Myrtle Beach Condo Market in Peril??

What's happening to our condo market here in Myrtle Beach, SC??

                The beginning of February, our Broker pulled statistics for North Myrtle Beach Oceanfront Condo pending Sales. Much to our surprise, that number was 24%...... Wow, 24% of our current inventory was Pending a sale (having Contracts to purchase in place) Our average number is normally 2.5%, so you can see that a Tenfold increase is a big deal considering how tough the market has been lately.

                My major concern with this information was that the majority of these offers were contingent on Financing (meaning the buyers are applying with a Lender and the offer is only accepted if they are approved) So, out of that 24% of pending sales, how many will actually close?

                The increasing restrictions that Lenders are placing on Financing Investment Property, 2nd homes or even  a regular purchase are making it harder and harder for people to buy. The interest to buy may be there, but the money is becoming increasingly harder to come by. Take an example: Want to buy a Condo in Myrtle Beach, SC? Oceanfront, Oceanview or even Second Row condos  require quite a bit from you before you will be approved to Finance your new property. First, prepared yourself to put anywhere from 25% to 50% of the Purchase price as a Down Payment. Second, the Money used as a Down Payment, typically, must be seasoned (have been sitting in an Account of yours) for well over 60 days. You will need to have a Credit Score very close to 700 or even better and they will prefer you to have had Liquid assets(Money in Checking /Saving Accounts, 401Ks, Stocks, Bonds, Mutual Funds or IRAs) in your account for 12 months or longer. The days of 100% financing for investors is very long gone!!

Let’s go over some figures..    All these figures below are based on  Oceanfront Condos only!! The main reason for that, is simply that Oceanfront properties set the tone for our market. Let's face it, that where everyone wants to be and the reason your looking here!!

Pulling Statistics on Wednesday, 2/25/09: North Myrtle Beach 
  • Current number of Active Listings for sale: 474   Avg.  Which is  28% of our Whole Associations inventory
  • Current number of Listings that are Pending a Sale: 111                    That’s 23% of our Inventory
  • Current number of Condos that have Sold since Jan.1st : 20              That’s only 4% !!! Ouch!

Now, lets pull Statistics for the Entire Grand Strand  ( from Georgetown up to North Myrtle Beach)

  •  Current Active Listings for sale:   1675
  •  Current number of Listings Pending a Sale:  143                    This is 9% of the Inventory
  •   Current number of Condos that have Sold since Jan. 1st:   45       This is 3% of our full inventory

Next, let's pull the Myrtle Beach Proper area only (majority of our Condo market share at 60%)

  •    Current Active Listings for sale:    1008
  •    Current number of Listings Pending a Sale:     27      That is only 3% 
  •    Current number of  Condos that have Sold since Jan. 1st:       24    That is only 2% 


    Now, after pulling all the Statistics above, I thought it would interesting to see what numbers were like in past years. What I found was that we were seeing prices on Oceanfront condos reverting back to 2003 . That is a major shift in Market values and an even larger buying opportunity. Take a look at what I found:

  • Jan-Feb.2009 Myrtle Beach Area Avg. List price:$192,119    Avg Sold Price: $176,399
    • There is an 8% difference in price between Listed and Sold
  • Jan-Feb. 2003 Myrtle Beach Area Avg. List price:$165,712   Avg. Sold Price:$159,433
    • There is only a 4% difference between Listed and Sold
      • Roughly, comparing 2003 to 2009 , Avg. List prices are only different by 13% ; Sold Prices were off by 10% . Those are small margins considering how high prices were in 2005-2006
  • Jan-Feb. 2005 Myrtle Beach Area Avg. List price:$247,824   Avg. Sold Price:$243,626
    • Only 2% difference between Listed and Sold prices
      •  
        • The Avg. Sold price Soared  53%!!! from 03
  • Jan-Feb. 2006 Myrtle Beach Area Avg. List price:$271,709   Avg. Sold Price:$267,932
    • Just  1.3% difference
      •  
        • The Avg. Sold price increased another 10%!!  from 05
  •  Jan-Feb. 2007 Myrtle Beach Area Avg. List price:$330,617   Avg. Sold Price:$312,114
    • Here we see a Difference of 6%!
      •  
        • The Increase from 06 to 07 was yet another 16%!!
  • Jan-Feb. 2008 Myrtle Beach Area Avg. List price:$262,048   Avg. Sold Price:$239,642
    • With the prices just now being to fall, the difference is 9%!
      • For the first time in Seven Years, we see a decrease of 23%!!!  from 07 to 08
Here comes some surprising numbers:
  •  
    •  The Average Sold price increase from 03 to 05 was  53%!! , 03 to 06 was 68%!!   03 to 07  was a whopping   96%!!!! HUGE    
    • Looking  from 03 to 08 we see a change of  only 50%!! and  to come full circle, form 03 to 09 we see it just at  11%!!!

