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Whitehouse Foreclosure - Image Courtesy of http://www.flickr.com/photos/bigberto/Dear President Obama,

I recently received an email from my friend, Carol Johnson at the Recruiting Pipeline.  She sent me the letter as part of a mailing to the leadership in the real estate industry asking us to consider how to solve the problems of the current housing crisis. 

How To Solve The Current Housing Crisis
I spent several weeks chewing on the thought.  What would I say to you if you were to ask me how to solve this current crisis?  I had mixed feelings on it.  What it came down to for me is this: it’s not about saving the banks from bad investments, and it’s not about digging borrowers out of holes that they got themselves into.  As a benevolent parent, the governments’ job is to stave off the catastrophic results the housing downturn is having on the economy as a whole and bring it down to just enough pain that we don’t do something this stupid again.  At the same time, the government has to remember that not everyone is in the same situation and you have to be responsible to those who were not caught up in this buying frenzy as well.  So, with that in mind, here is my thought. 

Buy The Land Under The Houses
In most markets, we have fee simple land ownership that conveys with the house.  On every street card, there is a value placed on the land and one on the building.  If we’re going to bail people out and make things more affordable, then let’s do it by reducing the principle owed on the property without asking the bank to take a hard hit and without the owners losing their houses.  The deal works like this:

  • The banks would have to forgive all late fees and rewrite the loans at no cost (after all, they are getting the benefit of not having to foreclose on a bad loan).  They also have to agree to continue to collect the taxes on the land from the homeowner and pay them with the taxes on the home. 
  • The government issues bonds to investors to raise the capital and then buys the land at current appraised market value.  
  • The homeowner gets a deeded option to repurchase the land at a later date at the original price paid by the government or current market value – whichever is greater.  
  • The money paid by the government would go to the bank to pay down the principal balance of the loan, allowing the bank to convert an impaired asset into a performing asset which boosts the bank’s asset rate and lessens reserve requirements, strengthening its balance sheet. This makes the bank more stable, reduces the stress on government resources, and ultimately increases the availability of funds for consumer loans. 
  • The homeowners would then get a new loan issued by the bank for the lower principal amount and have to pay a reasonable monthly lease (1% per year) on the land.  The homeowner would also still be responsible for paying the taxes on both the land and the home.  
  • The bonds issued by the government for the purchase of the land would be backed by the land with dividends provided by the lease payments. 

Here’s how it would work in an example case:
Harry Homeowner has a house that he is behind on his payments on.  He is in danger of foreclosure.  The bank has charged him hundreds of dollars in late fees and there is no way he’s going to get on top of things again.  What he needs is a fresh start. 

Harry’s loan is for $300,000, but the property is only valued at $225,000 in the current market and he can’t sell it.  The government offers to buy the land under Harry’s house.  The land is valued at $85,000.  Harry sells the land to the government and pays down his loan to the bank, leaving a balance of $215,000.  The bank agrees to forgive the late fees and rewrite the note.  It issues a new loan to Harry on the house only in the amount of $215,000 at a lower interest rate taking Harry’s principle and interest payment from his previous payment of $1871.61 at 6.375% down to a new payment amount of $1073.46 at 4.375%.  Harry pays an additional $70.84 per month (1% per year of the purchase price of the land) in addition to his mortgage to cover the lease costs on the land.  This makes Harry’s total monthly payment (not including taxes and insurance) $1143.51, saving him $728.81 per month.  This savings allows Harry to keep his home and the bank to avoid foreclosure. 

Ten years pass and Harry wants to sell his home.  He puts the house on the market and finds a buyer who agrees to pay $350,000.  Harry then exercises his option to repurchase the land from the government.  Current appraised value for the land is $110,000.  Harry’s attorney does a simultaneous closing on the property, with Harry purchasing the land back from the government for $110,000 and conveying the house and the land to the new owner for $350,000.  The bank gets its loan of $215,000 paid off, the government gets the $110,000 and Harry Homeowner gets the balance of $25,000 (less closing costs).

The Results

Win:  The bank didn’t foreclose and got the full amount of its loan repaid. 

Win:  Harry didn’t lose his house to foreclosure, saved his credit and came out the other end with a little money in his pocket. 

