According 50-year old Prof. Panarin, a former KGB analyst, author and current dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry's Academy, there is a more than 50% chance that the US will disintegrate by July 2010. He says that mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and the collapse of the dollar and the U.S. will break into six pieces. 

Dr. Panarin began his career in the KGB in 1976. In post-Soviet Russia, he got a doctorate in political science, studied U.S. economics, and worked for FAPSI, then the Russian equivalent of the U.S. National Security Agency. In 1998 he attended a conference in Linz, Austria, devoted to information warfare, the use of data to get an edge over a rival. It was there, in front of 400 fellow delegates, that he first presented his theory about the collapse of the U.S. in 2010 based on classified data supplied to him by FAPSI analysts.

Panarin predicts that economic, financial and demographic trends will provoke a political and social crisis in the U.S. Wealthier states will withhold funds from the federal government and effectively secede from the union, social unrest will lead to civil war and the US will split along ethnic lines.

According to Panarin the U.S. foreign debt "a pyramid scheme," and he predicts China and Russia will usurp Washington's role as a global financial regulator.  He says that Americans hope President-elect Barack Obama "can work miracles," but when spring comes, it will be clear that there are no miracles."

Foreign powers will then move in.

California will form the nucleus of what he calls "The Californian Republic," and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of "The Texas Republic," a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an "Atlantic America" that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls "The Central North American Republic." Hawaii will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia. 

My Comments:

Absolute nonsense! What is the man smoking?

Yes, the US has experienced a recession or two, a housing bubble, a collapsing stock market (a few times), civil unrest and even a civil war...but we survived all of that before,..and we will again.

As a matter of fact as Thomas Jefferson (1743 - 1826) said: "The boisterous sea of liberty is never without a wave." 

We as Americans have fought hard for freedom and equal rights. Remember the words of two other great presidents:

"Fourscore and seven years ago our Fathers brought forth on this continent a new nation conceived in liberty and dedication to the proposition that all men are created equal." Abraham Lincoln (1809 -1865)

"We and all who believe in freedom as deeply as we do. Would rather die on our feet than live on our knees." Franklin Roosevelt (1882-1945)

So whatever intel Panarin is using, he may have to adjust his predictions because we will prove him wrong. The US may have had a tough year or two, probably will even have one this year as we pick ourselves up from a depressed housing and stock market, but that we will...and we will do so as a free nation, a world power and one of the most prosperous nations in the world.

"We stand for freedom. That is our conviction for ourselves; that is our only commitment to others." John F. Kennedy (1917 - 1963).

God Bless America! Do I hear a thousand Rainers that agree!

Stefan Swanepoel
Author: Swanepoel TRENDS Report