinking about the over all real estate market in 2009.

One of the largest indicators that home values will start to increase this next year is the inventory of homes on the market. Last month new construction for homes was at 730,000 its lowest point since 1975. In almost all the major metro areas across the nation home inventories are starting to decrease which will increase home prices. See your local area inventories at housing tracker.

Recent decrease in foreclosure fillings due to the government help will also play a large role in real estate prices hitting bottom this next year. which the new president Obama stepping into office at the end of January a new light and vision for real estate and america will start to take place. President Obama has shown interest in solving the housing market issues because he is aware that housing is vital to the Unites States economy.

So if you have a home that you are living in and are waiting for real estate to recover, cross your fingers that 2009 will bring a new year and recovering home prices. I am optimistic that we are near a bottom of the market and things will stabilize in the summer or second quarter of this next year.

Always remember that real estate is a local market and each area of the nation is different. Some parts of the nation are actually seeing increases in home prices this year. Just another reminder that you need to seek professional advice when buying or selling real estate. You need to get accurate new data, especially in a changing market like we have today. If you need to sell your house fast you can contact a home buyer in your area. 

 

6 Comments on When will real estate recover?

FEB
01

Hey Shaun, just a question:

i'm wondering how difficult (or not) it is to deal with Ada County when the house-sells-for-less-than-assessed value phenomena occurs here.  I haven't had an experience yet here, but was wondering if you have; because of a huge drop in value, due to foreclosure or what have you, what it is like getting the county to reassess and drop the taxes down to the rightful value.  What "luck" do potential buyers have in getting this done after they buy?  Going to do some research, and asking other bloggers about this is where I intend to start, so don't mean to put you on the spot.

7:59pm • #1
FEB
06

Not a problem at all. My company has multiple rental properties and we encounter this every year. In Ada county you can negotiate or protest your taxed value of your home only once a year. It is mid year when this happens.

My success rate is around 95%. All you need to do is have 3 MLS print outs showing 3 similar houses in the same area that sold for less than what the tax value is. This data needs to come from home sales that sold before January 1st.

In most cases the assessor will put up a little fight. I have even had to walk them through many properties so they could understand how it differed from some other properties sold in the same neighborhood.

My suggestion is to play their game and give them documentation of why the home is not worth what they are saying it is. If they argue, fight it to the end. I hope this helps.

12:33pm • #2
JUL
05

Hi Shaun,

I purchased a home in 1972 and my ex stayed in the house after we divorced.  We decided to keep the home in both our names.  He passed away and I inherited his half.

 

Since then I rec'd a property tax bill, a supplemental tax bill and an adjusted tax bill from L.A. County -- totalling well over 5,000 a yr.

 

Before the reassessment the property tax was 1,500 annually. 

 

How do I go about getting this property tax back to were it was or close to it.  How do I fight the L.A. County Appeals Board?

Suzie
1:30pm • #3

THIS INFORMATION IS HELPFULL FOR ME AS AN INVESTOR,

CHRIS MANNUEL
4:21pm • #4

Recover, to what? Get real. Let's learn from the past. In 1999, yahoo, e-bay, and Cisco were in triple digits. Now they are all $10-$20. Maybe they are not back in triple digits because they never should have been there in the first place. It was pure speculation, not real value. I think your house will never be worth a half a million again, because it never should have been half a million in the first place!

AC
6:38pm • #5
JUL
09

Hi Suzie,

I would suggest contacting the LA county tax assessor office. It looks to me they have a similar system as Ada County. You can complete some paperwork to get the tax value decreased..looks like form RP-87 at the following link. http://assessor.lacounty.gov/extranet/list/forms.aspx?catid=70

Good luck!

Thanks

SG

1:07am • #6

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Shaun Greer - Real Estate Marketing & Real Estate Leads Expert

Boise, ID

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Motivated Real Estate Leads.com

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