It's not a Letterman Top 10 list, but could I get a drumroll please?Letterman

Thank you.

From FrontDoor.com comes their "Top 10 Things To Expect in the Housing Market in 2009" list.  #5 might be the most important, in my opinion.

  1. Continued market adjustments - With home prices in some markets having reached astronomical levels, it was inevitable a reset button be pushed. Sellers will continue to be challenged in 2009 as the inflated pricing of years past adjusts to normal levels. With banks and builders willing to slash prices to sell a backlog of foreclosures and new homes, individual sellers will have to price their homes competitively.
  2. Action from the Obama administration - President-elect Barack Obama's plan to help the housing sector includes a 10 percent mortgage tax credit for homeowners who don't itemize their taxes and a crackdown on abusive lending practices.
  3. More assistance programs for homeowners in danger of foreclosure - While the federal government is attempting to reduce foreclosures, a report released by the Joint Economic Committee predicts 2 million foreclosures in 2009. Homeowners who are at risk should take steps to avoid foreclosure.
  4. Some calm to the chaos of the banks' restructuring - This should cause loan modifications and short sales to get easier, and it will also (eventually) decrease the number of bank-owned properties on the market.
  5. Thorough reviews of mortgage applications - Before the subprime mortgage debacle, you didn't have to prove you could afford to borrow $200,000 for a home and you didn't need a down payment. Those days of sketchy lending practices are gone. Lenders now require potential borrowers to provide extensive income and expense documentation. Homebuyers with the best credit will get the lowest interest rates. Take steps now to get your finances in order and boost your credit score.
  6. Low prices and low interest rates - 2009 could be the time for reluctant homebuyers to act, as this is perhaps the last year of the best buying opportunity in recorded economic history.
  7. Cool tech tricks and tools for the real estate obsessed - As homebuyers turn to the Web more and more for their real estate needs, video, webcasts and mobile search tools are becoming more prevalent. Sellers should consider using these cutting-edge tools to make their homes stand out.
  8. Wiser consumers - After facing this foreclosure crisis, buyers, sellers, real estate agents and even tenants will have a deeper understanding of real estate, mortgage and credit, which they can use to make better decisions and be more self-protective in the future.
  9. Leaner, greener homebuying - Across the board, homebuying is becoming more eco-friendly, from transactions being conducted digitally to buyers opting for smaller homes within walking distance of school and work.
  10. An increase in consumer confidence - As the year goes on and we near the projected end of the recession, sellers can breathe a sigh of relief as buyers regain confidence in the market.

Well ... we've got a year to see what comes true. 

 

3 Comments on Top 10 Things To Expect In The Housing Market

JAN
02
JAN
19

Yep, the economy is going to recover this year and we're back to a booming real estate market. . . sure. Tell me Realtors, have you ever advised somebody that it's not a "great time" to buy? When the writing was on the wall for all of this in '06, did you ever advise anybody to wait or were you giving them some version of "buy now or be priced out forever?"

some skeptical buyer
2:15pm • #2
JAN
26

Some Skeptical Buyer -

Thanks for your comment, I think I know exactly where you're coming from.  I'm a skeptic and glass-half-empty guy by nature, so I understand the cynicism. This was a repost from FrontDoor.com, and my own observation is at the bottom ... "we've got a year to see what comes true."  See, I don't think it's all roses, either.  In my market, we saw VERY FEW foreclosures in 2008 - so few, in fact, that in Blacksburg you could count them on two hands and still have a finger or two left over.  That's less than a hundredth of the total housing count that went into foreclosure!  While we've had some layoffs, they've for the most part been support-staff personnel and in some cases those same companies that laid off have been hiring at a frantic pace for the "money-drivers" - the researchers, chemists, engineers, etc.  It's easy to look at a market like the New River Valley and be positive, to be a cheerleader, but there are concerns.  Caution and prudence moving forward ...

Yes, I've asked buyers to hold off, and I've asked sellers to rent their homes.  The latter happened again just last week.  Does it benefit me as an agent to encourage them to sell - absolutely, I have a mortgage to pay just like a lot of others!  Will I?  No.  Why take on a listing that won't sell?  Why take on a buyer that can't buy?  I won't take every listing and I won't take every buyer just to try and make a buck.  If i take care of my clients they'll take care of me, and that's all that matters to me.  I'll leave you with one example of how that's worked out - 2006, a strong market for sellers (but not the strongest), I asked three buyers to hold off, repair their credit and save for a downpayment.  They did just that, and all three purchased homes in 2008 that would not have been available to them in 2006.  All three had tears in their eyes at closing, and all three are now in homes they can afford with loan terms that allow them to sleep at night.  I could have pushed them into a home in 2006 that would have required refinancing to avoid higher payments, but I didn't, and so I sleep well at night, as well.

Not all agents are after a buck, but I understand where your skepticism is coming from.  There are a number of problems facing my industry right now, not the least of which include low barriers to entry, failing accountability standards and the fact that we seem to lead the news every night for all the wrong reasons.  I hope you find a professional you trust, and who truly listens to what you tell them.  There are some wonderful, wonderful individuals in this profession - I'm sorry that the snakes have soured you on your opportunity. 

Wishing you the best!

Jeremy Hart
9:21am • #3

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Jeremy Hart

Blacksburg, VA

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Coldwell Banker Townside

Address: 220 Professional Park Drive, Blacksburg, VA, 24060

Office Phone: (540) 998-4731

Cell Phone: (540) 998-4731

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A look at Real Estate in the New River Valley of VA. Sometimes on topic, occasionally irreverent, always Real. That's why we're Real Estate. Simplified.


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