Or maybe not.

It's being reported that Al Gore gave his ever-evolving Global Warming Scare Presentation to the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) recently.  But only after questions were (finally) raised about one of his new slides is he pulling that slide (a version of that graph shows up in the presentation video linked above at about minute 7.)

It seems he misrepresented the data.  One of the most interesting things, to me, about the misrepresentation is this: he claims the graph shows the change in number of disasters.  But what the graph shows is the change in the number of reported disasters.

Why is that important?  Doesn't that sound a bit like quibbling over nothing?

Well, it is important, and it's not just quibbling.  Here are two reasons: 

1) Disaster reporting has improved drastically in the last 30-40 years as compared to 100 years ago. (Global travel and communications have improved exponentially.)

And

2) Incentives to report disasters have increase dramatically in recent years. (Look at all the humanitarian aid that's being dispersed in recent years.)

(See here.  Note especially comments 18 and 19 with regard to reason #1, and comment 22 - from CRED!! (that is, the people who created the graph in the first place) - reaffirming #1 and pointing out #2 as well as other potential explanations - ALL of which would indicate AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming) has little to nothing to do with what the graph shows.)

I wonder... how many people are easily "snowed" by such shoddy and/or careless presentations?

Isn't this, at least in part, one of the kinds of things that has led us to the current economically challenging times we're currently facing?  What I mean is, isn't this the kind of thing politicians have been doing for years to protect their lobbying buddies?  And isn't this the kind of thing unscrupulous Lenders have done to push high-risk loans on unsuspecting borrowers?  And isn't this the kind of thing unscrupulous borrowers have done to get past the lending criteria of ethical Lenders?

When people lie about their data, "stuff" happens.  And while for the moment those who lie seem to "get away with it" and benefit - at least in the short term - most often, they (and a whole lot of other people) ultimately have a high price to pay for their deception.

 
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7 Comments on Global Warming Research Results...

FEB
26
341,797 Points 4 Featured Posts Outside Blog

David - one other thing that the Gore team failed to recognize, even when the slide was included, was that those disasters included all, not just weather related. Also, in Gore's presentation, the data is represented all as one color. I believe in the original graph, each line had four colors, each representing a class of disaster.

7:43am • #1
188,656 Points

It is hard for me to believe that a guy as smart as Gore could read a graph incorrectly.

8:14am • #2
100,862 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog

We have Snow forcast for March 1 in Charlotte NC. That must be a result of global warming too.

9:26am • #3
253,811 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

We had our first hard freezes in about 7 years or so this year in Central Florida. In fact we had multiple hard freezes.  Global warming, sounds like the science is questionable at best.

11:17am • #4

Mike - Thanks for commenting.

I guess you didn't get the memo... earthquakes, fires, blizzards, and every other natural disaster is caused by AGW... at least that's what Al "He preyed on our fears!!!" Gore would have you believe.

If you look at the graph Gore used - at minute7 here - you'll see it actually does use 2 colors, it's just impossible to see what the legend describes each color as representing.  (Why bother with details like that?  Maybe because, by making those clear, others would have known that this graph was being fraudulently used to show something that it really show.)

As best I can find, the original graph of the data is this one here.  And it's only 1 color with a line showing the trend.  (Notice anything peculiar about the most recent years' trand line?  With the decline in most economies around the globe, perhaps the humanitarian aid will diminish, which in turn may diminish the reporting of natural disasters.  No point in wasting time, energy, and resources begging for money that's not there... might as well get back to what people used to do - try to help each other on a local scale to get back on their feet.)

12:07pm • #5

Kevin - Thank you for your comment.  Who'd o' thunk?  After all, he won the Global Idol Nobel Prize.

Claude and Rob - Thank you for your comments.  Undoubtedly they will be written off as unimportant anecdotal anomilies, while Gore's examples of A house in Alaska and A house in Canada are indicative of global catastrophic impact.  And he backs that up with a video of a seasonal [his word] river that's created when ice melts each Spring.  His solution?  Invest in one of his companies and/or buy products/services from one of his companies.  Who knows, maybe he's got a plan to sell the Maldives some land now that he's successfully scared them into believing the sky is falling oceans are rapidly rising.

12:19pm • #6
244,417 Points 5 Featured Posts Outside Blog

David,

I hateit that the global warming satellite crashed and got dunked before it hit orbit!

5:36pm • #7

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David Holzmann

Mountain View, CA

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