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Smoke and Mirrors?

By
Mortgage and Lending with Southern California Mortgage Professional DRE # 02112530

 Smoke and Mirrors

 

Okay  #1.   This time last year the BIG news that we were all telling our clients was about the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.  One of the things that would help stimulate the economy was the "temporary"increase in loan limits over 417,000 to 729,750 in high cost areas.  Wooohoo - now get out there and tell all your buyers in the price range over 417,000 that they can get lower interest rates on JUMBO loans and qualify for more home!  HOLD THE PHONE MABEL....it tooks weeks for investors playing the mexican standoff, waiting for each other to price these Not Jumbo, but  "Conforming High Cost" loans before we found out that they were now MORE expensive than before.  OOOPS!  "No one wants to buy them on the secondary market Mr. X, that's why the rate is now .75 - 2% higher than conforming rates. "

 So didn't we just change the name from Jumbo to Conforming High Cost?  And eventually the price got a little better but not the same as conforming loans, and here we are again.......January 1st the conforming limit is going down from the temporary 729,750 to 625,500 HOWEVER, a week before the end of the year the risk premium add on for loans over 417,000 just went from .50% TO 1.%.  Will jumbo, I mean High cost, I mean super conforming, ummm JUMBONOT loans  still cost more than 417,000?.....um can anyone say.... jumbo loans?........  SMOKE?

Okay #2  HOPE FOR HOMEOWNERS.....  I was so excited to share this new information with my realtor offices the day it was announced to be the FIRST one with the news.  Summary, this program created a temporary program within FHA to refinance distressed loans at a significant discount for owners at risk of losing their homes in return for a share of the future appreciation.  Oh and did I mention this program is voluntary?  No lenders, servicers or investors will be compelled to participate.  So NOONE DID! I couldnt find any investor to buy these loans!   Well I guess one did, because a wopping 6,000 homeowners were able to utilize this program....But millions more had...can you say... HOPE......................MIRRORS? 

Okay #3  LOAN MODS..  Now don't get me wrong, loan mods are a great way to help the people that were put into BAD loans....  Or loans that weren't bad, but BAD for the client by BAD loan officers who bartended at night and did loans by the day (no offense to my friends the bartenders - trust me, I love them! But stick to bartending)  and those same people are now making commissions on loan mods?  The same vulture capitalists that put these people in those loans they couldn't afford in the first place!  Hey Mr X, remember Me?  Well since you are about to lose the home I diligently helped you buy (that you couldn't afford) I can now help you keep it (ching ching) Just look at Craig's list - they are all the same people!   Again, nothing against Loan Mods and there are plenty of honest people helping clients with loan mods - but then again, there were plenty of honest loan officers helping clients buy homes.  Subprime meltdown?  Can you say Loan Mod meltdown? It's only a matter of time before the government realizes that they have to regulate this too.  Oh and to qualify?  You have to be BEHIND on your mortgage... So um Mr. X,I know you spent years saving up 20% to buy the home and have perfect credit but would like to take advantage of a lower 3% rate for a few years, you have to ruin your credit and stop paying your mortgage otherwise you're screwed with the 6.5% rate you have b/c you don't have enough equity to refinance, when you're neighbor who saved nothing and had horrible credit, owes more than the house is worth and is behind on his loan is now getting 4.5% for the next five years........sorry!..................

SMOKE AND MIRRORS!

I'm hopeful that something the government comes up with in 2009 will actually HELP our homeowners, our buyers, our sellers, our businesses and our economy.  I believe in the law of attraction and I know for sure, either way- that it will be a great  new year, at least for me.  I don't blow smoke, and I'm throwing out my mirrors!

 

 

Patty Luther
RE/MAX Rock-n-Roll Realty - Lewiston, ID
Lewiston ID Real Estate, Idaho-Washington

so you have read the Secret!  the Law of Attraction!    

Dec 29, 2008 03:57 PM
Jenny Durling
L.A. Property Solutions - Los Angeles, CA
For Los Angeles real estate help 213-215-4758

Hi Colleen- what a great post!  I completely agree with everything you said.  It's was particularly miserable when the "new conforming" loan limit was such a joke.  I hope the $625,500 limit doesn't end up the same way. 