Win:  As an investment for the taxpayers and bond holders, the $85,000 has matured into $110,000, for a $25,000 increase.  In addition, the government has also received interest in the form of lease payments on the land in the amount of 1% or $850 per year.  Over ten years, this totals an additional return of $8500 for a total profit of $33,500, an ROI of 3.38% per year which is a better return than the 10 year Treasury Bond rate which was 2.77 as of close of business Friday last week. (Obviously, this is a little more complicated than this, but you get the idea.)

What Happens If Harry Homeowner Still Forecloses?
In many areas, affordable housing is a big issue.  It's all local towns and municipalities can do to get developers to include affordable units in their developments.  Those towns could change their local regulations to state that the affordable housing unit doesn't have to be in the development itself - it can be provided in the same town but in a different location within that town.  This would make developers tremendously motivated to buy any of the properties served under this plan that go to foreclosure since they would cost the homeowner up to a third less than the local area prices.  Even if the builder had to take a loss on the purchase and resale of the home to get the monthly payments into the "affordable" level, it will likely be less than the gain of an extra new unit selling for full price.  It's a good trade. 

This Plan Has Several Benefits

  1. It will reduce the principle of the loans for the current homeowners allowing them a payment level they can afford to sustain.
  2. Banks only have to eat the cost of refinancing the loans at a lower interest rate and forgiving the late fees, not the cost of foreclosing and reselling.
  3. The payments from the land purchases to the banks would allow them to convert impaired assets into  performing assets. This boosts the banks' asset rates and lessens their reserve requirements, strengthening their balance sheets. This makes the banks more stable, reduces the stress on government resources, and ultimately increases the availability of funds for consumer loans. Freeing up additional funds for new loans and opening up credit lines for new spending would be a boon for the economy overall. 
  4. Property values won’t suffer as a result of the plan since any subsequent purchase of the property would be made including the land when the current seller exercises his/her option to purchase the land back prior to conveying it with the property. 
  5. It’s a purchase backed by real estate, which means it’s not going to contribute to the deflation of the dollar. 
  6. It provides a stable investment for older investors who need some way to hedge their bets in this uncertain economy.
  7. For the purchases that don't get paid for by bonds, the tax payers will see a return on their investment as the economy recovers and property values improve.  At the very least, we are guaranteed to get our money back with the land lease payments as interest.  At the best, the appreciation and the land lease costs will provide a tidy profit for the use of taxpayer monies. 
  8. It’s not a free ride for anyone.  The banks lose out on the refinance and late fees as well as taking only a slightly more than break-even interest rate.  The homeowners lose out on the appreciation of their land and have to pay conveyance taxes and closing costs on the land multiple times.  In short – those who made bad decisions get a chance to pay for those bad decisions without being destroyed by them.

So, that’s the crux of the idea, Mr. President.  It seems to me that it would work.  I’d welcome the opportunity to discuss it with you.  I also have some ideas on how to make it easier to be self-employed if you’re interested.

 

Sincerely,

 

Kelle Sparta
Author of The Consultative Real Estate Agent
National Speaker, Trainer and Coach for the Real Estate Industry

 

 

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22 Comments on Solving (Some of) The Housing Crisis

FEB
25
2009

Here's the catch - this plan still doesn't address the issue of collateralized debt obligations. Banks CAN'T legally rewrite a loan that's been securitized because they no longer own it. Investors who bought notes containing the loan own it - but investors may only own a small piece of the loan. There are three levels of securitization at work defying most mortgage plans.

1. Asset back securities (ABS). Basically, a big basket of loans that's then sold to investors as bonds. No one loan is owned by a single investor.

2. Collateralized debt obligations (CDO). Baskets of baskets are pooled together, divided up, and sold as bonds or other investments.

3. Compounded collateralized debt obligations (CDO-squared). Baskets of baskets of baskets, or baskets of bonds from other baskets, or baskets of pieces of bonds of other baskets. You get the idea.

A good chunk of the mortgages out there in trouble are in category 2 or 3 - meaning that the loan itself is impossible to modify because not only does no one investor own it (and therefore cannot rewrite the investment contract backing the mortgage contract), but in many cases it's been divided up so many times that no one is really sure WHO owns it.