Yep, it's official! We have certainly come full circle in prices!!  The question that will continue to be on everyones mind is, how much more will prices continue to drop?  How much longer do you think you should wait??

 Well, if you are still waiting to see if the prices will drop any further? Be careful, if you wait too much longer, you very well may miss the boat and find yourself in that large category of people who will have said

 “Man, I wish I had bought something then!”

 

Thomas Cunningham

Thomas Cunningham

Cell: 843-814-1078

Fax: 866-256-4074

Email: homesbythomas@gmail.com

Website: Buyers' Choice Realty

                                        

 

 

 

 
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11 Comments on Myrtle Beach Condo Market in Peril??

MAR
03
Outside Blog

Hope these numbers keep up.  Maybe most of these will get the financing.  Looks like the beach destination is doing well since people are looking at investing in something they can use.

9:28pm • #1
1 Featured Post
Ron, I hope your right. The biggest obstacle we face right now is the ever constricting and ever changing Financing issues. Plenty of interested parties, not enough quailfied buyers!! Strange times indeed!!
10:16pm • #2
JUN
21

Thomas: Per your request this morning:

Your stats could be a bit more organized.

As far as Pending Number...  I've had a bit of a challenge with the idea of reporting "Pending" numbers rather then "Sale" numbers as NAR has recently done for some of the press releases.  Since a lower % of the "Pendings" are turning into actual sales its not a true reflection of the actual market.

See: http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSN0252120420090602

Even though its a leading indicator and normally predicts higher sales in our current market we know that many of these will fail.

11:44am • #3
1 Featured Post

Glenn  Thank you very much your feedback! When you state that my " Stats could be a bit my organized" could you share with me a little more details on how to organize them better.

I agree with on the " Pending Sale" data but felt it would help give a cetain depth to the stats. I will check out the Link you provided and once again, thank you for your input!

11:53am • #4
2 Featured Posts

I think the numbers are startling. Comparing stats from then to now- what is the pending rate today? How many of the properties pending in February have actually closed?

At issue here is not whether people would like to buy- but whether they can, as you pointed out. I know that I surely would never be able to qualify to get a mortgage for one of these properties right now, as my money is usually seasoned for an average of about 20 minutes. My guess is that is what buyers are waiting for- the ability to finance their purchase.

Do you have a step-by-step program that potential buyers could use to prepare for a condo purchase? Our office worked with a lender who had software that assisted consumers in raising their credit scores. Might be a great Localism post, given that you clearly are an expert in how to proceed in the purchase of that Myrtle Beach condo.

12:43pm • #5
1 Featured Post

Thomas, Great analytics here!!  Financing is certainly an issue and this is something that needs to be addressed.  But the good news for those that are willing and able is they can get a fantastic deal! It's the buying opportunity of a lifetime.  I still love Warren Buffet's quote, Be fearful when others get greedy.  Be greedy when others get fearful. (or something like that). 

As far as pending, it's not a true indicator in our market either.  Most agents don't use pending status including myself because even if contingencies are met, you don't close until you close and lots of stuff can happen i.e. buyer changes their mind.  Lots of foreclosure agent use pending just so people quit calling about the listing, but I've been many of them come back on the market b/c of financing. 

Keep getting the good news out there. 

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Thomas Cunningham Coastal Carolina Real Estate Connection

North Myrtle Beach, SC

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Buyers' Choice Realty

Address: 702 Sea Mountain Hwy, Suite 3, North Myrtle Beach, SC, 29582

Office Phone: (843) 280-7283

Cell Phone: (843) 814-1078

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