Last Thursday in the state of Georgia Department of Labor announced the Georgia unemployment levels have quickly risen to a state wide unemployment figure of 8.6%.  What is really bad is that this recent trend has occurred rather quickly.  In December of 2008 Georgia's unemployment was at 8.1%.  As of this week there are almost 413,000 unemployed and looking for work.  These are the highest levels of unemployment in Georgia since 1976.  Current unemployment levels are 60% higher than the same time last year!  Scary stuff.  The problem is the unemployment rates are expected to go higher.  So how does this impact Atlanta real estate

Fist of all unemployment reduced the pool of prospective home buyers.  The 'unemployed' do not look to buy homes.  The buyer pool contracts.  Not just by the 8.6% that are currently employed, but their co-workers.  Related industries cut back.  Self employed businesses suffer, restaurants, diners, and fast food establishments.  People that are still working wonder if they are next to lose their job.  They begin to watch how they spend their money, they save more and are cautious about making impulsive decisions.  Perhaps their hours are cut or benefits by their companies that are trying to right size and survive.

When they buy a home or purchase Atlanta real estate their goal is to buy right.  They are concerned about owning Atlanta real estate they cannot afford and they want to make sure they can carry the payment of the new property if they should lose their jobs.  Perhaps they will look at Atlanta real estate and not buy.  Then again they make only one offer on a property.  It will be a very low offer.  If the offer is accepted they will buy, but if the offer is countered they will view it as a 'sign' to move on.   This behavior translates into a lot less home sales, an a lot of high anxiety for all.

High unemployment robs consumers of confidence.  It translates into less sales, and lower prices by desperate home sellers.  High unemployment will continue to hurt Atlanta real estate that has not yet bottomed, and it is expected to worsen before it turns around.

Jim Crawford REMAX

RE/MAX Greater Atlanta  770-238-0122 Direct

Or  888-992-5546 Toll Free Office

Atlanta Real Estate & Atlanta Homes for Sale

 
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14 Comments on How Will Rising Unemployment Effect Atlanta Real Estate?

FEB
28
257,185 Points 7 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

I'm so sick and tired of the "nows the time to buy" blathering folks are spewing.  In this time of uncertainty, its the right time to watch every dollar you possess and spend it very wisely.  Yes, you have to live somewhere and owning offers advantages over renting.  I'm having a serious heart-to-heart with each buyer client about whether they see this buy as a needed step in their life.

10:49pm • #1
146,453 Points 1 Featured Post Outside Blog

Jim, that "how will" have been translated into reality across the country. I see that here in RI already. The first thing should be to build up consumer confidence but nothing from this administration works so far.

11:25pm • #3
598,107 Points 80 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Huiting Zhuang,Sell your business overseas (ReMax Post Road Realty)  Nothing has worked so far, but one thing is for sure...it is not going to get well if the administration keeps talking down the economy.

11:46pm • #4
MAR
01
4 Featured Posts
Jim - The scary thing about the unemployment numbers is the fact that they are so wrong. The stats don't include all the unemployed who no longer qualify for unemployment. It also doesn't take into account people who are self employed (realtors perhaps?) who are making no money but do not fit the criteria for an official "unemployment" statistic. Good post.
12:46am • #5
598,107 Points 80 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Kent Anderson (Coldwell Banker Resort Realty)  Thanks.  It is a real eye opener for sure.  I am starting to get calls from past clients looking for work ( electricians, tile, carpet, and handymen!)  That is not counting the calls I get from other real estate agents that call me daily looking for referrals.

8:41am • #6
573,576 Points 95 Featured Posts Localism Sponsor Outside Blog Hit Router

We are at 10.6% in Michigan the highest in the nation.

Yes, it effects sales as most are short or foreclosure.

A loan modifer told me last week, VERY few if any loans get modified in Mi due to the drop in sales prices.

 

8:45am • #7
177,398 Points 12 Featured Posts Outside Blog

Jim, job creations is key to the recovery, and I don't see much in the budget that will create long-term, private sector jobs. We still have a considerable amount of pain yet to come.

10:18am • #8
598,107 Points 80 Featured Posts Outside Blog

John Mulkey, Housing Guru (TheHousingGuru.com)  I agree.  We are not out of the woods by any stretch of the imagination.

2:17pm • #10

Todays AJC quoted smartnumbers Steve Palm projecting Atlanta real estate will be bottoming in the next few months as existing homes have become so cheap and the large ($122,000) price spread between the average new and existing home prices so large. I would like to believe him, but seeing unemployment exponentially exploding in GA make me believe otherwise (1-2 years away from bottoming). Although I have noticed higher prices at the big auction this weekend and more competition for low price listed homes, but It could just be the Spring and stimulus plan bounce? This is looking more and more like the 1930's...

phil
10:15pm • #11
598,107 Points 80 Featured Posts Outside Blog

phil  I do not like Steve's numbers nor his interpretations of his numbers.   He also does the stats for our FMLS.  IMO these numbers are pretty self serving.  I do believe current market activity is a 'Dead cat bounce!'  Sort of like NAR's  "Hey it's a great time to buy a home" campaign.  I am not seeing solid trends that support the notion.  We must remember that there has been a moratorium  Atlanta's unemployment numbers are rising so rapidly that when asked to interpret them the state economist said on TV that in December our numbers "fell off a cliff!"  Since those numbers have not filtered their way into the system yet...I do not see bottoming in the next few months.  We have not even seen the impact of Alt-A resets, and the impact of a collapsed commercial real estate.  This will be an interesting year in real estate.  I have had past clients contacting me recently for work...they have been just been let go!  That is a first!

10:39pm • #12
MAR
02
Localism Sponsor Outside Blog

Ohio is at 8.8 percent unemployment rate.  I lost 3 buyers in Feb. because they lost their jobs...

I read through a few comments and not to get too political but we have had 8 + years to dig ourselves into this hole I do not think it is realistic that anyone thinks we will be out of it in 100 days.  IMO

8:28am • #13

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Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO

Atlanta, GA

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RE/MAX Greater Atlanta

Address: REMAX Greater Atlanta, 1585 Holcomb Bridge Road, Roswell , GA, 30076

Office Phone: (770) 238-0122

Cell Phone: (770) 664-9516

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Atlanta real estate broker associate, real estate columnist for www.RealtyTimes.com, real estate speaker. Real estate marketing, Internet marketing for real estate, real estate coaching Feedjit Live Website Statistics


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