In order to unravel this much leverage, you'd have to buy out the investors from top to bottom and reverse the leverage, or find some other way to guarantee the investors first, because in order of precedence, each subsequent obligation has rights over the lower tier.

Christopher Penn, Financial Aid Podcast
9:14am • #1
103,998 Points 4 Featured Posts

Dear Chris,

These are good points and certainly something to be considered in the process.  Without knowing the details of how these instruments work, my thought is that there has to be a mechanism by which the investors are sorted out when someone forecloses.  Someone has to report the loss.  Even if its done on a percentage basis where the funds/bonds/investors with x% exposure, provide the same percentage of the funding on the new loan, that would be better than letting those loans foreclose.  

12:54pm • #2
147,462 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Hard to know what to say - I feel so new at this, that I don't think I have a lot to contribute - I like the idea; however, it does kind of remind me of an old british law where the land reverts back to the government upon death. 

I think you are extremely clever for thinking all of this up - way to go!  We need more people like you who are solution oriented and know what they're talking about!

1:07pm • #3
105,689 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Instead of complaining about the situation, you've offered a solution. It may have some points that need to be ironed out but you're being pro-active. When you iron out the details more, send it to your state's elected officials and send it to the white house!

2:07pm • #4
1 Featured Post Hit Router

I understand your suggestion and I believe you might have something here.  I hope our other friends on AR weigh in on this excellent suggestion / solution.

I agree with Pam above you are thinking of a solution.

2:26pm • #5
989,629 Points 3 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Attended Rain Camp

UNfortunately there were too many neg-ams, no-docs, no income-no job loans that this program recommendation and just about anything else in the planning stages can't provide for.

3:04pm • #6
275,390 Points 10 Featured Posts Called Shot Master

I wish it were that simple but first America is bankrupt so how in the blue blazes would this work?

I agree with Vicky,  that there are way too many no-docs, no income- no job loans and that's where alot of the fraud was committed.  I have seen paperwork where a non-green card individual stated on the application that she was a U.S. Citizen but because there is a driver's license and SS#, she got away with it!  She then falsified her place of employment and then padded her income by 300%.  Then there is the husband who is dying on his death bed but wants to give his family one last whirlwind spending spree in the amount of $110,000 and so he reached out to Big Daddy Deep Pockets and got a loan for $455,000 on a building that is only worth $325,000 on his monthly retirement money of $1,200 that the U.S. is sending his wife.  I could go on but Vickie has a strong point and I for one think that the bailout should be for those who have lost their jobs, not falsified their income, place of employment or even their citizenship.  We will be making some big, actually huge sacrifices and that being the case, I don't want it to be for those who are not citizen's or even green card holders! 

While you are thinking of a solution there is more to all of this that meets the eye.

Loan Modifications would work for those who haven't committed mortgage fraud.  Reduce the interest, flip the amount owed on the backside of the loan but you can't forgive the negative equity.  What about the adjustment for the neighbors who have made their mortgages and have the income but are paying on negative equity! 

The stickler is that there are people loosing their jobs everyday.  It's like a free fall of unemployment.

Yesterday, I saw a man driving his BMW and he was delivering pizza. 

We are printing money right now that we do not have!  The U.S. is bankrupt and they are carrying the weight of banks, manufacturers, etc.  What does that sound like?  Nationalism. 

What people are experiencing right now in this country could turn the clock back and redo things, do you actually thing they would change?  GREED. 

I applaud you for your thinking and if there was money, it might work but there is more that will hit the fan soon. 

 

3:55pm • #7
469,911 Points

I hope you are right! We need this thing fixed!

4:47pm • #8
976,038 Points 17 Featured Posts Hit Router Called Shot Master

Kelle, you obviously put some thought into this and I say why not!  Probably a better idea than some of the foolishness the banks are doing now.

5:29pm • #9
546,315 Points 11 Featured Posts

Wow Kelle!  This one is going to take a while to process!

6:05pm • #10

Kelle:

You really worked your brain to exhaustion with this post. So many different angles. I liked it.

