Every month, I put together the "Mile High Stats" from MetroList in Denver. You can see those charts here. http://images.agentcenter.com/client/4/3/9/23934/2009.01_Blog_Information_Word_2003.pdf

The first chart is something that is the MOST important for the entire group of readers. Though nobody knows the future, I am disgusted - yes, disgusted - with the fear of the unknown and the lack of economic insight offered by the media.

The first chart relates to the unemployment rate in the US since 1948 -- 60+ years. The chart shows how unemployment seems to peak around 8.0%. Given how dire prognostications have been, this time it might be higher. However, this IS NOT the GREAT DEPRESSION. Nor is it even close.

Now, I am an MBA with corporate background, but I don't do econometric modeling for a living. I sell residential real estate. However, no matter how dire the news in 1975, 1982, 1992, etc., America is still America.

We are the strongest, most diverse, most pull-up-the-bootstraps and get-it-done country on the planet. Despite how bad things are, our spirits always rise above the adversity. That is what is great about our country! It's why we lead the world in everything we set our minds and hearts to excelling in!

As you will see, that greatness drives America to overcome unemployment as it starts to exceed 8.0% -- pretty much always. The two times it was exceeded were right after Vietnam, as tens of thousands of veterans (for whom we are eternally indebted to them for their service) came back into the employment pool, concurrently with the Oil Embargo. The most recent was when hyperinflation was being choked off in the early 80's and aggressive FED policy was intended to cut off the inflationary, upward spiral.

Though there are some unique aspects to this downturn, there always are unique things about each and every downturn. So, there is nothing new there. So, it is realistic to expect this downturn to be like the majority of those in the past 60 years.

I hope this provides some perspective because it seems the media is lacking it nowadays...and that is a huge disservice to you.

"A pessimist sees the difficulty in every opportunity; an optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty." - Churchill

 
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2 Comments on Media Malpractice - Did I Miss How to Report Truthfully in School?

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Michael, That is some display. I'm sure you have lots of people checking for your updated stats. Is Metrolist your MLS system? Impressive.

5:54pm • #1
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Thanks. I am on MetroList and IRES here in Denver.  (IRES is Northern Colorado, but I only do MetroList stats as Denver really is about 60% of the state's population.)

I have to tell you it's really pissing me off how much the media is misreporting data and the market.

Some areas suck, but most of the country is doing better than Florida and California.

 

YOu should read this blog...is Texas affected by Realty Trac numbers, too? 

http://milehighhomehunter.blogspot.com/2009/01/daily-dirt-foreclosures-realtytrac.html

 

 

6:12pm • #2

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Michael Clarkson

Littleton, CO

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Mile High Home Hunter Realty

Address: PO Box 620519, Littleton, CO, 80162

Office Phone: (303) 317-2478

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Michael Clarkson is one of Denver's highest profile brokers. He’s been featured in Realtor® Magazine three separate times, Denver Post, Denver Business Journal, KOA Radio, KHOW Radio, and the Colorado Radio Network. Michael is a licensed Managing Broker in Colorado and a GRI (Graduate Realtor® Institute). He is also a partner in the firm, Cash Path Real Estate LLC. Michael has an MBA in International Business from Regis University in Denver.


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