As far as the loan modifications go, the idea is good but it makes no sense to have to ruin your credit to qualify. I guess that's the banks' way of making sure that those of us who played by the rules and got loans we could afford won't be able to take advantage of any great new rates. 

After last year's promises/fiascos, I won't be giving my clients a heads up on ANYTHING I expect to come down the road.  My lips are sealed until I'm SURE this time and I'll leave the tough finance questions to the specialists like you.

Thanks for putting in writing alot of the things I've been thinking myself!

Dec 29, 2008 04:06 PM
Morgan Evans
Douglas Elliman Real Estate - Manhattan, NY
LICENSED REAL ESTATE SALESPERSON

you never know whats around the corner, all these different options and loan programs not everybody will qualify for.

Dec 29, 2008 05:47 PM
Jim Eyre, Everett, WA
Bank of America Home Loans - Everett, WA

Great post, Colleen, I really appreciate your honesty and candor, coupled with just the right amount of humor.  Around my office we refer to those loans as "Dumbo Gumbo" loans.

I, too, hope that the Federal Government finally realizes that they know nothing about the mortgage or banking industry, and that all they have done is spend millions of dollars, and perhaps billions of dollars, coming up with plans that don't/won't work. 

Nothing they've done brings any "new money" into the system...it only churns the money that's already in the system. 

Dec 30, 2008 12:07 AM
Anonymous
Anonymous

Hey there.

Boy, I could add things and go on for hours about this!  WOW.   Yes, and we wonder why JUMBO homes are not selling, that is, unless a person puts 20% down, or the loan is below 650k right??  I would add that this is further aggravated by the MI companies not wanting to insure these loans.  I was told by an MGIC rep, that if we had a REALLY strong file, they would look at borrowers on a one on one basis. That helps huh?

Bottom line is that the people voting on the decisions to make this recovery have more than likely not ever had to deal with this stuff themselves.  Too much listening to the liberal news media, and not enough to the good people in and around the business, who KNOW what they are doing!

Well Done.

 

Darin/Wisconsin

Dec 30, 2008 04:18 AM
#6
Gary Ricco
Coldwell Banker Realty - Seminole, FL
Tampa Bay Real Estate Specialist

Colleen, it takes a Jersey Girl to speak the truth.  : )

Check out this 60 Minutes video. I believe from chaos will come Opportunity!  First time buyer rates are great and with housing prices predicted to drop 24.9% in 2009 and possibly 5% in 2010, this makes housing affordable.  First time buyers will be positioned to negotiate & purchase Short Sales. Your comments solidify the fact that short sales are the only option homeowners & Banks have left to avoid the expense of foreclosure.  This video should open peoples eyes.

http://www.cbsnews.com/video/watch/?id=4668112n&tag=topHome;topStory 

Dec 30, 2008 04:31 AM
Jeff Belonger
Social Media - Infinity Home Mortgage Company, Inc - Cherry Hill, NJ
The FHA Expert - FHA Loans - FHA mortgages - USDA loans - VA Loans

Colleen....  an excellent blog, especially for your first one. Very good job here and very much right on in what you mentioned. One thing that hurts us in many cases is when the gov't steps in.  They make it sound like they have good intentions, but as you stated, is it just smoke and mirrors. This was also creative.  On another note, call me tomorrow. I wanted to mention something.. thanks

jeff belonger

Dec 30, 2008 03:59 PM
Gerry Suarez Jr.
New American Funding NMLS 6606 - Orlando, FL
FL Mortgage Guru

Wow, this is your first blog... you're good!

and so right Colleen. I just love the way FHA Secure is dying it's quite death as we speak. It was supposed t help so many and instead it fell so short. You think we will ever get to see the first year default rates on it...?

I look forward to more of your blogs.

Gerry Suarez, Jr.

Your FHA Loan Pro!

Dec 31, 2008 12:12 AM
Jim Crawford
Long & Foster - Fredericksburg, VA
Jim Crawford Broker Associate Fredericksburg VA

Well said!

Feb 13, 2009 02:07 AM