8:15pm • #11

 

You're right to say there is a mechanism - it's technically liquidation, when an underlying loan defaults, it triggers an immediate call up the chain of debt like a shockwave. Typically, once the loan collapses, any assets are liquidated, and the proceeds are given to the first lien holders. From there, the proceeds are divided until there's nothing left, which typically is one or two steps down the line at most - and some of these loans were leveraged 35x, which means as many as 35 entities standing in line waiting to get paid.

The way we've done this in the past was to let an institution fail, send it into receivership, divide it up, wipe out investors and shareholders, and start over - which was what RTC in the late 80s effectively did. The catch is that you can't do this before an institution declared bankruptcy, since you can't legally invalidate contract law. Only in bankruptcy, when contracts are voided, can you then resolve the leveraged debts on top of a loan.

This is pretty much what's happening right now. As banks fail, the FDIC takes them into receivership and resolves their debts by wiping out shareholders and investors in Chapter 7. The only question is - how many major failures can the system tolerate?

Christopher S. Penn
9:44pm • #12
FEB
26
2009
103,998 Points 4 Featured Posts

Dear Barb, I hear your pain, and to be honest, it is most likely foreign investors who would be the people to buy the bonds to fund this initiative.  Hence the reason I added a DEEDED right to repurchase into the deal.  The simple fact of the matter is that if President Obama were to put my plan into place, then there would be someone to oversee its implementation.  Presumably, there would be a whole host of rules and regulations (this is the government we're talking about here) to determine who qualifies and who doesn't.  If you'll notice, the homeowner doesn't really get a great deal out of this - they get a way to keep their house.  If they are looking for a free ride, they won't find it here.  This has the added benefit of not encouraging other homeowners to take "the easy way out" because they don't want to be paying on negative equity either. 

There is an added benefit to the housing crisis that no one has really looked at yet.  Homeowners are realizing that they were investors - just like we entrepreneurs.  I believe that entrepreneurs will get a little more understanding from the populace at large for the next few years as they see what it is like to invest in something you love and not have it turn out the way you expected (a common entrpreneur issue).

6:11am • #13
228,471 Points 10 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor

Kelle, I like this creative solution!  I'm going to add a link to this blog at http://activerain.com/blogsview/948437/Be-part-of-the-SOLUTION-3-Whats-your-IDEA-to-solve-Americas-Mortgage-Meltdown . Regina Brown

1:24pm • #14

Step #1:  Prosecute loan fraud - Borrowers
Federal loan fraud statutes are quite severe, and need to be enforced to the letter, BEFORE we begin talking about "helping" anybody.
From the FHA Certification: Section 1010 of Title 18 U.S.C. "... Whoever, for the purpose of influencing in any way the action of [the FHA] makes, passes, or publishes any statement knowing the same to be false, shall be fined not more than $5,000 or imprisoned not mor than two years, or both."  (I assume this means for EACH false statement.)

Step #2:  Prosecute loan fraud - Banks & Loan Brokers (see above).  Move the prosecution process as far up the corporate chain as it can be shown that they were complicit in the fraud.  Put reasonable bank oversight in place to make sure that going forward, banks that get FDIC backing make loans consistent with good practices followed for a century.  Let the SEC insure that investors are fully aware of the underlying security for any investments the may wish to purchase.

Step #3:  After the government resolves the loan fraud aspects (probably accounting for 60-80% of the loans in default) as the criminal matter that it is, then allow the market to resolve the rest of the matter, without using public funds.
The point should NOT be to follow the Japanese into a decade of stagnation by using cronyism instead of capitalism. 
The point is NOT to maintain unrealistically high prices, just because somebody foolishly paid those prices.  Get the government OUT of the process, and allow prices down to fall to their REAL and sustainable levels... levels where people can qualilfy to buy the homes without tricks and government-sponsored work-arounds, like owning the land under the homes of its citizens.  Let the market set the prices, of pay the much LARGER price for the rest of our lives, and the lives of our children and grandchildren.

Step #4: Recognize that the "destruction by credit" has just begun.  Credit card debt and corporate debt are as flakey as the subprime real estate debt. 

Conclusion: Either we sell out to foreigners (the beneficiaries when government takes actions with money the government doesn't have, and must borrow internationally), or we allow our market system to clean up after the massive fraud that has been done to the nation, a fraud that has stretched the very fabric of the nation to the breaking point, and has forever tainted us in the eyes of the world.
Everyone seems so concerned about the non-performing homeowner... what about the companies that the fraudlent borrowers/lenders put out of business because they wouldn't falsify applications... what about the citizens who could NOT obtain a home because THEY wouldn't falsify the apps, and stood by helplessly as the fraudulent citizens (and non-citizens, whose participation has been kept very hush-hush) drove the ridiculous prices every higher?

I guarantee that if we allow government to remain involved, your children will rue the day we went from capitalism to cronyism.   When the government is connected to everything, only the "connected" get anything.

Tried to paste in a graphic to illustrate the silliness of the home price runup, starting in 1997, but the blog would not accept an image.  It is a "sight to see", in case you are not aware of the absolutely absurd run-up, starting in 1997.

 

TH
2:03pm • #15

I LIKE people that think outside the box!  I don't think any one plan is going to help everybody that needs help but the more of a menu we have in the tool box to help will go a long way towards helping more people stay in their home and hopefully get back on their feet...there's an awful lot of people out there who don't have fraudulent loans, didn't make bad decisions at the time they got their loans, didn't lie on their loan apps...but who are in trouble due to job loss or slowdown...

Betsy Bowman Realtor at Beautiful Smith Mountain Lake in Virgini
3:49pm • #16
MAR
06
2009

Kelle,

You have put forth a great effort with this plan and I applaud your efforts.

The problem I continue to have with all the solutions being presented are that they only seem to help the folks that are in "trouble" and facing foreclosure. Granted, some of them are there through no fault of their own due to job loss, but others are there because they're in a property that they had no business purchasing in the first place.

How do you tell a homeowner such as myself - who purchased a home that I could afford and have worked hard to maintain the mortgage payments every month - that I'm somehow less valuable to this society than some poor schlep who is a "victim" of this current real estate market and the economy in general.

There have been months where it has been difficult to meet my bills - as a self-employed person, I only "eat" as much as I can kill and drag home. I don't see anyone sprinting to my rescue. Quite the contrary, I'm afraid - I'm told to work harder so I can pay more taxes (after all, it's my "Patriotic Duty" according to VP Joe) to help the folks that *are* benefitting from this new version of Depression-era soup kitchens.

You see, I've been affected by this market as much as the next homeowner...my primary residence has lost value. I'm not terribly concerned about that because I don't have plans to move any time soon.

But because I do what I'm supposed to (make my payment every month) there's no write-down of my mortgage to the current value of the property. I can refinance - spend a couple thousand dollars in closing costs that might save me $250 per month, but even in that scenario, I'd be refinancing my current loan balance, not the current value of the property. Oh, yeah...and the refi would only happen if the value of the property could still support the refinanced balance of current mortgage.

Harry Homeowner illustrated above gets to keep his home and save a significant amount of money all because he's behind on his payments.

Is it just me, or is there something just plain wrong with that? Punish success and reward stupidity? Is that what our society has been reduced to? How sad.

Ric Castagna
4:00pm • #17
MAR
10
2009
103,998 Points 4 Featured Posts

Dear Ric,

Our society has always been built around those in the know "taking care of" those who are not so bright.  Our founders built it into the very fabric of our government using the republic system rather than a democracy as we are often told.  This is what the electoral college was originally designed for - to make sure the masses made the right decision.  Sadly, this time they didn't and we as a country pay. 

Here's Why You Have to Participate
Remember the 80's and the Savings and Loan failures?  Remember what a hit that was on the economy?  Well take that and multiply it by several thousand and you're getting an idea of the ramifications of what happens if all of the troubled loans foreclose.  You're going to pay whether you do it this way or another.  Either you'll pay in your property values bottoming out at a ridiculously low price, or you'll pay in your bank going under and the FDIC having to bail out depositors (which it won't have enough money to do if all of these banks fail and therefore, we'll have to raise taxes so that you can get your money from the bank - then I'll be paying for that for you), or you'll pay with the rest of us as foreign investors come in and buy all of the property in the country because it's at firesale prices.  We won't have to be conquered as a nation - we'll be owned.  It's a bleak reality, but it's there. 

It's Not IF You Pay, But How
So, one way or another, you're going to pay.  The question we are asking now, is what is the least costly way to do it?  In the plan I've offered above, we can hopefully get the money from investors rather than taxpayers, keeping costs low, while at the same time offering the deeded right to repurchase the land, so that we don't end up owned by other countries.  Taxpayers would bear the burden of administering the program, but that's it.  And it's not a free ride for anyone - everyone is asked to pay for their mistakes in some way, but no one is devastated by it.

If Your Neighbor Were Drowning, Would You Save Them?
This economy is the equivalent of the perfect storm.  I know professionals in the industry (myself included) who didn't anticipate the full scope of the decline that we would see in the market.  There were too many factors from too many disparate sectors for most people to see the size of the drop coming.  In effect, it was the Hurricane Katrina of the economy.  We should have been able to anticipate it, and we should have been able to manage it, but we failed.  Does this mean that we now allow our neighbors who are stuck on their roofs after the levies have burst to drown in the flood waters that are coming for them?  Perssonally, I'd prefer to send in a life boat.  They're not getting off easy.  They are still going to have to rebuild their credit and pay the consequences of having made a bad decision.  But can we spare them the 10-year stigma of a foreclosure when they are otherwise upstanding citizens with nothing else to tarnish their records but being foolhardy enough to wander into the middle of the perfect storm?  I don't think so.  Perhaps you do.

Drawing The Big Red Dot
One of the things I teach my clients is that it is important to be clear about where you are before you try to move forward in life.  Because if you fail to accept the reality of your current situation, then you run the risk of making a bad decision about the future.  That's what happened with the people who bought houses they couldn't afford - neither the banks nor they weren't realistic about their current situation and that's how we got here.  Let's not make the same mistake they did by assuming that we have a choice about whether to participate in creating a solution to a problem we may not have helped create.  Everyone suffers if we don't fix this.  Don't fool yourself into thinking that isn't true.  If you're honest about the reality of the situation, then you'll see that there is no choice but to act.  Then it's just a matter of what action to take to stave off the flood waters until they subside.

 

1:58pm • #18
MAR
12
2009
1 Featured Post

Kelle,

I like it  alot. Unfortunately, I doubt anyone in Washington has the guts to do it. teh sad reality is that teh government is going to spend about 10 Trillion on all of thse ridiculous bailouts and if they  would just pay off all of the residential homeebt in the U.S. it would only cost 5 trillion and would solve 90% of the whole crisis.

Michael Pinter

10:29am • #19
APR
22
2009

Kelle,

I love the ingenuity of your thought process.  I did a series on this topic a few weeks ago and proposed a different alternative as a solution (see http://www.e-mcinc.com/blog/?p=208) but  I think your idea has even greater benefits for the various parties that all have inter-related interests. Sure, there are details that would need to be fine-tuned and worked out but I think the greater point is that we need to look at this crisis as an opportunity to make some fundamental changes that have long term sustainability.  Great job on lending your creative talent to proposing a feasible alternative!

 

Bambo Bamgbose
10:16pm • #20
APR
23
2009
103,998 Points 4 Featured Posts

Michael,

The problem with bailing out the homeowners directly is that it gives other homeowners the motivation to default thereby creating an even bigger problem.  While I don't agree with all of the things that are being done (the auto industry in particular should be allowed to die for its failure to keep up with the times and consumer demands), there are larger issues to be addressed in terms of maintaining jobs in place until others can be created (which is a challenge in the current financial market - without funding, there can be no growth which is what is required for new jobs to be created -- short of another "new deal" government building project).  So, it's complicated.  All I can say is that I'm glad it's not me having to solve the whole shebang.  (It would be a fun challenge to take on though - just as a thought project - I love out-of-the-box thinking.)

8:09am • #21
103,998 Points 4 Featured Posts

Hey Guys,

Bambo's got some really interesting ideas over on his blog, you should check it out.

8:34am • #22

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Kelle Sparta, Real Estate Trainer and Coach

Cambridge, MA

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